Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

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More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

 

 

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
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2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
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3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
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5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
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6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
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7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
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Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Sunday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Playwright back at his favorite distance following a troubled trip

Aqueduct | Race 6 | Post Time 2:47 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 
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Expert (#1) is likely to attract plenty of support as he makes his first start off the claim for Jason Servis and Michael Dubb. This horse ran a competitive speed figure for his prior connections when winning an N2L claiming event by 6 lengths last time out, but that victory came going 9 furlongs. The cutback to a one-turn mile seems like a minor negative, but Jason Servis has been known to inject more speed into runners like this. I’m using him, but I think he could get overbet in this spot, and there are others coming into this race in solid form.

A wild card in this field is Starship Zeus (#5), who has recorded a string of speed figures that would beat this field. However, he is difficult to trust as he makes his first start in 9 months. Even when he was at his best, he was never a horse that liked to win races and his running style tends to put him at a disadvantage in races that lack pace. I’m using him defensively, but I could never pick him on top.

Playwright.png

My top pick is PLAYWRIGHT (#3), who ran well at a similar level going 7 furlongs last time. He arguably could have won that race had he not gotten into trouble on the far turn. Attempting to move up between horses, he got caught in a tight spot and clipped heels. Manny Franco did well to stay in the saddle, and got him to rally again for second. I like the slight stretch-out to a mile, which has always been his best distance. The Danny Gargan barn has been doing quite well in recent weeks, and I think he has this horse in good form right now. Furthermore, he should not be hindered by rain in the forecast as a son of the slop-loving Super Saver.

THE PLAY

Win: 3
Exacta Key Box: 3 with 1,4,5
Trifecta: 3 with 1,4,5 with 1,4,5,6,7

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, December 16

Race 3: Pretentious (#6)

  • Has improved since being claimed and stretched out to a mile.
  • Did well to overcome a slow pace last time while closing against arguably tougher company.
  • Mertkan Kanarmaci’s horses have been running surprisingly well during the past month.

7-2 on ML

———

Race 6: Playwright (#3)

  • Was steadied on the far turn last time and did well to rally for second thereafter.
  • A one-turn mile is his best distance, having earned both of his career victories at this trip.
  • The Danny Gargan barn has started to pick up steam in the last month.

4-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Blindwillie McTell (#6)

  • Chased home a very talented horse in Le General last time while finishing well clear of the rest.
  • Should work out a good trip from off the pace in a race that is predicted to feature a fast pace.
  • DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past 5 years, Linda Rice is 20 for 49 (41 percent, $3.26 ROI) with second time starting maidens in dirt sprints at Aqueduct.

4-1 on ML

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Saturday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Morning Breez benefits from a lack of pace on the return to dirt

Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time 3:17 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 
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With the scratch of Benevolence, Candid Desire (#6) is likely to go off as the favorite. This runner is an intriguing prospect as he drops back in for a tag in his second start for the Jason Servis barn. He was claimed out of a race at this level in August, and the new connections got pretty aggressive right off the bat, running him against the best New York-bred sprinters in the Hudson. Not only was he overmatched, but the race didn’t set up for him as the pace failed to develop. Now he’s back at the right class level, but it’s hard to know what we’re going to get from a horse that produced a career-best effort out of nowhere in June and has failed to match that performance since. Furthermore, he is notoriously hindered by any moisture in the track and the track is starting off rated good.

One of the most noteworthy aspects of this race is the lack of early speed, and I think that could make MORNING BREEZ (#9) particularly dangerous.

Dec15-Race7-Pace-Projector.png

The Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring horses on or near the lead, and Morning Breez is just faster than everyone else in the early going. He ran better than it seems two back, as he chased a fast pace that collapsed when finishing behind Benevolence, and I was very encouraged by his turf experiment last time. I just think this horse is in great form right now, and he’s likely to work out a perfect trip. At a much bigger price, I also want to throw in Arthur’s Hope. This horse reared at the start last time and lost all chance. However, he actually still ran quite well within the context of that race, making a premature move into contention before faltering. He had previously faced significantly tougher company and is now getting the class relief that he needs.

THE PLAY

Win: 9
Exacta Key Box: 9 with 3,5,6
Trifecta: 9 with 3,6 with 2,3,4,5,6

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday, December 15

Race 5: Trouble for Skylar (#1)

  • Was hindered by racing inside last time over a track that was favoring outside paths.
  • Has back races that would make her very competitive here if she can get back to them.
  • Trainer Armando De La Cerda does well with horses adding blinkers.

10-1 on ML

———

Race 7: Morning Breez (#9)

  • The Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring horses on or near the lead, and he should be in front early.
  • Ran deceptively well two back when he chased a fast pace that collapsed.
  • His most recent turf experiment confirms that he’s in very good form right now.

5-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Honor Up (#5)

  • Has been in excellent recent form since the trainer switch to Michelle Nevin.
  • Was flattered when last-out winner Stan the Man returned to run a respectable race in the Cigar Mile.
  • The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, and shows him among those that should be closing from farther back in the pack.

6-1 on ML

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Friday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Miss Marilyn can take a step forward in her second start

Aqueduct | Race 4 | Post Time 1:47 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 
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The favorites are posted toward the outside in this one-mile maiden event. I suppose Romantic Pursuit (#7) is the horse to beat off her encouraging debut effort. She actually broke just fine that day, but she was very slow into stride thereafter, losing contact with the field in the run down the backstretch. Once this filly finally hit her best stride coming to the quarter pole, she did well to pass most of the field, nearly getting up for second on the wire.

Stonewalker (#6) has a similar profile to Romantic Pursuit, in that she’s stretching out off a third-place finish in a slow race. Given the way she ran in that debut, I think she’s likely to improve going a mile, but the jury’s still out regarding her overall ability.

In some ways, Always Shopping (#8) is more trustworthy given that she’s already handled the distance. She didn’t show much in her debut at Saratoga, but she took a big step forward last time, making a sustained outside run after getting off the rail. I tend to think that others can surpass if they improve with added distance, but I’m not going to be surprised when she wins.

Miss-Marilyn

I’m using all of these horses, but I want to get a bit more creative, so I’m taking a shot with MISS MARILYN (#4). Generally, I want to stay away from horses that made their debuts in off-the-turf races. However, I want to be somewhat forgiving of this one because I don’t think Miss Marilyn is really meant for the turf. She’s by dirt route sire Bellamy Road and she’s a half-sister to dirt sprinter Phi Beta Express. She didn’t run particularly fast in her debut, but I thought she needed the race. She was inside early and seemed to lose interest on the turn before angling to the center of the track. She’s a big, long-striding filly who probably will need to race into fitness, so I think we’re going to see an improved performance this time.

THE PLAY

Win: 4
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 6,7,8

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Friday, December 14

Race 2: Awesome Adversary (#5)

  • Showed significant improvement after being gelded prior to his third start.
  • Ran a competitive speed figure while facing much tougher company last time.
  • Drops in for a tag for the first time.

6-1 on ML

———

Race 4: Miss Marilyn (#4)

  • Debuted in an off-the-turf race, but is bred to be a dirt horse.
  • Long-striding daughter of Bellamy Road may have needed her debut and could appreciate switch to fast track.
  • DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past 5 years, Danny Gargan is 6 for 23 (26 percent, $3.13 ROI) with second-time starting maidens on the dirt.

10-1 on ML

 ———

Race 8: Passporttovictory (#1)

  • Her last speed figure looks pretty low, but that number arguably could have been much higher given the competition.
  • Has been in very good form since entering Jeremiah Englehart’s barn.
  • Should sit a good trip stalking the speedy Leah’s Dream.

4-1 on ML

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Thursday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Connolly’s Beads can produce a better effort off the layoff

Aqueduct | Race 1 | Post Time 12:50 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 
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Big Engine (#2) is going to be sent off as a heavy favorite in this race, but I have some reservations. While he apparently ran a fast race in his debut at Belmont, I have some doubts about the legitimacy of that performance. It was a 4-horse off-the-turf field, which featured only two horses with dirt form. Notably, Big Engine was entered for turf, which is not surprising given his overwhelmingly turf-oriented pedigree. He ran well during the race, leading for most of the way before succumbing to the winner late, but I think the speed figures for everyone in this field came up a bit too high. Whether you’re looking at Beyers or TimeformUS Speed Figures, winner Smokin Platinum returned to run slower in his two subsequent starts, and I also find it hard to believe that last-place finisher Light the Posse ran quite as fast as the figures suggest, given his prior form. I’m dubious about this horse’s ability to repeat that effort, and I’m against him.

Among the short prices, I strongly prefer Ready to Escape (#6). I know that he’s had his chances, but he’s run well enough to win races at this level in all of his starts, and his most recent effort was much better than it appears. Sep. 27 was a day that strongly favored horses racing on the rail, and this gelding made a 4-wide move on the far turn. My only concern with him is the series of gaps between his races, and the fact that he was a vet scratch in late October at Belmont.

I’m using him prominently, but I want to take a shot with CONNOLLY’S BEADS (#5) as my top pick.

Connollys-Beads.png

This colt figures to be a distant third choice in the wagering, but I think he has a right to upset this field. After selling for a large sum as a yearling, he made his debut late in his 2-year-old season, and clearly needed the race. He ran much better next time out in a race that may have been better than the speed figures suggest. He’s had a lot of time off since then, but Gary Gullo actually has very good numbers in this situation. Over the past 5 years, he is 4 for 9 ($3.36 ROI) off layoffs of 180 days or more with maidens in dirt sprints. I expect a solid effort as he returns and gets a chance to compete over a fast track for the first time.

THE PLAY

Win: 5
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 2,6

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