Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
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2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
Watch The Video>>
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
Learn More >>

5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
Learn More >>

6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
Learn More >>

7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Play for Sunday September 21

topbannerHand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

Race 6:

#1 Aesthetique

TimeformUS Top Play at Belmont.

Caught wide and on the chase after a fast pace that collapsed.

Projects for a better trip in tracking range of an easier pace this time.

Earned 85 TFUS Speed Figure for maiden win over this track and trip last year.

5/1 on ML.

Win bet on #1 Aesthetique.

 

Additional Horse in Focus at Belmont

Race 2:

#4 Tizquick

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Maiden owns the top TFUS Speed Figure in the field (84) by a clear margin.

Pace Projector places him clear early in a race that favors runners on or near the early lead.

Trainer does well with second-time starters (77 rating, vs. overall rating of 67).

5/1 on ML.

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Race 4:

#2 Hard to Stay Notgo

Has paired up TFUS Speed Figures of 90 in first two career starts, the second one an effort that was strongly upgraded due to a very fast pace.

Went that very fast pace over a closer-friendly track.

Gets Lasix for the first time today.

5/2 on ML.

 

 

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Belmont’s Sunday Highlight Horse: Maiden Tizquick looks good in the Bongard Stakes

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>Belmont / September 21 / Race 2 / 1:36 PM EDT

It is not often that we will advocate for a maiden running against winners, and rarer still that we will be interested in such a horse in a stakes race. However, in Sunday’s Bertram F. Bongard Stakes, we find ourselves attracted to just that kind of horse, one who has plenty going for him despite being the lone entrant in the field of six yet to have posted a win.
2014-09-21_11-39-35Tizquick debuted in a very strong NY-bred maiden race at Saratoga. That race was won in impressive fashion by Upstart with a 92 TFUS Speed Figure. Tizquick did some racing in that spot after being forced to steady at the break. He contested the pace while three-wide before taking over the lead. He then turned away a second challenge in the stretch before Upstart arrived to blow through on the inside to a clear-cut win. Upstart would then come right back 9 days later to win a stakes race with a TFUS Speed Figure of 91. He has the look of a very nice horse.
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The race Tizquick debuted in received a race rating of 84. The Bongard is rated at just 73. Tizquick enters this race as the fastest horse, having earned an 84 TFUS Speed Figure for his debut run. The fastest race run by any of his rivals today is the 75 figure earned by ML favorite Bullheaded Boy for his debut win. And, to add to his appeal, Tizquick is projected to be on a clear early lead in a race expected to favor runners on or near the front.
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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Play for Saturday September 20th

topbannerHand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

Belmont Race 7:

#2 Hardly

Competitive in here if able to step forward from solid TFUS Speed Figures earned at the end of last year.

Appeared to get some fitness out of return after making a long mid-race move before tiring late.

Trainer’s overall rating of 62 improves to a 72 with runners making their second start off the layoff.

20/1 on ML.

Win bet on #2 Hardly.

Exactas: Hardly back and forth with #4 Cash For Ever and #5 Sky Painter.

Additional Horse in Focus at Belmont

Belmont Race 6:

#9 Marie Antoinette

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Made promising debut here last year when getting the best of a stretch-long duel before being closed down late.

Didn’t have her best chance in her next two starts, which were both dominated up front.

New trainer gets strong 89 rating with older maidens and does his best work at this track, with top ratings across several categories.

10/1 on ML.
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Belmont Race 10:

#6 Dubai Sky

Ran well through a tough trip in debut.

Trainer tends not to have his 2yos fully cranked at first asking, so he may benefit greatly from the experience.

Has a big pedigree (86 rating for turf routes is tops in the field) as a full brother to Twirling Candy.

3/1 on ML

 

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Belmont’s Saturday Highlight Horse: Marie Antoinette moves to Toner barn in race 6

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>Belmont / September 20 / Race 6 / 3:41 PM EDT

Marie Antoinette enters today’s 6th race, a MSW for fillies and mares over 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf, off of a layoff of 272 days. She will also be making her first start for the underrated Jimmy Toner (more on him in a minute) after getting off to a promising start to her career while in the Todd Pletcher barn.

Marie Antoinette has run TimeformUS Speed Figures of 80-84-72 in her three starts to date. These figures are among the best in the field (only two of her rivals today have run as fast or faster), and she ran them as a 2yo. Clearly, with the kind of natural improvement we expect to see from horses making the transition from two to three, Marie Antoinette can readily get to a level that would make her strongly competitive in this field. She earned an 80 first time out in a game try when engaging in a stretch-long duel and prevailing in that battle only to be caught late by a perfect-trip closer. She improved to an 84 in her second start, but was unfortunate to run into a sharp rival in Irish Score, who ran away to a big (and surprising) win at 21/1 odds. In her final start of the year, Marie Antoinette once again disappointed as the favorite, but she faced a very tough scenario that day. Rated out wide and away from a slow pace (note the pace figures/fractions shaded in blue), she had no choice but to try a four-wide run at fresh frontrunners through the turn, and she was unable to catch them.

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Marie Antoinette is unlikely to be a short price today as she exits the Pletcher barn, but we are not viewing this trainer change as a negative. Her new trainer is among the best around, and he knows something about developing talented turf runners (Soaring Softly, Memories of Silver, and Winter Memories come immediately to mind). His overall trainer rating of 71 improves to a 90 with runners at Belmont Park, a 96 in routes at this track, and a perfect 100 with older maidens here.

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3-Yr-Old Rock Stars @ Parx: Our Previews of the G1 Pennsylvania Derby & G1 Cotillion

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>Parx / September 20th / Race 11, The G1 Cotillion / 4:45 PM EDT

By Mike Beer

The 2014 crop of 3yo fillies has been dominated by one horse from the start of the year, and that horse, Untapable, will once again be in the spotlight in Saturday’s Grade 1, $1 million Cotillion at Parx.

Since she is so clearly the horse to beat in this race, let’s start with her before we move on and check out some of the other talented runners in the field.

Untapable has run against her fellow 3yo fillies four times so far this year. She was won those four races by a combined 31 lengths, and has never had an anxious moment in any of them. She overcame the far outside post and the best her class had to offer in her comprehensive win in the marquee race for this division, the Kentucky Oaks, back on May 2. And, most recently, she acquitted herself quite well when finally taking a much anticipated shot against the boys in the Grade 1 Haskell. Considering that the Haskell was dominated up front over a track that was favoring inside speed, Untapable did very well indeed to finish just shy of two lengths out of second place after getting caught out in a wide trip all the way.

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There is no need for us to go on and on about a horse who is going to be heavily favored on Saturday. To us, Untapable deserves to be heavily favored in the Cotillion, and we are having a difficult time mustering much enthusiasm for playing against her. So let’s see if we can find some value underneath.

We’ll note here that Stopchargingmaria, who made hay at Saratoga in Untapable’s absence, is likely to scratch from this race and instead await a start back home in NY.

Of the others, Sweet Reason is clearly the one from whom Untapable has the most to fear. The question surrounding Sweet Reason in this spot is obvious. To this point in her career, she has established herself as a horse who is at her best around one turn. In picking up her third Grade 1 victory, in the prestigious Test Stakes at Saratoga, she now has something that Untapable does not have. But taking a horse like her on the stretch-out, as talented as she is, has a way of not working out in this game. We like her very much as a horse, but we have to be against her as the second choice on Saturday.

Joint Return has quietly gone about her business from day one, racking up stakes wins and putting money in the bank, and she did her very best when parlaying a perfect trip into a Grade 1 placing at Saratoga last time. She’s a deep closer who will be running at the end while hoping the race comes back to her a bit. In that scenario she could get a piece, but Pace Projector doesn’t like her chances to catch a set-up, and her lifetime top TFUS Speed Figure of 93 leaves her wanting.

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Little Alexis has made no mistakes through just three career starts, and she ran a fast race in her debut way back in February. She has real talent and upside, which is a combination we like, but this is a very tough spot in which to stretch out in distance for the first time. We’ll see where she stands on the board come post time, but at a big price we could use her.

Jojo Warrior has put up new top figures of 95 and 98 since stretched out in distance for her last two starts. She ships in for a top trainer, and she has the speed to be a forward factor from the start. There are things to like here, and getting out in front of Untapable may not be the worst idea in the world, but Jojo Warrior is going to have to improve to get a piece of this. Since she doesn’t feel like a very interesting price in this race, we’re looking elsewhere to complete our exacta.

Cassatt and Vero Amore look too slow, though the former is lightly raced and has never run a bad race.

That leaves us with House Rules, and at 20/1 on the ML, she will be our main use with Untapable. House Rules began to improve with more distance in Florida over the winter, and she dropped a couple of tough decisions to Todd Pletcher-trained short-priced favorites in graded stakes down there. She didn’t seem to run up to her best around one turn at Belmont when defeated by both Untapable and Sweet Reason in June, but she was back at the top of her game at Saratoga last month. It was only an allowance race, and she faced a field rated at just 93, but House Rules came through with one of the best performances of her career in that start, which was her first official start with trainer Jimmy Jerkens. We think she prefers two turns to one, and since she has established graded stakes credentials from early in the year, we’ll take her to complete our Cotillion exacta with the heavy favorite.

The play:

Exacta: Untapable over House Rules.

>Parx / September 20th / Race 12, The G1 (In our opinion) Pennsylvania Derby / 5:40 PM EDT/Click on this link to get free PPs for the race

By Justin Finch

Nominally a Grade 2, the $1,000,000 Pennsylvania Derby has a Grade 1 feel this year, as well as a Grade 1 purse, and that, of course, is due to the presence of 2014 Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner California Chrome. California Chrome is even-money on the morning line for this 9-furlong race. But we have an interesting field of eight horses, and there figure to be some nice prices on the toteboard for those who fancy the chances of anyone other than the favorite.

According to the TimeformUS Pace Projector, at the opening half-mile, Bayern will have a clear early lead. Protonico will be a stalking second, closely followed by a ground-saving California Chrome and a wide C J’s Awesome. Then there will be another gap back to the next group of three, this one composed of Noble Moon, Tapiture, and Candy Boy. Then there will be a healthy gap back to the trailer, Classic Giacnroll. The pace of the Pennsylvania Derby projects to favor neither frontrunners nor closers.

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Now let’s take a look at the field in post position order, with morning line odds in parentheses:

California Chrome (1-1): His scintillating six-race winning streak ended with his disappointing performance in the Belmont, which he came away from with an injured foot. Now he’s back after a break of 105 days. His trainer, Art Sherman, is not what we would call a “layoff trainer.” Indeed, he gets a rating of only 66 with layoff horses (on a short sample). And it’s hard to avoid wondering whether the grinding Triple Crown chase took a toll on California Chrome. Moreover, his connections have expressed a hint of frustration over not being able to get more workouts into their horse, and his workouts have received mixed reviews from the clockers. But let us not go too far with this negativity. California Chrome is a colt who can run speed figures of 117 at his best. He is not going 12 furlongs today. He is not facing Shared Belief. If he runs his race, he is very likely to win the Pennsylvania Derby, and that is a statement that cannot plausibly be made about any other horse in this race, with the arguable exception of Bayern. California Chrome is the most likely winner. Whether he is worth betting on at dimunitive odds is a different matter altogether.

Candy Boy (10-1): No match for California Chrome in the spring, he seems to have come into his own of late. He received deceptively difficult trips in both the Los Alamitos Derby (where he launched an early, wide assault on Shared Belief and was taken to the woodshed down that endless Los Al stretch for his trouble) and the West Virginia Derby, where he had trouble of the mundane sort (groundloss) while the winner had trouble of the “highlight film” sort. We have never been big fans of John Sadler shippers. And his circuit switch rating is a scanty 58. But this colt ran his race in West Virginia, Sadler notwithstanding, and he’s 10-1 on the ML, and adjusting his recent speed figures for groundloss, were one so bold, would put this colt in territory that can win this race. A very interesting horse in this spot.

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Protonico (8-1): Received a claustrophobic trip most of the way in the Grade 3 Smarty Jones. Then got some breathing room and exploded late for the score. It was a nice effort. It was his first graded stakes win. It earned a respectable speed figure of 102. However, better will almost certainly be needed today. But his trainer, Todd Pletcher, gets a rating of 98 when attempting a repeat victory and 89 in three-year-old stakes.

Bayern (7-2): Ran a clunker in the Travers, and we don’t think that the 10 furlongs or the fast pace or the drying- out track serve as reasonable explanations, even in combination. Went back to California after the Travers. Worked a couple of times at Santa Anita. And now Baffert sends him to Pennsylvania. Bayern is no stranger to clunkers, nor is he a stranger to running huge races in their wake. His best speed figures, a 118 and a 116, are a match for California Chrome’s best. He figures to have a clear early lead in here. Baffert gets a 95 rating with circuit switchers. Bayern has a puncher’s chance in here.

Noble Moon (15-1): Improving colt is in tough.

Classic Giacnroll (15-1): Saved almost all of the ground in the Smarty Jones but was still overpowered by Protonico after that one overcame considerable trouble. We have a hard time seeing Classic Giacnroll reversing that verdict today, let alone dealing with the best that this salty field has to offer. But he does have the best Late Pace rating in the field, a 105, and that could stand him in good stead as far as hitting the bottom of the trifecta is concerned.

Tapiture (5-1): Has won two Grade 2s and two Grade 3s. Comes in off solid speed figures of 108 and 107, numbers that can play in here if California Chrome and Bayern fail to bring their best. Overcame showy trouble in winning the Grade 2 West Virginia Derby in his last start. Locked in down on the rail in mid-stretch, his rider checked him hard, yanked him off the rail, and then made an electrifying late run to nail Candy Boy on the line. Tapiture is a contender. What gives us pause is our nagging feeling that there are a couple of horses in here whose best, should they bring it, will render Tapiture’s best inadequate to the occasion.

C J’s Awesome (12-1): Improving colt finds a difficult spot today.

The play: Win bet on Candy Boy (assuming that his morning line odds of 10-1 hold up reasonably well).

Use Candy Boy under California Chrome and Bayern in exactas.

Use Candy Boy and Bayern in multi-race wagers.

 

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Stakes Preview – Saturday’s G2 Gallant Bloom at Belmont Park

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>Belmont Park / September 20th / Race 8 / 4:45 PM EDT 

Saturday’s Grade 2 Gallant Bloom at Belmont, for fillies and mares sprinting 6.5 furlongs, has the feel, at least to us, of the first Breeders’ Cup prep race of the season. That has everything to do with the ML favorite for the race, Artemis Agrotera, making what is expected to be her final start on the way to Santa Anita. There are only six entered to run, so let’s take a closer look at the field in post position order.

#1 is Artemis Agrotera. Four-for-six lifetime and already a dual Grade 1 winner, she comes here directly off of a 6 1/2- length demolition of the Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga, for which she earned a solid 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure. She has been installed as a heavy favorite on the ML for this race, and if she is going to run as well on Saturday as she did in the Ballerina, then her ML price may be a bargain. Of course, no one needs us to expound on the virtues of a 4/5 shot, so let’s play devil’s advocate for a minute.

She is clearly a talented runner, one who still may have upside. We aren’t keen on knocking this horse. But she did receive a terrific ride from her inside post in the Ballerina, which, to be fair, did not draw a vintage field this year (the 113 rating it received is equal to the rating for this Grade 2 event). She has drawn the rail again, only this time in a race with much more speed signed on, so quickly getting into that perfect outside stalking position will be no easy task. And while the 113 speed figure she earned for her last race is solid, it has been either matched or surpassed by three of her five rivals today at some point in their careers. Finally, we note the 113 was in fact a 3-point downgrade from her final time figure of 116 in the Ballerina–those 3 points were deducted because of the easy pace of the race.

Still, this horse has much going for her and is clearly the horse to beat in this race.

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#2 is Merry Meadow. She is a hard-trying filly who runs nothing but good races, and she has held her own in graded stakes competition all year long. She has also never run a race that is fast enough to win this, assuming the others show up with something approaching their best.

#3 is Bridgehampton. The “other” Hushion runner, she also earned a 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure in her last start. She is a very fast horse who projects to be on the early lead in this race, which our Pace Projector interestingly indicates will favor runners on or near the early lead. We’ve always liked her, and think she can be competitive with these horses, but we also think she faces a tough task having to deal with the other speeds, as well as the favorite.

#4 is Classic Point. She is our wildcard to use somewhere in this race, and she’ll be a price. Obviously, she’ll have to get back to her good form from last summer in order to contend here, but that is not out of the question. We can excuse her last two races, the ultra-tough Ogden Phipps going longer, and the Bed O’ Roses, in which she had an impossible trip. The trainer change to Jimmy Jerkens from his legendary father is a move that worked with another horse from this owner recently. That horse, House Rules, re-found her prior good form in crushing a field at Saratoga and is headed to the Grade 1 Cotillion on Saturday.

#5 is Willet. Poor Willet had the weight of the world on her shoulders heading into the Ballerina, with seemingly everyone, including us, thinking she was the right horse in that race. Things didn’t work out for her that day, but she still has plenty going for her, and if the bandwagon has emptied, it may pay to stick with her today. She is the lone closer in a race loaded with speed types, and her best race makes her a major player in here.

#6 is La Verdad. She has run the two fastest races in this field–a 122 TimeformUS Speed Figure for her win over Willet on July 3rd and a 120 for her easy win over Bridgehampton, among others, in the Grade 2 Distaff back in April. She was no match for Artemis Agrotera last time, but she has a lot of speed and is at her best right up on the engine. Whether that style will play in this race is a big question to us, and we aren’t so sure that she can fight this thing out for the entire 6 1/2 furlongs.

The play:

We aren’t wildly against the favorite in this race, but we feel that there is enough going on to take at least a small chance against her. Our idea to try to make some money is to get Classic Point into the mix at a big price. If she can rebound to one of her good races, she can be there, and we’ll use her with Artemis Agrotera and Willet.

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TimeformUS Horses in Focus and Top Play for Friday September 19th

topbannerHand-selected by The TimeformUS team, Horses in Focus stand out on our feature sets, such as pace projector, TimeformUS speed figures, spotlight ratings, trainer ratings, pedigree ratings, etc. We offer expanded analysis on one of the Horses in Focus, as well as designating which horse is our Top Play on the day. Expect to see TimeformUS Horses in Focus on this blog typically every Wednesday-Sunday. If Horses in Focus are available for tracks with a later post-time, they will be added to this post throughout the day.

Today’s Top Play at Belmont

Race 8:

#10 Mills

>Read a detailed analysis of this horse

Had little chance last time when wide throughout behind a front-running winner.

Gets a trainer change today, which may do him some good after failing to develop so far this year.

Takes blinkers off (100 rating for this trainer) and switches to Rosario, a combination of moves that has produced two winners at this meet already for Mott.

12/1 on ML.

Win bet on Mills.

Additional Horses in Focus at Belmont

Race 4

#8 Blue Collar Cat

Makes 3yo debut with a drop in class and a change to a sharp young trainer (86 overall rating).

Ran a TFUS Speed Figure of 69 the last time he ran in maiden company, a figure that makes him competitive in this race without any further development.

Lands in the right kind of race, with the two ML favorites having combined to go 0-for-31 to this point.

10/1 on ML.

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Race 5:

#4 Helm

Stepped up to a new top figure of 100 in commanding score over synthetic two back.

Faced tough scenario when wide against a clear-cut front-running winner on turf last time.

Can get a more comfortable trip rating in range with more than one speed entered in this spot.

4/1 on ML.

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