Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
Learn More >>

5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
Learn More >>

6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
Learn More >>

7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
Learn More >>

8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Santa Anita’s Friday Highlight Horse: Act coming in off a compelling pattern of TimeformUS Speed Figures–but a layoff, too

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>Santa Anita / October 24  / Race 6  / 3:39 PDT

Field of 10 horses going 6.5F on the hillside turf course, and the John Sadler trained three-year-old colt Act looks to have a lot in his favor.

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Act showed promise in his debut, on dirt, displaying good early speed and earning a strong TimeformUS Speed Figure of 93. Then he ran a dull race a month later, again on dirt, and his speed figure regressed to an 81. Then Sadler put him on the downhill course and he earned a small new top of 95.

Although it is diluted by a layoff in this instance, the “re-top” pattern (top–off race–small new top) that Act is showing is generally a strong pattern in young horses, and in running the new top, Act showed that he is comfortable over this quirky downhill turf course, which over the years has proven to be the undoing of many talented horses–presumably because they get disoriented by the gentle right-hand turn or the dirt crossover, or they are uncomfortable with the tendency of the race to play longer than its listed distance.

Act enters this race off a layoff of 202 days. Sadler is not particularly a layoff trainer. He gets a Trainer Rating of only 55 off layoffs, and he’s even worse (47 rating) off of layoffs of today’s approximate length. However, trainers who are subpar off of layoffs also tend to saddle horses whose workouts off the layoff are subpar. And Act enters this race off a sparkling 5F workout at Santa Anita. Therefore, we choose to conclude that Act is ready to fire his shot off the layoff–even though many Sadler horses are not.

The Pace Projector has to remain in the barn for this race because there are so many unshowns, but looking at the Early Pace ratings, we see that Act has a large early speed edge over all of the experienced horses in this race. Act is our Highlight Horse today.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Plays for Friday October 24

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Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

Race 2:

#7 Jazz Player

Landed in fast race first time out.

Switches to leading rider for second start.

Projects to be on the early lead.

6/1 on ML.

Win bet on Jazz Player at 5/1 or better. Exactas with #2 Private Label and #4 Guggenheim.

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Additional Horse in Focus at Belmont

Race 6:

#2 Saint Finian

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Has been in too tough on dirt to this point in his career.

Gets a big class drop for this.

Has a strong Breeding Rating for wet dirt tracks (89).

10/1 on ML.

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Race 7:

#6 Interior Secretary

Took money but ducked in badly at the break & raced greenly throughout debut.

Has returned to post solid breeze since that race.

Trainer does well with second-time starters (78 rating).

7/2 on ML.

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Race 8:

#9 Round

Puts races back to back for first time in his career.

Tough trip last time when away last and forced to take wide run into a slow-paced race.

Mott gets strong 90 rating second off the layoff.

2/1 on ML.

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Horse in Focus at Santa Anita

Race 6:

Act, the 3 horse:

Has best Early Pace rating by a big margin.

Ran strong speed figure, 95, down the hill.

Training well for return to the races.

3-1 on ML.
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Race 8:

Lucky Shoes to Win, the 1 horse:

Huge trainer switch here.

Mullins gets rating of 83 in first-time-with-trainer category.

Received difficult trip in debut.

8-1 on ML.
 

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Belmont’s Friday Highlight Horse: Saint Finian tries an off track for the first time today

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>Belmont / October 24  / Race 6  / 3:25 EDT 

With racing once again off the turf at Belmont today, we have gone back to the drawing board for the six races originally scheduled to be run on that surface.

Now that we’ve done that, we are happy to see that Saint Finian will stay in to try the main track once again. Initially a horse whose chances we had dismissed on turf, Saint Finian becomes a much more interesting horse on the dirt, especially at this restricted claiming level.

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He has made three starts on dirt so far in his career, and when looking at those running lines, it immediately becomes clear that he was in pretty tough. His debut came vs. a solid field, rated 85 on our Race Ratings, and each of the three horses in front of him at the finish has gone on to do good things on the racetrack. Returned to dirt in the spring at Churchill Downs, Saint Finian once again found himself in too tough, facing fields rated 98 and 94, and he drew trouble comments in both of those races.

This race constitutes a big class drop for Saint Finian on dirt, and his new trainer has solid trainer ratings with horses fitting this profile: 91 with claimers dropping in class, perfect 100 with older horses in low-level claiming races. Saint Finian has never run over an off track, but based on our Breeding Ratings, he should handle it. His overall dirt rating, a middling 65, improves to an 89 for wet dirt.

 

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Stakes Preview – Saturday’s G2 Lafayette at Keeneland

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>Keeneland/ Oct 25 / Race 9 / 5:13 EDT

Saturday’s Grade 2 Fayette Stakes has a field of eight set to travel 9 furlongs over the Keeneland dirt. Although it is somewhat difficult to buy into some of the bigger prices on the ML, this does seem like the kind of race where looking for alternatives to the favorites is an advisable strategy.

Pace Projector favors the runners on or near the early lead and places #5 Call Me George on a loose lead at the opening 1/2-mile. Perhaps that makes him a longshot worth giving an additional look, but we aren’t buying him in this race, loose lead or not.

There are three horses pegged at either 5/2 or 3/1 on the ML, and, who knows, maybe the race will even be bet that way, but certainly #2 Departing (5/2) and #7 Long River (3/1) are two horses who are going to take plenty of money. They are also projected to be in cozy trips up close to the pace.

Departing is the actual ML favorite and feels like the horse they will have to beat in the Fayette. A multiple graded stakes winner, he has posted TFUS Speed Figures of 113-112-94-112 in his four starts as a four-year-old. He won only one of those races, however, and that was against allowance company right off the layoff. He can trip out in here, and he is the horse to beat. Because we have had difficulty finding alternatives, we will be using Departing, but we have to take at least a small shot against him on the win end.

Long River has been one of our favorites in NY, and he has top connections, though overall he has been a disappointment, winning just a couple of overnight stakes races in his career while failing at short prices several times over at the graded stakes level. He enters the Fayette off a career-best performance in the Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup when completely overlooked in the wagering, and he is certain to be a major factor if he can reproduce that race on Saturday. He will be a short price, however, and we don’t trust him so much that we can take him as either the favorite or a close second choice.

Stephanoatsee is the other 3/1 shot on the ML, though we are having some trouble figuring out why. He has never proven himself to be of graded stakes quality and figures to have little pace in front to set up his late run. We realize that many consider his effort in the Grade 1 Woodward two starts back to be the best race of his career, but to us, he just picked up some pieces after getting a perfect closer’s ride from Joel Rosario. Perhaps we are completely wrong about him, but we will gladly be so if he is anywhere close to his ML price in this race.

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For alternatives, we could go to either Pick of the Litter, a game, grinding type of horse who will enter the Fayette off a career-top TFUS Speed Figure performance in the Homecoming Classic last month, or Mister Marti Gras. Of those two, we will give preference to Mister Marti Gras. He lacks speed, a drawback considering the expected pace scenario, but is a horse who is clearly fast enough to compete with the likes of Departing and Long River on his best day, and he’ll be a price.

Mister Marti Gras is that rare horse who can run his race over any surface: top TFUS Speed Figure on dirt: 113; on turf: 108; on synthetic: 117. He races on dirt infrequently these days, but in his last seven attempts on it, a span that dates back to April 1 of 2012, he has run TFUS Speed Figures of 112 or 113 five times. If he can come up with a figure like that on Saturday, he is a threat to Departing and faster than Long River.

The Play: Assuming the ML price holds up, we will bet Mister Marti Gras to win in the Fayette. We will also play Mister Marti Gras on top of Pick of the Litter in a small exacta, and we will box Mister Marti Gras with Departing.

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Santa Anita’s Thursday Highlight Horse: Lazy Lightnin finds a soft spot to debut

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>Santa Anita / October 23  / Race 4  / 2:36 PDT

This sleepy Thursday card is not the most intoxicating card Santa Anita has ever run, but there is a first-time starter in here who has shown a modicum of ability in the morning and is a nice price on the morning line.

The three-year-old filly Lazy Lightnin makes her debut today, and she is 8-1 on the morning line. Of course that is no guarantee that she will be 8-1, or anything like it, when her gate opens, but as things stand, she looks like decent value here.

This is not a particularly imposing field. The morning line favorite, Flowinwiththebreez, has raced twice, neither race on dirt, and has lost by a combined 25 lengths. The co-second choices on the morning line are both first-time starters who have trained reasonably well for their debuts, but neither of them has impressed the private clockers as much as Lazy Lightnin has.

Lazy Lightnin is trained by no-name trainer Brian Pitnick, who has no recent data with first-time starters and a middling overall Trainer Rating of 50. (It is hard to get more middling than 50 on a 100-point scale.) So let’s call Pitnick innocent until proven guilty with first-time starters and take some comfort from his having managed to get Tyler Baze to ride his horse. Baze rode this filly in the morning, too, which is slightly encouraging.

Lazy Lightnin’s sire, Stormin Fever, is not especially strong with first-time starters, but he isn’t awful, either, and Lazy Lightnin gets a solid Breeding Rating of 85 for dirt sprints. We also see it as a plus that she had two recent gate works and then was not worked from the gate in her final workout. At 8-1 on the morning line, Lazy Lightnin is our Highlight Horse today.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Plays for Thursday October 23

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Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

Race 3:

#7 Summer House

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Set fast early pace in sprint debut before tiring and being allowed to drop back out of contention.

Adds lasix and gets more distance for trainer who is among the best in the game with maidens stretching out.

Has strong 95 Breeding Rating for wet dirt.

6/1 on ML.

Win bet on Summer House at 4/1 or better.

————–

Additional Horse in Focus at Belmont

Race 2:

#4 Jacapo

Chased the pace while wide on a day when the rail was the place to be.

Trainer gets perfect 100 ratings with maiden special weight to maiden claiming drop and with second-time starters.

Projects for up-close trip and can improve on debut performance if he handles the sloppy track.

7/2 on ML.

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Race 6:

#7 My Super Nova

Earned strong 92 TFUS Speed Figure for debut when forced to contest a fast pace.

Drops back down after trying stakes company in second start.

Has 98 Breeding Rating for wet dirt.

5/2 on ML.

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Santa Anita Horses in Focus

Race 4:

Lazy Lightnin, the 6 horse:

Firster has strong Breeding Rating of 85 for dirt sprint.

Training as if there is some run here.

Looks like good spot for a firster.

8-1 on ML.

———————————————————–
Race 5:

Soul Driver, the 6 horse:

Trainer gets rating of 94 first turf.

Trainer gets rating of 81 first route.

Training extremely well since last race.

12-1 on ML.
—————————————————————————————–
Race 6:

Sheza Eyeopener, the 1 horse:

Pace Projector shows her with nice inside stalking trip.

Her lifetime-top speed figure came on real dirt.

Training well enough for this.

7-2 on ML.

 

 

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Belmont’s Thursday Highlight Horse: Summer House should improve off of speed-and-fade debut

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>Belmont / October 23 / Race 3 / 1:52 EDT

Summer House debuted in a tough spot last month for a trainer who tends not to ask very much of his 2yos early on. Not only were 5 of her 8 rivals in that spot experienced runners, but the eventual winner of the race, Jacaranda, was a highly touted half-sister to the Grade 1 Florida Derby winner Constitution, and she ran to her reputation.

For her part, Summer House took quite a bit of tote action for a Bill Mott-trained first-time starter, going off at 4/1. She then flashed good speed to make a fast early pace (note the pace figures/fractions shaded in red to the first call) before being challenged by Jacaranda and backing away. We will note here that her margin of defeat is a bit exaggerated, as her rider eased up once Summer House was beaten and allowed her to run through the stretch on her own power.

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With that speed-and-fade debut run behind her, we’ll expect Summer House to show something more today. Not only does she add lasix for her second start, but her trainer is among the best in the game with horses stretching out in distance (84 rating). While there isn’t enough data to make a Pace Projector for these lightly raced horses (4 of the 8 runners are first-time starters), considering the early show of speed from Summer House in her debut, it would certainly be no surprise to see her right up close to, if not on, the lead today. The wet track she will encounter is an unknown (Belmont is sloppy and sealed after much rain the last two days), but with a Breeding Rating of 95 for wet dirt, she can be expected to handle it.

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