Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

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How TimeformUS is Different

summerblogadTimeformUS is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
Watch The Video>>
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
Learn More >>

5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
Learn More >>

6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
Learn More >>

7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Today in Racing, Aug 26, 2014

Here’s the result chart for the Travers.  (With as many horses as I could fit with a screen shot, anyway):

Screen Shot 2014-08-26 at 9.51.19 AMAlthough V.E. Day got his nose down first, it was Wicked Strong who got the best TFUS Speed Figure in the race.  Both Ravi Maragh, on Wicked Strong, and Joel Rosario, on Tonalist, fearful of allowing Bayern to get too comfortable on the lead, had their horses close to what was an extremely strong pace – wicked early pace figures of 133 and 125 for Bayern.

Based on the way Bayern stopped and finished dead last, perhaps they were giving him too much credit. In any event, the early effort was obviously just a tad too much for Wicked Strong, who held on for all but the last jump.  For his effort, as mentioned, he got a figure of 109, the best in the race.  Now, I’m obviously all for our speed figures and the methodology behind them – taking pace into account. So these figures make perfect sense from that standpoint.  However….these are, supposedly, Grade 1 animals, the best that the division has to offer (with the possible exception of California Chrome, pointed instead to the Pennsylvania Derby so that his owners can collect a $100,000 bonus).  So I expect that a horse that was in the position that Wicked Strong was in would be able to find a way to win this race.  A great horse would have dug down and gotten the job done.  Considering that he came home in a languid final quarter of 26.33….I figure that all he had to do to win this race was to come home in a slightly less languid final quarter of, say, 26 1/4.  A Grade 1 horse should be able to do that, even if he was tracking a quick pace.  And let’s face it folks….it’s not like he was chasing Seattle Slew out there….or even General Assembly, who set similar fractions in the Travers and went on to win by 15.

So, I’m going to make a new rule for myself here.  Any time that a Grade 1 horse has a clear lead in mid-stretch and doesn’t win because it can’t come home much faster than a top grade pacer, it doesn’t get any bonus points.  In fact, I’m subtracting three points from Wicked Strong’s figure.

As for V.E. Day, he surely has the pedigree credentials to finish the mile and a quarter as he did; final quarter in a respectable 25.51 seconds.  One could have seen that had he/she not been as dismissive of the quality of the Travers field as was I and taken the time to look!   It’s a turf pedigree for sure, but definitely has the distance chops.  He’s a son of the grass champion English Channel, out of a Deputy Minister mare who is a half-sister to Don’t Read My Lips, a Turkoman mare who produced a couple of runners who loved distance racing on grass:  Hotstufanthensome set a track record for a mile an 3/8ths when he won the Mac Diarmada at Monmouth; Tacit Agreement won a two mile marathon – The Bob Umphrey Turf Marathon – at Calder.  And the second dam of V.E. Day is a half to Sunshine Forever, who won the Turf Classic and the Man O’War, both at a mile and a half. [Correction: The Man O'War, at one point in my lifetime a mile and a half race - like when Secretariat won it - was 1 3/8ths when Sunshine Forever won in 1988.] Perhaps he’ll be pointed for the latter at Belmont next spring.

Posted in Today in Racing | 1 Comment

Saratoga Top Play – Swell, stuck behind a slow pace in his last, looks good in race 2

summerblogad

>Saratoga / August 25 / Race 2/ 1:35 EDT

Swell was a big price when he made his debut at the end of last year, which wasn’t such a big surprise considering his low-profile connections. Despite leaving the gate at odds of 22/1, Swell made a promising start that day. He was outpaced a bit and wound up last early. He then commenced a run down on the rail through the turn and was able to carry that run all the way through the stretch to close down the leaders. Making the effort even more impressive than it may appear at first glance is that there was very little change in position from the runners in that race, save Swell, who was able to come last-to-first.

Swell was a bit rank when chasing the talented Samraat in his next start, then got a little time off. In his return to the races, on April 26th, Swell was taken back in the early stages before working out a perfect closers run, switching out in the stretch to finish a game second-best to another talented NY-bred in Captain Serious. He would meet that rival again in his next start, which would come in the $125k Mike Lee Stakes. In that race, Captain Serious would get away soft on the lead (note the fractions/pace figures shaded in blue) while Swell would encounter severe trouble at the start, once again winding up at the back of the field.

2014-08-25_11-29-16

That the trouble went unnoticed by the chart caller for the race may be to our advantage today. Either way, Swell’s last race is a throwout to us from several different perspectives, and we believe him to be quite a bit better than his running lines may reflect at this point. His two TFUS Speed Figures as a 3yo are 92 and 90, and it is likely that the 90 from the Mike Lee could have been substantially higher had he been able to work any kind of clean trip.

Swell has been freshened since a Vet Scratch (as noted in our running lines), and may have benefitted from the break. We like his chances to come forward once again today, and if he does, he is going to be very tough for this field to beat.

The play:

Win bet on Swell at 3/1 or higher.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus for Monday August 25th

summerblogad

Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Saratoga Race 2:

#2 Swell

Had much trouble early on in his last start, which compromised him greatly.

Lands in a field where the 2 favorites are coming directly off of maiden wins.

Projects for a good trip, with those two horses both possessing speed from the outside posts.

He is the TimeformUS Top Play at Saratoga today.

3/1 on ML.

—————-

Saratoga Race 4:

#5 Skerkis

Steadied hard at the break behind an odds-on winner in debut.

Switches from turf to dirt and cuts back in distance today.

Takes a drop in class.

15/1 on ML.

———————-

Saratoga Race 9:

#9 Stars Above Me

Impressed in winning stateside debut with ease.

Top speed figures fit very well with her older and more experienced rivals today.

6/1 on ML.

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Del Mar Top Play: Industry Leader big threat to end his losing streak in race 11

summerblogad

>Del Mar / Aug 24 / Race 11 / 6:16 PDT

The six-year-old gelding Industry Leader enters this restricted claimer with a lifetime record of 1 for 20. The “1” came in his debut, which would necessarily put him on a 19-race losing streak. However, we think there is a good chance he will end his losing streak today.

For starters, he has back speed figures as high as 101, and he is going third off the layoff today. In addition, he has been training extremely well for this race–much better than he did going into his previous effort. And his previous effort was just fine. It earned a speed figure of 82, which is competitive in here.

Playing six-year-olds to get back to fast old numbers is a dubious practice, and this goes double when the horses are down in class, as Industry Leader is. But we are not playing Industry Leader to do anything of the sort. We are merely playing him to take another step in the direction of his best work. And the TFUS Pace Projector gives this hope a nice boost by projecting Industry Leader in second-place early, in a race favoring horses on or near the early lead.

2014-08-24_14-19-39

We are also pleased to see Martin Pedroza on this gelding again. Pedroza is far from being our favorite rider. In fact, there are horses on whom we’d rather see a sumo wrestler than Pedroza. But we like Pedroza very much in cheap races with big fields where he figures to be down on the rail looking for a hole at the top of the lane. When Pedroza has horse and is in need of a hole, he has a way of making holes appear.

At morning line odds of 9-2, Industry Leader is our selection.

The play:

Win bet on Industry Leader.

Box Industry Leader in the exacta with the frontrunning World Famous Sam T.

Posted in Race Previews | 1 Comment

TimeformUS Horses in Focus for Sunday, August 24

summerblogad

Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Saratoga Race 2:

#5 Bustin It

Tipped his hand with solid runner-up finish in open company debut behind a 1/9 favorite.

Toyed with NY-breds when breaking his maiden in a stakes race in his next start.

Drew perfectly on the outside and projects to make the lead in this short field.

2/1 on ML.

—————

Saratoga Race 3:

#10 Barrier to Entry

Cut a fast pace in a very live race in turf debut two starts back.

Endured a brutal trip after getting bumped at the break behind a wire-to-wire winner last time.

Gets a major rider change for this race.

6/1 on ML.

——————

Saratoga Race 10:

#7 So Lonesome

Has improved right along, running his three top figures in his last three races.

Handled dirt just fine early in his career, including a debut win over this track.

Was up against an inside speed bias in his last dirt start.

Has the tactical speed to land the right trip up close, and he’ll be a price.

10/1 on ML

——————

Del Mar Race 8:

Jade With Envy, the 2 horse:

Visually impressive in Poly win.

Probably better on grass.

Trainer gets 90 rating with synthetic-to-turf moves.

6-1 on ML.
———————————————————————-
Del Mar Race 9:

Goldencents, the 5 horse:

Pace Projector shows him on the early lead in a race favoring speed.

Choked by slow pace in last start.

Training up a storm.

5-2 on ML.
———————————————-
Del Mar Race 10:

Game On Dude, the 5 horse:

Pace Projector puts him on a clear early lead.

Training brilliantly for this.

We think his best as a seven-year-old is still best.

Question is whether he can produce it one more time.

3-1 on ML.
———————————————————————————–
Del Mar Race 11:

Industry Leader, the 1 horse:

Pace Projector shows with nice stalking trip.

Has strong back speed figures.

Goes 3rd off the layoff today and has been training quite forwardly.

9-2 on ML.

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Saratoga Top Play: So Lonesome goes turf to dirt in the Albany

summerblogad

>Saratoga/ Aug 24 / Race  10/ 6:04 EDT

The Albany Stakes for 3yo New York-breds going 1 1/8 miles is always an interesting race, and this year is no exception. It has a solid favorite on the ML in Captain Serious, who drops out of a pair of open company graded stakes tries. Captain Serious is 3-for-3 vs. NY-breds, and he was a very game second to Kid Cruz in the Grade 3 Dwyer just two starts back. The question for him today is distance. If he can handle the 9 furlongs up here, he may simply be too good for these horses. But distance is a big equalizer in races like this, and we think it makes Captain Serious vulnerable. We respect him, but we are trying to beat him.

One horse we will use against him is Effinex. We have always liked this horse, and we do not believe that he has distance limitations. The trainer change to Jimmy Jerkens, who can do no wrong lately, is an obvious positive and may be all it takes to get this horse over the hump. On the other hand, the change will not be lost on anyone out there, and it may make Effinex an unappealing price come post time. He’s 20/1 on the ML, and at that price we would like him quite a bit. It does seem unlikely that that price, or even half of that price, will be available come post time. Still, he’s a horse we have to include in our play.

The other horse for us, and one we feel sure will be a square price, is So Lonesome. So Lonesome has improved right along in his career, and his last three races have earned him the top TimeformUS Speed Figures of his career. Those races have all come over turf, and he was also a stakes winner in his turf debut at the end of last year. Perhaps that is indication enough that So Lonesome was meant for turf all along, and that the surface switch is responsible for his improved form. But we are not so sure. So Lonesome was a debut winner on dirt on this track last summer. He made his next two starts on dirt at Belmont, and he didn’t run poorly at all. He finished gamely to be gaining on a loose-on-the-lead winner in his second career start, and he was badly compromised by trying a four-wide run from last in a stakes race on October 19th, a day when the rail was gold at Belmont Park. He hasn’t seen dirt since that race.

We do like his turf form. But we also liked his dirt form as a 2yo. He has enough speed to land the right trip tracking along up close to Captain Serious on the early pace, and if that horse does indeed have distance limitations, So Lonesome may find himself on the lead in the stretch.

The play:

We’ll bet So Lonesome to win at odds around his ML odds.

We will also play an exacta box with Effinex, and use those two horses in our late Pick 4 play.

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Stakes Preview – The Grade 1 TVG Pacific Classic at Del Mar

summerblogad

>Del Mar/ August 24 / Race 10 / 5:30 PDT

The Grade 1, $1,000,000 TVG Pacific Classic has 11 horses signed up to run 10 furlongs on the Polytrack. However, it seems likely that Ice Cream Truck will defect to an easier spot, and Irish Surf may end up doing likewise. That would leave us with a very accomplished field of 9 or 10, led by the properly celebrated Game On Dude and the fledgling star Shared Belief.

According to the TFUS Pace Projector, Game On Dude will have a clear early lead at the opening half-mile, while Shared Belief will be alone in second place, stalking the defending champion. Should that scenario actually materialize, the noise level at Del Mar is going to threaten anything previously heard at that seaside paradise. But the invader from Argentina, the aptly named Mystery Train, reportedly has plenty of early speed, and the Pace Projector is unable to make a projection for him. Will he use that speed and make a run for the early lead in his North America debut against top-of-the-line speed horses such as Game On Dude and Shared Belief, one drawn to his inside and one to his outside? One can’t rule it out, but we are inclined to doubt it.

2014-08-22_09-57-39

Our focus in the Pacific Classic will be on three horses:

Majestic Harbor: This six-year-old is fresh off a lifetime top speed figure of 110, earned when he sprung a 14-1 upset in the Gold Cup, leaving Game On Dude, Clubhouse Ride, and Imperative, among others, in the dust. The performance, while a surprise, did not look anything like a fluke to us. Rather, it looked as if the horse who was best on the day won the horse race, as happens in this sport from time to time. Can Majestic Harbor repeat that performance? Can he repeat it while racing on Polytrack? He has raced on a synthetic surface only once. His performance was not his best, nor was it awful. He ran well in his only turf start, and turf form often translates to Polytrack. Moreover, his TFUS Breeding Ratings indicate that he has strong pedigree for synthetic. So there are mixed messages here. But we look at Majestic Harbor as a serious threat once again.

Shared Belief: This undefeated gelding missed the Triple Crown chase with a foot injury but has done nothing wrong in his five starts. He has improved his speed figure in every start. He comes in off a lifetime top of 113. He has handled synthetic with ease. He has handled added distance with aplomb. His trainer, Jerry Hollendorfer, is about as astute as trainers get, and Hollendorfer has handled this highly talented colt in characteristic fashion: with great care and with a plan in mind. Well, here we are. Is Shared Belief good enough to win the Pacific Classic from the outside post after stalking Game On Dude? It would not surprise us in the least if he is, but at his likely short odds, we are inclined to wager that he is not.

2014-08-22_10-11-20

Game On Dude: This is an introduction that is certainly worth skipping, since we have already written it many times in this space. Suffice it to say that Game On Dude is not what he once was, and there is more than a little sadness in that fact, but one of the consolations attached to this particular decline is that since he was so good in the past, he can win a race like this while running several lengths off of his peak form. When one thinks about it, that is a striking state of affairs. After all, we are talking about the Pacific Classic here. At any rate, our calculation with Game On Dude goes as follows: If he runs the best race of which he has recently (repeat: recently) been capable, he is very likely to win this race. However, his chances of running that well are probably only about 50%. Therefore, his morning line odds of 3-1 are reasonable.

The play:

Win bet on Game On Dude if the morning line odds hold up.

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