Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

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Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

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More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

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How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
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2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
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3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
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5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
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6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
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7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
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Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Posted in Product features, Welcome to TimeformUS | Tagged , , , , , | 11 Comments

Belmont Park Horses in Focus on Wednesday September 28th

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

Race 4: 


Bow Tie Affair (#12)
 
Was hindered by a poor start two back and a slow pace last time.
Has put forth some of his best efforts in turf sprints.
Gets a positive rider switch to Joel Rosario.
10/1 on ML
————–
Race 5:
 
Forever in Love (#9)
 
Was never near the rail last time on a day when horses racing along the hedge had an advantage.
Should get some pace to close into with multiple speeds signed on.
Linda Rice gets a 98 trainer rating when she rides Jose Ortiz.
8/1 on ML
———
Race 8:
 
Highway Star (#8)
 
Earned the highest last-out speed figure.
Should appreciate getting back to a one-turn race.
Is drawn well, outside of her main pace rivals.
7/2 on ML
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Belmont Wednesday Highlight Horse: Forever in Love can make amends in today’s 5th race

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>Belmont | Race 5 | Post Time 3:36 EDT | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

This might be the most interesting race on the card, as you can make a valid case for almost all of the runners in this field. However, there is one runner in particular that I want to bet today.

FOREVER IN LOVE (#9) made his debut against open company last time, and he just didn’t get the right trip. That race was run at a time, towards the end of the Saratoga meet, when the rails were down and horses that raced along the hedge had an advantage. While Forever in Love was not extremely wide, he did have to race in the two- to three-path throughout and was spun even wider for the stretch drive. Considering that the race was won by a frontrunner, I don’t think he had a chance to put forth his best effort.

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Today, Forever in Love figures to get more pace to close into, with the likes of speeds such as Mighty Mo (#1), Toughest ‘Ombre (#3), and Cloontia (#4) among the cast of rivals. This Linda Rice trainee should be a fair price today, and I believe he’s good enough to come out on top given the right setup.

Others to include in exactas and trifectas with my top selection are Mighty Mo (#1), who was steadied after getting intimidated at the top of the stretch when facing tougher company last time; the New York-bred Cloontia (#4), who may have competition for the early lead this time; Intensity (#6), who has a right to move forward off his decent return for Chad Brown; and Cave Johnson (#8), who might have won last time had he not been forced to alter course at the top of the stretch.

THE PLAY

Win: 9

Exacta Key Box: 9 with 1,4,6,8

Trifecta: 9 with 1,3,4,6,8 with 1,3,4,6,8

 

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Belmont Sunday Highlight Horse: Old Harbor is poised to repeat in the John Hettinger

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>Belmont | Race | Post Time EDT | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

While I respect Fourstar Crook (#2), who comes into this riding a five-race winning streak, I don’t want to take a very short price on a filly that figures to drop much lower than her 2/1 morning line. Furthermore, while she was best in the Yaddo, that race had a real outside flow to it, as all three runners that filled out the trifecta made wide late moves. I’m taking a shot against her here because I love the chances of one of her competitors.
 
OLD HARBOR (#6), last year’s winner of the Hettinger, appears to find herself in a great situation today in a race that features very little pace.
screen-shot-2016-09-25-at-11-59-34-am
Perhaps Invading Humor will show some early intitiative, as our Pace Projector suggests, but Old Harbor figures to work out a preferred stalking trip. She gets a positive rider switch to Jose Ortiz and is coming off one of the best performances of her career, having earned a 118 speed figure while breaking the track record at Delaware Park. As she’s gotten older, she has seemed more fond of additional distance, so she figures to relish this mile and an eighth. Her morning line price of 8/1 would be a steal.
I’ll key Old Harbor on top of most wagers, and will primarily use Fourstar Crook and The Tea Cups (#7) underneath. Given a much bigger price, I could throw in Selenite (#10) on the bottom rungs of trifecta bets, since she ran well two back and was never really clear in the stretch last time.
THE PLAY
 
Win: 6
Trifecta: 6 with 2,7 with 2,3,5,7,8,10
Trifecta: 6 with 3,5,8,10 with 2,7
Posted in Race Previews | 1 Comment

Belmont Park Horses in Focus on Sunday September 25th

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Race 3:

I’m Amazing (#2)

Was four-wide all the way around the far turn last time, still stayed on well to be fourth.

Should show more speed today with the addition of blinkers.

Nearly won a race going wire to wire two back.

2/1 on ML
———-

Race 6:

Culpa Mia (#5)

Is by strong turf sire Street Boss and out of a dam that has produced one turf winner.

Ran very well in her debut after getting shuffled back along the rail on the backstretch.

Bill Mott gets an 80 trainer rating with horses getting Lasix for the first time.

12/1 on ML
————-

Race 8:

Old Harbor (#6)

Never had a chance to run in the stretch of the Yaddo when she was blocked behind horses.

Should be more forwardly placed today, as she was when breaking the track record at Delaware.

Gets a positive rider switch to Jose Ortiz.

8/1 on ML

Posted in Race Previews | 1 Comment

Belmont Saturday Highlight Horse: My Sweet Girl (15-1ML) gets back to what she does best in the Noble Damsel

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>Belmont | Race 8 | Post Time 5:16 EDT | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

There is not much pace in this Noble Damsel, which figures to benefit Zindaya (#6). She’s been ridden from just off the pace in recent starts, but one would imagine that her connections would have to revert to the front-running tactics that have worked for her in the past. She’s the horse to beat, but her stablemate, Mrs McDougal (#5), is a formidable rival. This may be her best distance, and she should appreciate the slight drop in class after being defeated in a couple of Grade 1 tries. A repeat of her effort in the Grade 1 Just a Game would make her awfully tough to beat.

I’ll certainly use those two, but my top pick is MY SWEET GIRL (#8).

screen-shot-2016-09-24-at-11-48-21-am

I realize that she’s the third or fourth most likely winner of this race, but I believe her price will make her playable. This filly has really improved this year, especially since Barclay Tagg has focused on races at or around today’s one-mile distance. When she’s right, she can produce a devastating late kick. She wasn’t able to fully unleash that closing speed last time when buried down on the rail, but she should get a clear run, having drawn outside today. We received some rain in the area last night, which should enhance her chances since she seems to move up on turf courses that have a bit of give to them.

The other runner exiting the De La Rose, Stormy Victoria (#7), is far from impossible, but she worked out a great rail-skimming trip and was just second-best to the winner. I like her getting back to one turn, but My Sweet Girl figures to be a better price and I’m not convinced that she isn’t the more talented filly anyway.

THE PLAY 

Win/Place: 8

Exacta Key Box: 8 with 5,6,7

Trifecta: 8 with 5,6 with 1,5,6,7

Trifecta: 5,6 with 8 with 1,5,6,7

 

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Belmont Park Horses in Focus on Saturday September 24th

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Race 3:

Spieth (#5)

Kiaran McLaughlin gets a 95 trainer rating with second-time starters.

Was off slowly in his debut and finished well.

Is bred to handle the stretch-out in distance.

4/1 on ML
———–

Race 8:

My Sweet Girl (#8)

Relishes a turf course with some give in it.

Is at her best going a flat mile.

The outside post should allow her to make better use of her tactical speed.

15/1 on ML
——–

Race 9:

Whateveryouwant (#2)

Is projected to be on the lead in a situation favoring the frontrunner.

Has some sneaky turf pedigree.

Mike Maker gets a 96 trainer rating first off the claim.

10/1 on ML

Posted in Race Previews | 1 Comment

Stakes Preview: In the G2 Pennsylvania Derby, It’s Gun Runner’s turn to step into the spotlight

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>>Go to the PPs for The G2 Pennsylvania Derby| Post Time 5:45 EDT Saturday

The $1,250,000 Pennsylvania Derby will be run for the 40th time on Saturday. Though this race still carries only Grade 2 status, today’s field is undoubtedly one of Grade 1 quality. The first three finishers in this year’s Kentucky Derby—Nyquist, Exaggerator, and Gun Runner—will all be in the starting gate, along with nine other talented rivals who are all looking to upend the leaders of this division heading into the fall.

The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, which should come as no surprise given the amount of speed signed on.

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-11-32-51-am

Confirmed frontrunner Cupid (#5) and Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist (#9) are predicted to be the two contesting the lead. Yet even though Nyquist has been ridden as a frontrunner in his last two starts, his connections have expressly stated that they are taking him off the pace today. But not to worry! Fellow speedsters Awesome Slew (#1) and Summer Revolution (#3) should both be gunning towards the front from the rail, and even Hit It Once More (#12) could be forwardly placed as he comes off two straight wire-to-wire stakes wins. A hot pace up front still seems very likely.

Let’s go through the field:

#1, Awesome Slew (10/1): 

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-11-36-30-am

What do you do with the horse that won the local prep race, the Smarty Jones? He was certainly impressive that day as he drew off to a runaway victory while earning a massive 121 speed figure, which, if taken at face value, would suggest that he’s a top contender in this race. However, I have some reservations. First of all, our bias indicator suggests that the dirt surface at Parx was somewhat speed-favoring on Smarty Jones day (note the race rating box color-coded pink), which would have aided this runner. Furthermore, his prior starts at Monmouth would seem to suggest that he’s a significant cut below the elite three-year-olds. Is it possible that he could have improved that much in the span of a couple of months? I’m dubious.

#2, Exaggerator (9/2):

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-11-33-26-am

I had always been among the camp that argued Exaggerator was perfectly capable of winning top races over fast tracks, but recent performances suggest that he may indeed be the mud freak that so many handicappers were so eager to proclaim him to be back in the spring. It’s easy to use the distance as an excuse in the Belmont Stakes—not to mention the wide trip that Kent Desormeaux worked out for him—but what was his excuse in the Travers? Yes, the track was mildly speed-favoring, but he never had any punch whatsoever, as he failed to even make his signature early move into contention heading around the far turn. I would wonder if he just doesn’t like New York, but he won the Saratoga Special as a two-year-old. That said, I won’t be shocked if he is able to rebound and still win this race, since he figures to get the right pace scenario and a mile and an eighth is probably his best distance. I’m on the fence, and could probably still get behind him at odds of around 5/1. However, it seems unlikely he’ll offer that much value. 

#3, Summer Revolution (8/1): This is the late-bloomer in the bunch. He did absolutely nothing wrong to kick off his career this summer, winning two straight sprints by open lengths while earning eye-catching speed figures. His connections took the plunge and stepped him up into Grade 1 company in the King’s Bishop last time, and he certainly wasn’t disgraced. Sure, the pace was on the slow side and being close to it helped his chances, but he still managed to finish a decent fourth against some of the best sprinting three-year-olds in the country. However, today the waters get even deeper, as this is an awfully difficult spot in which to make a two-turn debut. He’s likely to be a pace factor, but I’ll be surprised if he’s still around at the finish.

#4, Connect (12/1): I thought this son of Curlin could be one of the major players in the Travers last time as he attempted to make the step up in class off a gritty win in the prep race named for his sire. That obviously didn’t pan out, but I wonder if he could move forward off that effort. After all, he had never been taken as far off the pace as he was in the Travers and did make a move into fourth place on the far turn before flattening out in the stretch. I think it’s possible that Connect could have benefitted from that experience. He’s not quite my top selection, but I’m certainly not counting him out here at what should be a square price.

#5, Cupid (5/1): 

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-11-34-16-am

Cupid has gained a nice little reputation in the months since being removed from the Kentucky Derby trail by his connections—so much so that he was installed at the low price of 5/1 on the morning line in this spot. While he has earned respectable speed figures in each of his last two starts, any reasonable handicapper must acknowledge that those victories came at the expense of significantly inferior competition. This horse was badly exposed when he faced Grade 1 level competition previously, and though he has improved and gotten over some issues since then, I still believe he’s going to be an underlay today. Assuming he breaks well, he should be prominent until the top of the stretch, but I doubt he’ll still be in contention for the victory at the wire. 

#6, Wild About Deb (20/1): This guy was no match for Awesome Slew in the Smarty Jones last time. He was moderately against the track bias that day, but he’s still never run fast enough, in that effort or any of his previous starts, to suggest he can be a major factor here. I’ll pass.

#7, Gun Runner (6/1): 

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-11-34-28-am

Unlike Exaggerator, this colt’s record looks much more impressive when you put your finger over his sloppy track races. Racing over fast tracks, he’s won five starts, with his only losses coming in the form of third place finishes in the Kentucky Derby and Travers. He’s not exactly the kind of horse that makes your jaw drop, but he is steady. Whereas Nyquist and Exaggerator come into this race with spotty recent form, Gun Runner exits one of the best races of his career when third in the Travers, earning the highest last-out speed figure in today’s field at 125. Perhaps it seems odd to call a 15-length loss a horse’s best effort, especially when you’re discussing a multiple graded stakes winner, but I think it’s wise to essentially ignore the winner’s performance when assessing the Travers. In any normal year, Gun Runner would have lost the Midsummer Derby by just over a length, and would have done so while overcoming the disadvantageous outside post position in a field of 13. He’s versatile enough to relax a couple of lengths off the leaders early, so I’m not overly concerned about the prospect of a swift pace. The cutback to a mile and an eighth figures to suit him quite well and I think he’d offer fair value at around 7/2 odds. With any luck, we’ll get better than that.

#8, My Man Sam (20/1): I don’t want to be too hard on him for failing to make up ground in the Travers since few were able to make a late impact in a race that was primarily dominated on the front end. Nevertheless, he has yet to run a race that suggests he’s fast enough to come out on top today. At best, it seems like this one could fill out the bottom rungs of trifectas or superfectas.

#9, Nyquist (5/2): 

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-11-34-41-am

The Kentucky Derby winner comes into this Pennsylvania Derby in search of revenge. He has fallen from grace since losing his unbeaten record in the Preakness, with some even suggesting that he’s squandered what once seemed like an inevitable three-year-old championship. However, I wouldn’t be so fast to write him off. After all, misguided tactics are primarily to blame for his two most recent losses. In both the Haskell and Preakness, his connections decided that the best way to overcome the sloppy surfaces was to avoid getting caught in behind horses. That resulted in Nyquist setting fast paces that ultimately collapsed, setting the stage for Exaggerator’s two greatest triumphs. This time, Doug O’Neill has made it quite clear that a change of tactics is in order. Nyquist, he says, will be taken off the pace, just as he was in the Derby. I also wouldn’t discount the possibility that this horse just does not care for a wet, sealed dirt surface. I think he’s still the same horse and can rebound in this spot. The question is whether the others—like Gun Runner—have improved in the months since the Derby. I’ll certainly use Nyquist prominently in my wagers, but he doesn’t have much room for error.

#10, Sunny Ridge (12/1): It was nice to see this New Jersey-bred snag another Grade 1 placing in the Haskell as he picked up the pieces to finish third in a race that was coming apart late. This gelding has clearly run his best races over wet tracks—see his runner-up finish in the Champagne and close decision behind Exaggerator in the Delta Jackpot—and he is not going to get that kind of surface on Saturday. A minor award is still possible, but I prefer others on the top end of my tickets.

#11, Discreet Lover (30/1): He was no match for Awesome Slew and Wild About Deb in the Smarty Jones, and those two are outsiders in this race themselves. 

#12, Hit It Once More (20/1): This admirable New York-bred has really put things together over the past few months for Gary Sciacca, winning four of his last five career starts while reeling off two straight stakes victories. The 122 speed figure that he earned in the Albany suggests that he might be ready for this step up into open stakes company. However, that number was earned with the benefit of a slow pace (color-coded in blue), and today he is likely going to have to rate while chasing a fast pace from this wide post position. It seems like too tall of an order.

 THE PLAY

I believe the two most likely winners are Nyquist (#9) and GUN RUNNER (#7), and the value lies with the latter. I’ll bet him to win at anything over 7/2 odds and will also key him with some other contenders in exactas and trifectas.

Win: 7

Exacta Key Box: 7 with 2,4,9

Trifecta: 7 with 2,4,9 with 2,4,8,9,10

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