Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
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2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
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3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
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5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
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6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
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7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Santa Anita: Full Card Analysis for Saturday

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>Santa Anita/ January 24 / Go to Racecard

 Race 1:

#7 Grazen Sky was visually impressive while earning speed figure of 77 at Los Al. #5 Rhett’s Image has trained very well for his debut.

Selections: 7-5-6-8

Race 2: #6 Ajac returns from a long layoff for low-profile trainer Marcelo Polanco. Earned speed figure of 73 on dirt as a two-year-old. Has trained steadily and well for his return to the races. Polanco uses a low-profile rider who has no recent stats, but he has combined with this rider for numerous strong performances (usually in losing causes) in the past. This selection is highly speculative. Horse could run first or very easily run last. But we’ll take our chances if the price is right, which it figures to be.

Selections: 6-3-5-4

Race 3:

#5 Forest Chatter could hardly have been more impressive breaking his maiden. Earned speed figure of 98 as he dispatched his opponents with contempt. #4 He’s On His Toes has run well on grass, has been training superbly, and is a big price on the ML.

Selections: 5-4-10-3

Race 4:

#9 The Grumbler is a Marty Jones firster in an uninspiring race. Jones does not win often with firsters, but he can pop at a price and do so off very slow works. This colt has trained well and is a big price on the ML. #3 Stormin Trick broke slowly and rushed up in his debut. Returned to train in excellent fashion. Big threat in here, but we expect him to take money today.

Selections: 9-3-7-5

Race 5:

#1 Patsy G and Me has strong grass breeding (Breeding Rating of 81 for grass route)–turf and distance top and bottom. Makes grass debut today, draws friendly post, and is a big price on the ML. #4 Heat the Rocks is a deserving favorite.

Selections: 1-4-6-2

Race 6:

#1 Tough Sunday is fast and has improving speed figures. Can upset the favorite if handling the distance against his breeding, which slants short. #2 Acceptance has done everything right in three starts and is a deserving favorite.

Selections: 1-2-5-3

Race 7:

#12 Marks Mine is a big price on the ML, projects to make the lead in here from a friendly post, and has run well down this hill with this rider. #14 Heat Trap will be much lower odds but is rock-solid and reliable for a good effort. She is, we think, the most likely winner.

Selections: 12-14-4-7

Race 8:

The less said about this race, decimated, as it was, by scratches, the better. #2 San Onofre is very fast on his best and has been training well for his return.

Selections: 2-3-9-7

Race 9:

Highlight Horse: #9 Boozer is 8-1 on the ML and positively ran a huge race in his most-recent start. Hung out wide around both turns in a race that received punitive pace figures of 154 148 120, Boozer took the lead (the other speed thoroughly vanquished), hung in there as well as one could possibly have hoped, and earned a speed figure of 106. He has come back to train superbly for this, and Pace Projector puts him on the early lead today in a race projected to have a neutral pace. Let’s hope that’s what happens.

Selections: 9-5-3-6

Race 10:

#6 She Got Away engaged for the early lead, got in tight and dropped back dramatically, then gathered herself and put in something approximating a late run. It was a big two-move effort for a filly running at this level.

Selections: 6-11-5-2

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Stakes Preview: In the Holy Bull at Gulfstream, more than just baby steps on the Kentucky Derby trail?

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>Gulfstream/ January 24th / Race 9 / 4:34 EST

Maybe it’s just the name, but Saturday’s $400k Grade 2 Holy Bull Stakes, at 1 1/16 miles for 3yos, feels like a race that even we want to call a Derby prep. There are 17 valuable Derby points waiting to be dispensed to the top four finishers (10-4-2-1), and the first three horses across the line will have their nominations to the Grade 1 Florida Derby comped.

A field of 10 is set to go for the Holy Bull, and, as has become the norm with our ever-so-lightly raced young horses, there is nary a graded stakes winner in sight.

Pace Projector indicates that there will be a fast early pace, and it places #4 Bluegrass Singer, winner of the Mucho Macho Man stakes here three weeks ago in wire-to-wire fashion, on the lead. He is closely followed by #9 Dom the Bomb, with the grouping of #1 Frosted, #5 Juan and Bina and #6 First Down kept up behind them. The talented NY-bred #8 Upstart comes next, and the rest of them will be more toward the back, waiting for the fractions to take their toll. We will just point out here that both Bluegrass Singer and Dom the Bomb are cross-entered into the Hutcheson Stakes earlier on the card, so check back in with Pace Projector after scratches, as it will update.

Enough with the preliminaries. Let’s look at the field for the Holy Bull:

#1 is Frosted. Well-bred, well-connected, and talented, with a cozy inside draw, don’t be surprised if he is your post time favorite. The reality of his last race, which came in Aqueduct’s Remsen at the end of November, is that he should have emerged from that race as a Grade 2 winner. Marooned out in post 13 on that notoriously inside-favoring track, Frosted dropped a tough decision after giving dead-game chase to a rail-riding winner from the outside. The problem with Frosted as a wagering opportunity is that he seems to be the one horse everyone has focused on as a hard-luck loser exiting that stakes-filled card. They’re not wrong, but they’re not going to be lonely in betting this horse back, either.

#2 is Keen Ice. Devoid of early speed, he owns the top Late Pace Rating in the field (narrowly) at 82. He got up for 3rd in that Remsen in his 2yo finale, but he received an excellent ride that day, getting down on the rail early and staying there all the way. He’s an improving sort, but his top TFUS Speed Figure of 83 leaves him more than a little light right now.

#3 is High Noon Rider. Began his career on turf for an excellent trainer, but he has put his strong pedigree (97 Breeding Rating for dirt routes) to good use on the main track in his last two starts. He put up a new TFUS Speed Figure top of 89 when breaking his maiden in an off-the-turf mile at Belmont two starts back. He was with a rail that got very strong toward the end of that card on November 19th, but he was game in getting the best of a race-long duel and showed that he can handle dirt. He then went to Remington Park for the muddy Springboard Mile, and he put in a big run through the second-turn in that race before flattening out late. He seems well equipped to take advantage if a fast pace develops, and if he gets a more well-timed ride than he was given last time, he can be there late.

#4 is Bluegrass Singer. He’s gone back-to-back in pair of one-turn miles here recently, and done so in front-running fashion both times. His TFUS Speed Figures of 91 and 93 for those efforts give him a chance, but he seems sure to be part of the pace should his connections elect to run him here, and he figures to have a tougher time of it up there vs. this crew.

#5 is Juan and Bina. He was dusted by Bluegrass Singer last time while trying to be a part of the pace. Those tactics will give him little chance in this race, and his top speed figures of 82 and 80 leave him with a little too much to find.

#6 is First Down. He is one of the more interesting runners in this race. Highly impressive when defeating an experienced Frosted on debut with a 97 TFUS Speed Figure, he failed to back that race up over a muddy track in the Grade 2 Nashua in his second career start. That is not a race that necessarily has to be held against him, and he will have lasix for the first time Saturday. A son of Derby winner Street Sense, he has a Breeding Rating of 95 for dirt routes and should have no trouble navigating the 1 1/16 in front of him on Saturday.

#7 is Frammento. $260k 2yo in training purchase has been coming along slowly for a trainer who knows something about developing early season 3yos. He could not impact Bluegrass Singer over a track we have labeled as speed-favoring (note Race Rating Box shaded in red) last time, but he stayed on admirably through the stretch to be making some late ground on that rival. Frammento needs to improve in order to win this race on Saturday, but it’s that time of year, and his running style fits this race very well.

#8 is Upstart.

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Talented NY-bred has been on the ball from Day 1, pairing up TFUS Speed Figures of 94 in his first two career starts (both wins) before going on to run a very good 2nd in the Grade 1 Champagne. His Breeders’ Cup effort was also excellent (new top figure of 99). Although he was away from that punishing pace early, he took the first run to contention ahead of the 1-2 finishers and lost an unlucky photo for 2nd. To us, he’s the best of these based on his 2yo form. But, as always, these young and lightly raced horses will be changing a lot over the next couple of months, and Upstart still has to come back running as a 3yo.

#9 is Dom the Bomb. His trainer has been leaning toward running him in the shorter (and easier) Hutcheson, so we’ll see if he shows up here on Saturday. If he does, it will reflect a major rise in class over the races he was running in as a 2yo (Race Ratings of 70-86-76-77, vs. today’s 95). He also projects to be part of the fast pace in this race, which makes his task that much tougher.

#10 is Decision Day. We’re always willing to give an extra-long look to runners produced from this barn, and Decision Day has improved as expected through his first three starts (TFUS Speed Figures of 66-72-86). He’s already a stakes winner and has won around two turns, but he has never raced on dirt (Breeding Rating of 78 is acceptable), and he drew a very tough post for this race.

The Play: We aren’t straying too far from the logical favorites, #1 Frosted and #8 Upstart, in multi-race wagers. They both appear to have real ability, and they are legit favorites in this race. But we also want to use #3 High Noon Rider, and in playing the Holy Bull straight up, we will try to get him involved at what should be an acceptable price.

Win bet High Noon Rider. Exactas/tris using him with Frosted, First Down, and Upstart.

 

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Santa Anita: Full Card Analysis for Friday

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>Santa Anita/ January 23 / Go to Racecard

Race 1:

#4 Nature’s Alley makes the second start of her career. Trainer gets rating of 90 with second-time starters. Filly broke poorly in her debut, then rushed into contention against a strong pace. #2 Lyla Della returned from a long layoff with a suspicious class drop and took a lot of betting action before being knocked sideways at the start. Put together a brief but flashy run before stopping. Big threat here if she holds together.

Selections: 4-2-9-6

Race 2:

#5 Elle Sueno is a price on the ML and ran better than it looks in her grass race. She was up close while three-wide against a strong pace in a race that had a closer-flow. Her lone dirt start was not bad for a debut effort. #6 Conquest Superstep comes in off an 80, but she will be a short price, and her workout pattern raises questions.

Selections: 5-6-1-4

Race 3:

#5 Willing to Travel drops in class for an outstanding trainer and has strong speed figures. Uncreative selection at a short price. #2 Bluegrass Sight will be on a clear early lead in a race favoring speed, according to Pace Projector.

Selections: 5-2-1-8

Race 4:

#7 Ina Mina will be on a clear early lead, according to Pace Projector. Goes from one low-profile trainer to another, but we like the trainer switch a great deal. #8 Goodhumorgirl has handled dirt and is an obvious threat for Bonde, whose horses usually take money.

Selections: 7-8-4-1

Race 5:

#9 Camryn Kate draws perfectly and figures for outside stalking trip with strong rider. Handles the hill. #7 A Little Luckier makes her second start for Hollendorfer and is a gem of consistency.

Selections: 9-7-5-2

Race 6:

Highlight Horse: #1 Borealis Breeze is a nice price on the ML. Was cracked on the lead by Bolo (who is a runner) in a grass route. Still earned the best last-out speed figure in the field. Breeding Ratings suggest dirt is OK. Trainer gets rating of 90 with MSW droppers. Draws the perfect post. Pace Projector suggests that an inside stalking trip is in the cards. Colt has not been training well, according to private clockers, but the clockers never seem to like the way he trains. Maybe he hates running around a racetrack early in the morning. For what it’s worth, we certainly do.

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#5 Gnarly Harly is an obvious threat at a short price. We will protect under him in exotics.

Selections: 1-5-2-8

Race 7:

#1 Kukaluka will be ridden by apprentice Brandon Boulanger, who does some things well and is fun to watch right after he wins a race. Boulanger has yet to win a reputation as a rider you want to play in a grass route, but we like the weight off, and we’ll take our chances here at a nice price from a good post. Filly has competitive figures and received a deceptively difficult trip at Golden Gate last time. #6 Lady’s Plan is the logical favorite.

Selections: 1-6-9-4

Race 8:

#6 Push Girl has improving speed figures and is back on dirt here. Workout pattern is sketchy, but Pender has a decent history with similar workout patterns. #9 Brandon’s Princess was very wide at Los Al. Still ran reasonably well. Handles added distance. Has back numbers. Chance to get involved here at a huge price.

Selections: 6-9-10-5

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Stakes Preview: Saturday’s California Cup Derby at Santa Anita

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>Santa Anita/ January 24th / Race 6 / 2:33 PM PST

The California Cup Derby has a field of eight three-year-old colts going a mile and 1/16 on dirt for a purse of $250,000. The heavy favorite on the morning line is Acceptance, who has won two stakes races, which is two more than the rest of the field combined.

According to the TimeformUS Pace Projector, the pace will be neither fast nor slow. Avanti Bello is projected to be on a clear early lead at the opening half-mile. Acceptance is a stalking second in the clear. Kluszewski is third, closely followed by Pulmarack and Tough Sunday. Chanito, Neveradoubt, and Mischief Clem are at the back of the pack.

Note: Tough Sunday had poor starts in two of his three races. If he breaks alertly today, as he did three days after Christmas, it seems quite likely that he will outrun the Pace Projector’s expectations.

Here is the field in post position order, with morning line odds in parentheses:

Tough Sunday (5-2): Veered out at the start in his debut, which some young horses are prone to do from the outside post. Then he came back inward, but too much and had to be steadied. Ultimately, he made a wide run to get third and earned a speed figure of 60. In his second start, he broke slowly, but he got himself into the race sooner and made another wide rally, this time finishing second and earning a speed figure of 82. In his third start, he broke alertly, found himself engaged for the lead four-wide, eased back into a nice stalking position, then overpowered the field four-wide in a visually impressive performance and earned a strong speed figure of 89.

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Makes his route debut today off of Breeding Ratings that are slanted towards sprints. But he has sprinted like a horse who can route–showing the ability to be placed and go on command. Trainer gets an 86 rating when attempting repeat victories and a 65 going sprint to route. Our Race Ratings show that Tough Sunday is stepping up in class from a race rated 78 to a race rated 88. And indeed, he beat precious little in that maiden victory. But we like the way he did it. Big threat today.

Acceptance (4-5): Three starts, three victories, two stakes victories, ascending speed figures, the most recent of which is faster than any horse in this field has ever run…there is a lot to like here. Has handled a route distance. Indeed, he extended his lead through the endless stretch at Los Alamitos while winning the King Glorious. Trainer gets a 98 rating when attempting repeat victories. But Acceptance is giving seven pounds to the field, which is reflected in our speed figures and is the main reason he does not have the big edge on our figures that one might expect. He is the horse to beat, to be sure, but given that his odds figure to be very short, we are inclined to take a shot at him.

Mischief Clem (6-1): Extremely consistent colt has run speed figures between 83 and 85 in all five starts. Has twice come up well short against Acceptance. Has the best Late Pace Rating in the field, a 70, and figures to benefit if a hot pace materializes.

Neveradoubt (30-1): His debut win was slow (a 68), and his Decarchy breeding gives us little reason to expect a big jump with the added distance and the switch off synthetic.

Kluszewski (8-1): What an odd race this delightfully named colt ran in the King Glorious. He made a clear early lead. Then he backed out into a stalking position. Then he backed out farther and looked as if he would drop out of the race altogether. Then he made a late run, though he was no match for Acceptance. Goes for top trainer Philip D’Amato, who took over the Mike Mitchell barn when Mitchell retired due to illness and has handled it expertly. We can see him getting quite a bit closer today, in his second route attempt, but we have a hard time seeing him reversing the verdict against Acceptance. Could be a strong factor in exotics.

Chanito (50-1): Trainer Louis Bradvica (trainer rating of 4) frequently enters horses who have no chance, but usually he enters them in cheap maiden claimers. This one he enters in the Cal Cup Derby–presumably on the grounds that if you are obliged to fire blanks, you might as well aim at the moon.

Pulmarack (9-2): Made a big jump in the King Glorious and put a scare into Acceptance before being decisively repulsed late. Improving colt is an obvious threat for a top trainer, but that last speed figure jump was a big one (17 points), and he’s back to take a regular turn, and we would not be at all surprised to see him go backwards slightly in the short term.

Avanti Bello (20-1): Trainer Doug O’Neill likes to have his horses “out there” in stakes races. Frequently, they are overmatched. He gets a rating of only 59 in 3YO stakes. But we will not put this colt in the “totally hopeless” category. He ran against a genuinely good horse on grass last time: Bolo. The race earned a higher TFUS Race Rating than today’s race receives. Yes, he lost by 10 lengths, but he had some trouble, and he earned a competitive speed figure of 86. His breeding ratings show that he is reasonably well-suited to routing on dirt. Pace Projector has him on a clear early lead. O’Neill gets a rating of 100 with Mike Smith. So we wouldn’t be shocked if this colt won, but we would be very surprised.

The play: Win bet on Tough Sunday.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Plays for Thursday January 22

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Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.


Today’s Top Play at Aqueduct

Race 7:

#7 On a Snowy Evening

Has picked up her game noticeably for this trainer.

Earned new career top TFUS Speed Figure of 82 last time, and did so despite not getting the greatest trip or ride in the world.

That 82 is the top last-out figure in the field, save the 89 #6 Rose Quartz received for blowout win riding a gold rail on December 28th.

4/1 on ML.

Win bet on #7 On a Snowy Evening at 7/2 or better.

Exactas using On a Snowy Evening with #s 1, 2, 8.

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Race 5:

#4 Don Tito

Makes second start back from layoff (85 rating for this trainer).

Prior to that break, he was consistently running speed figures that make him competitive with ML favorite #5 Luckysdream, and he defeated that rival on the square last March.

Trainer has been hot recently, and has had good success with this rider, as well.

4/1 on ML.

 

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Aqueduct’s Thursday Highlight Horse: Don Tito to move forward 2nd off the layoff

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>Aqueduct / January 22/ Race 5  / 3:16 EST

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Can #4 Don Tito overcome #5 Luckysdream’s early pace advantage? 

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Today’s 5th at Aqueduct, a 6-furlong sprint for older $50k claimers, features a heavy favorite on the ML, one who our Pace Projector indicates is going to be at an early advantage. So the question surrounding this race is: Do we want to invest any money against #5 Luckysdream?

We are going to take a small shot against him, and #4 Don Tito is the horse we are going to do it with. Clearly a horse who prefers fast dirt (he’s 7-for-16 in sprints over fast dirt and 3-for-14 doing anything else), Don Tito put together a solid run of races once arriving from Southern California at the end of 2013. He went on a nice run of 4 wins from 6 starts after a tough trip in his NY debut, and included among the wins was a defeat of Luckysdream at this level and over this track last March. He defeated Luckysdream that day despite that rival getting clear control of the early pace, and earned a solid 107 TFUS Speed Figure for the effort. He then overcame a slow pace (note Pace Figures/fractions shaded blue) at Pimlico to post an impressive win with a 110 TFUS Speed Figure. He had legit excuses for the final two races he would run in 2014, as he caught a sloppy track in a very tough allowance field on May 10th, and he was badly roughed up on May 29th, an incident that likely led to the layoff.

So we know he can be competitive with the ML favorite. And he can overcome that rival having the best of things up front. But can Don Tito still run races to that level after enduring a long layoff?

We’ll find out today. We like that he has had a prep run off of that layoff already, as trainer Linda Rice gets a strong Trainer Rating of 85 second off the layoff. There are no trouble signs coming out of that return race, as he rallied from off the pace to get 3rd behind a loose-on-the-lead Luckysdream, and proved best of the off-the-pace types in a race where none of the closers factored in the outcome. We also think it’s a positive sign that Don Tito was protected via the waiver rule in his return, which ensured that his connections could not lose him in that race.

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Aqueduct’s Friday Highlight Horse: 10-1 ML Champagne Ruby to rebound with a fair track today

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>Aqueduct / January 23 / Race 7  / 4:14 EST

#6 Champagne Ruby has been kept exclusively with NY-bred stakes horses since arriving in NY toward the end of 2013, and she has acquitted herself reasonably well. She has posted a couple of wins, has been 2nd in a couple of other starts, and has improved right along from a TFUS Speed Figure perspective. She will start for a $40k claiming tag today, but that shouldn’t be confused with a significant drop in class. Today’s race is a tough one, pulling a Race Rating of 92, which actually makes it one of the tougher races Champagne Ruby has run in in her career.

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Still, we think she has improved enough for her good trainer to be a big player today, and she is an inviting price on the ML at 10/1. We thought Champagne Ruby signaled that she had come back a better horse as a 4yo last April when finishing a game 2nd despite being forced to try to close into a slow pace. After a failed turf experiment in June, she went to Finger Lakes and won a minor stakes race there with plenty in hand. That her rider took a real chance staying inside to make their run to contention (note the expanded chart comments available) made the run all the more impressive.

In her next start, Champagne Ruby impressed again, this time while being forced to chase a fast pace made by the talented Atlantic’s Smile (note Pace Figures/fractions shaded red) before tiring late in a race that was won by a one-run closer. She would earn a new career top TFUS Speed Figure for that effort, a 91.

Based on her improved form, we liked her chances in the $125k Stallion Series race on November 22. She was no factor in that spot, but we have found more than enough reason to give her another chance today. November 22 was a day when speed was in favor at Aqueduct (note Race Rating box shaded red), and Champagne Ruby’s rider elected not to put her into the race early on that day. Strongly rated to the back of the field from the start, she was left with little chance to impact that race over that track.

Today’s race will have a fast early pace, according to Pace Projector, which should allow Champagne Ruby to settle away from the pace without being compromised. If she can work out the right trip, she can go with these horses, and the price should be right.

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