Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
Learn More >>

5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
Learn More >>

6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
Learn More >>

7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
Learn More >>

8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Santa Anita’s Sunday Highlight Horse: Daddy’s Duo shines on the dropdown

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>Santa Anita / September 28 / Race 6 / 3:40 PDT

As far as choosing Highlight Horses is concerned, it doesn’t get much easier than Daddy’s Duo in race six. That is not to declare she’s a lock. She is no such thing. But an awful lot of our data points right at her.

She gets the top spotlight figure in the field (a 68) by a margin of eight points.

She gets the top Early Pace rating in the field, a 79.

She’s in a tie for the top Late Pace rating in the field, a 38. (This field contains precious little in the way of Late Pace, obviously.)

Pace Projector shows her in a deadheat for the lead at the opening quarter.

She has the best last-out speed figure in the race by a margin of 12 points.

Of all the horses who were competitive or even semi-competitive in their last race, she exits the strongest race based on our Race Ratings–a race rated 73.

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In her last race, she stalked a hot pace, as denoted by the fractions and pace figures being color-coded in red, and stayed strong all the way to the wire, finishing a solid second.

Her Breeding Rating for today’s dirt sprint (84) is four points higher than it was for the synthetic sprints she is exiting.

Her trainer, Keith Desormeaux, gets a rating of 82 with claimers down in class and a rating of 88 with comparable spacing between starts.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Plays for Sunday September 28th

topbannerHand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

 Race 2:

#10 Ostrolenka

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Debuted in sloppy track sprint and chased the pace in a race that collapsed.

Is bred to stretch out (86 Breeding Rating for dirt routes).

As expected, Pletcher does well with 2yos like this (100 rating with second-time starters, 97 in 2yo routes).

6/1 on ML.

Win bet on Ostrolenka.

Exacta: Ostrolenka over Unauthorized and Bellamy Way.

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Additional Horse in Focus at Belmont Today

Race 1:

#8 A Lot

Was off slowly and raced wide on an inside-speed-favoring track in debut.

86 Breeding Rating for turf sprints suggests he will handle the switch, and he is a half-brother to a multiple winner on grass.

Trainer tends to get better performances out of his 2yos second time out.

5/1 on ML.

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Today’s Top Play at Santa Anita

Race 6:

Daddy’s Duo, the 2 horse:

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Pace Projector shows her on the early lead.

She has the best last-out speed figure in the race by a clear margin.

Trainer gets a rating of 82 with claimers down in class.

5-2 on ML.

Exacta of Daddy’s Duo over Mama’s Trashed, Sheza Lucky Strike, and Sister Hubert.

 

Additional Horses in Focus at Santa Anita

Race 9:

Grazenette, the 13 horse:

Pace Projector shows her well off a fast pace early.

Trainer gets rating of 100 out of 100 when attempting a repeat victory.

Looked good in only grass attempt.

6-1 on ML.

 

 

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Belmont’s Sunday Highlight Horse: Ostrolenka’s Breeding Ratings point to the stretch-out

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>Belmont / September 28 / Race 2 / 1:21 EDT

Trainer Todd Pletcher wins a lot of 2yo races. That comes as no surprise to anyone. He has quite a bit of top stock and is about as reliable a trainer as there is at having his 2yo first-time starters ready to go. But that shouldn’t be taken as a sign that his 2yos either win at first asking or lack talent.

Take Ostrolenka in today’s 2nd race. He debuted in a sloppy track sprint at the end of the Saratoga meet, was sent off at almost 7-1 odds, and finished 7th, more than 13 lengths behind the winner. Since Pletcher usually has them ready for their debuts, is the effort from Ostrolenka a sign that he just isn’t very good? Possibly. But we can take that debut race apart a little bit and give this horse another chance today–especially if his ML price of 6/1 comes close to holding up.

Pletcher is aces first-time out. He is also aces second-time out (100 Trainer Rating with second-time starters). He pulls a strong rating of 97 with 2yos in route races.

As far as the debut goes, it was in the slop, so Ostrolenka has a bit of a built-in excuse. He chased the pace from his outside post that day, and it was a fast one (note the pace figures/fractions shaded in red). That pace ultimately collapsed, and a talented 2yo named Saratoga Heater came running by the field late (click the company line to go to the chart, and you can see that Saratoga Heater came right back to win a stakes race with a TFUS Speed Figure of 82).

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We think the stretch-out in distance for today’s race will suit Ostrolenka as well. He gets a solid Breeding Rating of 86 for dirt routes. If you click on his pedigree, you can see that he is a half-brother to, among others, Great Gracie Dane, who earned over $344k in her career and earned her top speed figure (107) routing on dirt.

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Santa Anita Saturday Highlight Horse: Conquest Eclipse should sit a perfect trip

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>Santa Anita / September 27th / Race 10 / 5:48 PM PDT

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The Grade 1, $300,000 Chandelier has attracted a field of 12 two-year-old fillies to go a mile and 1/16 on the dirt. According to the TFUS Pace Projector, the Chandelier will be run at a fast pace, one that might prove harmful to the chances of horses on it or near it. The Pace Projector shows Conquest Eclipse in a ground-saving stalking position at the opening half-mile.

Conquest Eclipse (7-2 ML) has the best last-out speed figure in the race by a margin of six points. She was bred to handle dirt just fine, and indeed, she handled it with aplomb in her debut. She was also bred to handle the route (she has a 91 rating for dirt routes). Had a wide trip in last start, a Grade 1 in which she made a strong rally to lose by only one length. Mark Casse gets an 88 rating going sprint to route and a 95 in third start of career. Conquest Eclipse draws a good post and is a very interesting filly in this context.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Plays for Saturday September 27th

topbannerHand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

Race 10:

#4 Zivo

Owns top Late Pace rating (114) in race expected to be run at a solid early clip.

Came with big run to win Grade 2 Suburban over this track and trip in July.

Was against a speed-favoring track last time.

6/1 on ML.

Win bet on Zivo. Exactas using Zivo with #11 Moreno, #8 Tonalist, and #3 Wicked Strong.

 

Additional Horses in Focus at Belmont

Race 1

#2B Zennor

Took all the money first time out and had a tough trip when tiring to finish 5th.

Trainer gets 99 rating with second-time starters.

Drew perfect post on the outside going 7 furlongs.

4/1 on ML.

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Race 8:

#2 Coup de Grace

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Closing sprinter owns the field’s top Late Pace rating and lands in a race that Pace Projector indicates will be run at a fast pace.

Has all of the upside in the race.

Exits tough-trip chance in Grade 1 King’s Bishop, where he ran deceptively well.

8/1 on ML.

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Santa Anita Race 1:

Wooram, the 3 horse:

Has the best last-out speed figure in the race: a 56.

Pace Projector shows him with nice stalking trip.

Training well over this surface.

4-1 on ML.
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Santa Anita Race 7:

Bee Brave, the 4 horse:

Just ran a small lifetime top speed figure.

Did so despite being bottled up much of the way.

Draws a good post.

Trainer gets rating of 96 when attempting a repeat victory.

30-1 on ML.
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Santa Anita Race 10:

Conquest Eclipse, the 2 horse:

TimeformUS Top Play at Santa Anita.

Pace Projector shows her with inside stalking trip in race projected to have fast pace.

Has the best last-out speed figure in the race: a 90.

Trainer gets 95 rating with horses making their third start.

7-2 on ML.

Win bet on Conquest Eclipse.

Posted in Race Previews | 1 Comment

Belmont’s Saturday Highlight Horse: Coup De Grace, with all the upside + the right pace set-up

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>Belmont Park / September 27th / Race 8 / 4:41 PM EDT 

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The Vosburgh is a Grade 1 sprint over 6 furlongs, and, as you might expect from such a race, there are plenty of fast horses signed on. There are so many, in fact, that our Pace Projector indicates that there will be a fast early pace in play, with all of #3 Zee Bros, #6 Happy My Way, and #7 Private Zone taking part.

That scenario figures to suit #1 Palace, who is the ML favorite for the Vosburgh and the clear horse to beat. But we are interested in another runner who figures to benefit from the expected fast pace. That horse is #2 Coup de Grace. A 3yo facing some fast elders in this spot, Coup de Grace is going to need a new top effort to win this race. He earned a new career top TFUS Speed Figure of 106 for his tough-trip 3rd in the Grade 1 King’s Bishop (Palace earned a 108 winning his Grade 1 last time), but he has all of the upside in this race and is expected to still be improving. He is a true closing sprinter in a race packed with speed, and he owns the top Late Pace rating in the field (a 93) by a clear margin (next highest is Salutos Amigos with an 82).

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Stakes Preview – Our horse-by-horse analysis of the G1 Frontrunner at Santa Anita

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>Santa Anita / September 27th / Race 6 / 3:25 PM PDT 

The Grade 1, $300,000 Frontrunner has 10 two-year-olds going a mile and 1/16 on dirt, and according to the TFUS Pace Projector, the race will be run at a fast pace, one that might well harm the chances of frontrunners.

However, it is worth pointing out that the two horses that the Pace Projector shows at the front of the pack early, Lord Nelson and American Pharoah, are both trained by Bob Baffert. Since trainers generally avoid having their front-end chances ruined by their own horses, we are inclined to dial back the fast pace projection a little bit. But with several horses trying two turns for the first time, we do expect the pace to be honest, at a minimum.

Now let’s take a look at the field in post position order, with morning line odds in parentheses:

Texas Red (8-1):

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Broke his maiden in his third start, when he finally got to go around two turns. Has improved his speed figure in every start. The 81 from his victory still leaves him a little light in here, figure-wise, but young horses who have never gone backward are big threats to go forward again. Draws the perfect post for this and gets Kent Desormeaux again. A threat at a price.

Lord Nelson (8-1): Broke his maiden in his debut, at five furlongs. Now makes the big stretch to 8.5F. The TFUS breeding stats show both the stretch-out and the synthetic-to-dirt move as neutral for him. Trainer Bob Baffert gets ratings of 98 with second-time starters, 98 with first route, and 92 with synthetic to dirt. Could be in line for a lone-frontrunner trip if Baffert has American Pharoah rate.

Sky Preacher (10-1): Dirt numbers are too slow. Improved on turf. Has improved his speed figure in every start. The private clockers have him training extremely well for this. Dangerous.

Daddy D T (6-1): Makes dirt debut off a dirt Breeding Rating of 90. Has the best Late Pace rating in the field: an 87. Will be hoping there’s a pace meltdown.

Red Button (20-1): Expensive, well-bred colt is too slow to this point in his career. Will need to find 10 points in a hurry to have a chance at hitting the bottom of the trifecta.

Reflected Star (30-1): Will need to find 20 points in a hurry to have a chance at hitting the bottom of the trifecta.

American Pharoah (8-5): Was training up a storm going into his debut, eliciting raves from the private clockers. But caught a fierce maiden field in his debut. The race received a TFUS Race Rating of 98, which is six points faster than the preliminary Race Rating for today’s Grade 1. Finished fifth while still earning a powerful TimeformUS Speed Figure of 95. Then helped to verify that ambitious speed figure by entering the Del Mar Futurity as a maiden and blowing the field away while earning a speed figure of 101. Makes dirt and two-turn debut today. His Breeding Ratings support the two turns but are less optimistic about the dirt. Given that both of his entrants have big early speed, it is possible we will witness the patented Baffert “1-2-1-2″ routine today, where one of his frontrunners takes the lead and the other one sets up in a “first over” position and ensures that the frontrunner receives no early pressure–at least from him. It’s good work if you have the horsepower to do it, and Baffert often does.

Conquest Panthera (8-1): Ran a big speed figure (90) in his debut despite trouble. Breeding is more or less neutral for the extra distance and the real dirt. Trainer Mark Casse gets ratings of 95 with second-time starters and 82 with first-time route. At a nice price on the morning line, this is an interesting horse.

Skyway (5-1): Breeding is mildly negative on the added distance. Has run into strong speed biases (note the Race Rating box color-coded in dark red) in two of his last three starts. Has speed figures that are competitive with all but the fastest horses in here.

Calculator (8-1): Good speed figures. Has never gone backwards. Middling breeding. Bad post position. We will be looking elsewhere if he goes off at odds anywhere near his morning line odds.

The play: We feel American Pharoah is the most likely winner. Our favorite longshot is Texas Red. We’ll use those two in multi-race wagers, and we’ll include Daddy D T, Sky Preacher, Lord Nelson, and Conquest Panthera on the bottom of vertical exotics.

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