Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

Posted in Welcome to TimeformUS | 1 Comment

How TimeformUS is Different

summerblogadTimeformUS is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
Learn More >>

5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
Learn More >>

6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
Learn More >>

7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
Learn More >>

8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
Watch The Video>>
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Saratoga Top Play: Southern Blessing can step up off the class drop in race 3

summerblogad

Saratoga / July 28 / Race 3 / 2:02 EDT

#2 Mr. O’Leary figures to be solidly favored in this $50k claimer for non-winners of two races lifetime. After all, he has run the fastest races in the past, and he is taking a class drop for an excellent trainer. And according to the Pace Projector, he will be in control of the pace in this race, a race that “favors horses on or near the early lead.”

Screen Shot 2014-07-28 at 11.59.50 AM

We think he will be tough to beat in here, but he is also a horse who has disappointed overall in his short seven-race career, and he is dropping down here off of a complete no-show effort at Belmont 86 days ago. He’s the right favorite in this race, and the horse to beat, but he’s not a horse we mind trying to beat.

The horse we’ll try to beat him with is #5 Southern Blessing. Southern Blessing gets a class drop of his own today (today’s race has an 85 Race Rating; he’s coming out of a 97), and gets his while making his second start back from a layoff and second start as a 3yo. To us, he is both a horse who has more room to improve than any of his competition and a horse whose form has been dirtied up something awful since his winning debut last summer. He went straight into graded stakes company off of that win and was a game second-best in the Grade 2 Sanford over this track last year. He then tried the Grade 1 Hopeful to no avail, and then tried to stretch out at the end of the year.

Screen Shot 2014-07-28 at 11.58.42 AM

Cut back in distance off the layoff last time, Southern Blessing did a little more running than the short comment may lead you to believe. He was away alertly from the gate before being filtered out to the back of the field. He then put in a wide bid through the turn before getting tired in the stretch behind the talented Viva Majorca.

We think he benefits from this class drop as much as the favorite does and has more upside than the favorite as well. With his outside post, he may find himself in a perfect tracking position early. And, best of all, he is a square price on the ML at 8/1.

The play:

Win bet on Southern Blessing

Exactas with #s 2 and 6.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus for Monday, July 28

summerblogad

Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Saratoga Race 3:

#5 Southern Blessing

Drops in class for second start off the layoff.

Went straight into graded stakes company after debut win last year, and found a tough spot vs. graded stakes-bound Viva Majorca off the layoff.

Did more running in that race than one might think, trying a wide run through the turn before tiring.

Trainer gets rating of 100 out of 100 with this rider.

TFUS Top Play at Saratoga today.

8/1 on ML.

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Saratoga Race 4:

#10 Secret Ops

Makes first start for a tag on dirt today.

Pace Projector puts him just off the early lead.

Has legit excuses for each of his 2 dirt starts, breaking slowly & bouncing off the rail in the stretch of his debut, and then racing on a dead rail throughout his second start.

8/1 on ML

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Saratoga Race 7:

#5 Spartiatis

Despite making more than half of his career starts on turf, he is a much better dirt horse.

Best effort to date, and lone win, also happens to be his lone dirt sprint.

Was against a strong inside-speed bias in that win, making the effort even better than it may appear.

8/1 on ML

 

Posted in Race Previews | 2 Comments

Del Mar Top Play: Q’ Viva should handle Del Mar’s synthetic surface

summerblogad

>Del Mar / July 27 / Race 10 / 6:40 PDT

The class-dropping Q’ Viva looks strong in this Cal-bred maiden claimer. The race she exits, a Cal-bred Maiden Special Weight, is much stronger than today’s race, and she was not disgraced in that race. Racing down the hill at Santa Anita, she broke alertly (better than the result chart indicates), settled close to a strong early pace, raced wide around the far turn, and lost by less than three lengths. Her TimeformUS Speed Figure in that race, a 78, is the fastest number any horse in this field has ever run.

Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 3.43.00 PM
Q’ Viva sports an improving pattern of speed figures. She will be making her synthetic debut today. However, the TFUS Pedigree Ratings indicate that synthetic could well be her best surface. Moreover, 10 days ago, she worked very well over the synthetic.

Trainer Mark Glatt gets trainer ratings of 89 with MSW-to-maiden claimer moves and 95 when using Rafael Bejarano. And according to our Pace Projector, Q’ Viva will be in a good spot early, sitting in fourth place while Runningwiththelute and Mom’s Winner duel for the early lead. Q’ Viva is our selection.

Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 3.48.45 PM
As far as the rest of this field is concerned…Runningwiththelute lost a clear early lead in an abysmal field last time. Miss Kit Kat has not been training impressively over the Poly. Mom’s Winner figures to have early company as she moves from dirt to Poly and receives an eye-popping trainer change that by itself will attract a lot of money. Desert Madam figures to be something of a price and could rebound today after a dull effort at Los Alamitos.

The play:

Win bet on Q’ Viva.

Exacta box of Q’ Viva and Desert Madam. 

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Today in Racing, July 27, 2014

The result chart for the Jim Dandy notes that Wicked Strong ($6.40) was washy as usual during the warm-up; but that was just about all that was as usual for the Jimmy Jerkens-trained son of Hard Spun.  Outfitted with blinkers for the first time, the heretofore closer was right up on the pace set by Legend.  After an initial quarter  of 24.52 (during which Wicked Strong was solidly four wide around the first turn), the pair picked up the pace through splits of 23.28 and 23.63 to the 3/8ths pole.  The Belmont winner, Tonalist, was tracking close behind; however, perhaps flattened out by his effort to keep up (or perhaps simply tuning up for the Travers), he lacked the punch to challenge Wicked Strong in the stretch as the latter went on to post a handy win, despite slowing down to a final furlong of 12.95 seconds.

Here’s the result chart set to show the pace figures, which were not at all outrageously fast; in fact, Wicked Strong’s raw final time figure of 107 was downgraded by a point.

Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 10.52.56 AM

His TFUS Speed Figure of 106 is more or less in line with his last two races. But his figure for the Wood, initially a 118, had been weighing on the mind of our Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski, and this, along with the failure of others from the race to run back to their figures, was the final straw.  Wicked Strong’s figure has now been downgraded by ten points.  It comes at an awkward time with the Haskell coming up today, since the downgrade affects Social Inclusion as well; however, we felt it was the right thing to do rather than sitting on the information until after the race.  It will all seem quite moot when Untapable kills these colts in the Haskell; but it may be a material change for those considering Social Inclusion (whose Wood figure was downgraded by nine points).  So we have noted the change here and on Twitter, and are notifying our customers via email.

Quite a 24 hours for trainer Jerkens, whose V.E. Day took the Curlin the day before. He did it in a manner closer to what backers of Wicked Strong were likely anticipating; with a last to first rally.  Jockey Jose Lezcano saved ground on the final turn for as long as possible before swinging six wide and being, as noted by Tom Durkin,  “produced” (I love that expression) in the stretch. V.E. Day earned a TFUS Speed Figure of 97; so while the trainer mentioned him as a possibility for the Travers, he would seem to have a ways to go to be competitive in that spot despite the above-mentioned downgrade. And besides, one would still expect this son of the turf champ English Channel to ultimately excel over that surface; he hails from the distaff family of another grass champion in Sunshine Forever.

Back to Saturday’s races; the day featured the last two Derby runner-ups – both trained by Dallas Stewart – Golden Soul, last in the 5th race, and Commanding Curve, 4th in the Jim Dandy (despite the exhortations of Durkin).  Golden Soul, second in last year’s Derby, hasn’t come close to winning a race in eight subsequent races, and Commanding Curve seems perfectly capable of doing the same.

Another winner for Pletcher; the Toddster his eight winners at the meet, twice as many as his host of pursuers led by Bill Mott, Michael Maker, and George Weaver, the latter of which has done so from just 11 starters.  Competitive Edge ($3.70) was the proverbial ‘fastest horse in the world’ in his debut, winning off by ten lengths.  Two-year old son of Super Saver is the second winner, from 13 starters, for the freshman sire, standing for $17,500 at Winstar.  A $750,000 2yo-in-training purchase earlier this year, Competitive Edge is out of a stakes-placed Cape Town mare, and has inbreeding to Seattle Slew, Secretariat, and Buckpasser.  He earned a spiffy debut TFUS Speed Figure of 93.

Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 12.46.31 PMIn the 4th, a turf sprint for maidens, Vecino ($7.10) became the third winner from just five starters (with a 2nd too!) for Michael Matz.  So yeah, that’s HOT.  His 91 rating at Saratoga reflects the success that he generally enjoys at the Spa.  Vecino, a 4yo NY-bred (who returned earlier this year from a 581 day layoff) by Street Boss out of a Danzig mare, hails from the same illustrious female family as Rainha Da Bateria, who won here last Monday and who we discussed in this post.  So, like that filly, Vecino is surely eligible to improve as he stretches out in distance.

- Off the turf at Saratoga today, but our PPs and Pace Projectors update nearly instantly with the change.

Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 12.36.21 PM

Best of luck and have a great Haskell day!

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Saratoga Top Play: Off-the-turf May Suit Chrysolite in 10th

summerblogad

Saratoga / July 27 / Race 10 /  5:48 EDT

In a race that has been rained off the turf, changed from 1 1/16 to 1 1/8, and decimated by scratches, let’s take a shot with Chrysolite (#9, 15-1).

Chrysolite has raced on dirt only twice. Once was in her debut, where she never got involved. That effort was followed by a 232-day layoff, suggesting something went wrong in the race. When she returned from the layoff, on March 28th, she made her second dirt start. In that race she was choked down by a slow pace (note pace figures and fractions color-coded in blue). At the top of the stretch, she was in last place. But she ran on at the end. Then she galloped out past the leaders. We think there was more to her in that race than she was able to show.

Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 12.29.06 PM

She followed that up with three turf races, and two of them were solid performances that earned TFUS Speed Figures in the low 70s. We believe there is a reasonable chance that Chrysolite’s improved performances on turf were unrelated to surface, in which case the improvement can be expected to Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 12.30.56 PMcarry over to dirt. Chrysolite is a full sister to Freud’s Notebook, a multiple stakes winner who won 9 races in her career, 8 of those routing on the dirt, en route to banking over $400k in her career. And Chrysolite’s TFUS Pedigree Rating is higher for dirt (83) than it is for turf (78).

We also hold out hope that returning to dirt will result in Chrysolite showing a bit more early speed, which might allow her to stay in touch with this field early.

The play:

Win bet on Chrysolite.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus for Sunday, July 27

summerblogad

Hand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Saratoga, Race 4:

#12 Lunar Rover

Finished just behind today’s rival Aslan last time, but took the worst of it trip-wise in there.

In a tie for best last-out speed figure in the field.

Still has upside, and should be tough after drawing in to this off-the-turf affair.

7/2 on ML.

—————————-

Saratoga, Race 5:

#4 Swakopmund

Has been holding good form on turf, but will not be affected by the switch to dirt.

In fact, may be better on the main track, where she has recorded 5 of her 6 career wins.

10/1 on ML.

————————

Saratoga, Race 10:

#9 Chrysolite

Has improved recently on turf, but lone dirt start this year, over a sprint distance, was a good effort with a big gallop-out.

Her full sister, Freud’s Notebook, was best as a main track router.

Last turf race was not as bad an effort as it may appear, as she was stuck inside & behind horses for a long way.

She is the TFUS Top Play for Saratoga today.

15/1 on ML

—————————-

Monmouth Race 5

#3 Tell Tale Friend

No disgrace in last when running evenly off a long layoff in a turf sprint.

Stretches out and switches back to dirt for sharp connections with trainer Lopez and rider Serpa rating a 99 together.

Projected to get a clear early lead.

10-1 on ML

—————————————————–

Monmouth Race 10

#9 Valid

Drawn outside again; this time there’s no Itsmyluckyday in the race.

Seemed to be getting the better of Bradester late in last and now gets another 1/16th of a mile to work with.

6-1 on ML

———————————————————–

Monmouth Race 11

#10 Joe Tess

Capable of stealing this.

Lone turf try was impressive and now switches back to the lawn.

Catches a field where the favorites have many negatives.

10-1 on ML

————————————————————————–
Del Mar Race 8:

Goldencents, the 2 horse:

Earned outstanding speed figure of 117 in last start.

Handles Poly beautifully.

Training up a bloody storm for this.

8-5 on ML.
————————————————————————–
Del Mar Race 10:

Q’ Viva, the 11 horse:

Has the best last-out speed figure in the race: a 78.

Trainer gets 95 rating with this rider.

Appreciate easier company today.

7-2 on ML.

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A TimeformUS Speed Figure Update with Haskell implications

In keeping with our policy of always trying to give our customers the most accurate data possible, we are making an adjustment to the TimeformUS Speed Figures for the Wood Memorial. As more evidence came in, it became clear to us that the figures for the race needed to be adjusted downward, and waiting until Monday to adjust them seems indefensible to us when the change affects a horse who will be racing in Sunday’s Haskell.

That horse is Social Inclusion, and his figure for the Wood has been reduced by 9 points. We apologize for any inconvenience this may cause, and will follow up in the next few days with a more in-depth post on the decision-making process.

To get free PPs for the Haskell, click here.

Posted in Data Analysis, Race Previews | 3 Comments