Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

 

 

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
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2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
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3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
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5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
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6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
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7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
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Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Belmont Park Horses in Focus for Friday, April 27th

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Race 3: Connie A (#3)

Was wide against gold rails in each of her last two starts.

Has run competitive speed figures in the past.

Would appreciate moisture in the track, since her only win came over a sloppy surface.

4-1 on ML

Race 8: Roman Approval (#1)

Should play out as the controlling speed in race where he is the only front-runner.

Mike Maker does extremely well first off the claim with his turf runners and this horse has run well for him before.

Has never been out of the exacta at this distance.

5-1 on ML

Race 9: Caitriona (#9)

Showed ability as a two-year-old and may have needed her return to the races.

Is bred to handle turf since his dam hails from a solid grass family.

Jeremiah Englehart had an excellent record with his turf sprinters on the NYRA circuit last year.

10-1 on ML​

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Get The TimeformUS Kentucky Derby Weekend Package: All the details are here

Frequently Asked Questions about the 2018 TimeformUS Kentucky Derby Package:

Q: How do I get your Experts’ selections, betting strategies, and analysis for all of the stakes races on Kentucky Derby and the 4 stakes races ending in the Kentucky Oaks?

A: Race Analysis and Betting Strategies from our experts David Aragona, Justin Finch, and Craig Milkowski will be available via the Strategies link at the top of the Churchill Downs PPs for all Package buyers on Friday May 4th and Saturday May 5th. We’ll post the Oaks Day Stakes analysis by noon on Thursday May 3rd, and the Derby Day analysis by 2pm on Friday May 4th. The only way to get all of the TimeformUS Experts’ selections and analysis for all Kentucky Derby stakes and the four stakes ending in the KY Oaks is to buy this package.

Q: What about TimeformUS Past Performances, Pace Projectors, Speed Figures for Derby weekend?

A: This package includes UNLIMITED ACCESS to PPs  for ALL races at ALL tracks running on Friday May 4th and Saturday May 5th, from Churchill Downs to Belmont Park, from Evangeline Downs to Santa Anita, etc.

Q: Other than the selections and betting strategies (yes–actual tickets!), what exactly comes in the expert analysis?

From TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski:
Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks Pace Projector Preview: Craig will offer expansive commentary on the Pace Projector’s interpretation of the 2018 Derby and Oaks Fields. Craig will evaluate both races and assess which horses’ chances should be upgraded based on the pace scenario for each race, plus the impact of pace on the contenders’ performances in their prep races.

Q: And just to be sure, can you list all of the Stakes Previews & Selections that I will get if I buy this package?

From our analysts David Aragona, Justin Finch, and David Aragona:

Churchill Downs Friday Stakes Analysis and Strategies to be available at the top of the PPs by Thursday May 3rd at noon EDT, and will include write-ups of 4 of the following 6 stakes (whichever 4 that end with the Kentucky Oaks):

  • Alysheba S (GII) $400k  4&up 8.5f Dirt

  • Edgewood Presented by Forcht Bank (GIIIT) $200k 3yo f 8.5f Turf

  • Eight Belles Presented by Kentucky Trailer (GII) $200k 3yo f 7f Dirt

  • La Troienne S (GI) $350k 4&up f/m 8.5f Dirt

  • Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI) $1M 3yo f 9f Dirt

  • Twin Spires Turf Sprint (GIIIT) $200k 3&up 5f Turf

Churchill Downs Saturday Stakes Analysis and Strategies to be available at the top of the PPs by Friday May 4th at 2pm:

  • American Turf Presented by Ram Trucks (GIIT) $300k 3yo 8.5f Turf

  • Churchill Downs (GII) $500k 4&up 7f  Dirt

  • Humana Distaff (GI) $300k 4&up f/m 7f Dirt

  • Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) $2M 3yo 10f Dirt

  • Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (GIIT) $300k 4&up f/m 8f Turf

  • Old Forester Turf Classic (GIT) $500k 4&up 9f Turf

  • Pat Day Mile Presented by LG&E and KU (GIII)  $300k 3yo 8f Dirt

Q: I’m already an Unlimited Access PPs Subscriber for $69.99 a month. Will I get the Kentucky Derby Weekend Package as part of this subscription?

A: If you’re on our $69.99 Unlimited PP Plan, you’ll get access to all PPs, but you’ll need to separately buy the Derby Weekend Package to gain access to the Betting Strategies from our experts. Please note Unlimited Annual Subscribers ($699 a year, email us at tfussupport@drf.com if interested) have access to all Betting Strategy Content.

Other questions? Email us and we’ll help you out.

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Sunday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Cartwheel can bounce back from a poor effort last time

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Aqueduct | Race 2 | Post Time 1:54 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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Pursuing Justice (#7) is likely to attract the most attention after missing the break in her debut. It took her a long time to find her stride that day, but she was doing her best running in deep stretch. Linda Rice has excellent numbers with her second-time starters (100 TimeformUS Trainer Rating), and this filly is bred to be a good horse as a half-sister to multiple stakes winner Mineralogist. However, she will have to overcome the gate issues that were on display in her debut, and she’s not exiting the strongest maiden race.

I’m using the favorite, but the filly who may offer the best value is CARTWHEEL (#1). She was made the favorite in a deeper maiden race last time but lost all chance soon after the start. She was bumped at two points, the second of which caused Trevor McCarthy to lose his iron. It took him about a sixteenth of a mile to get it back, and Cartwheel was essentially out of the race by that point. The stretch-out in distance is a question, but this daughter of Flatter is bred to handle it. I’m hoping to see Joe Bravo be aggressive from this inside post position.

Others that must be considered include Linda Rice’s first time starter Silveratta Road (#2), who attracts leading rider Irad Ortiz, Jr. Her workouts appear to be unspectacular, but her dam was a talented stakes winner during her racing career. I also want to throw in Bruce Levine’s other horse, Zecha (#5). She broke behind the field last time and then found herself racing in an uncomfortable position down on the rail for the rest of the race. She’s a big filly that probably would prefer to get outside of horses, and she’s bred to handle route distances. She could work her way into the exacta at a price.

THE PLAY

Win: 1

Exacta Key Box: 1 with 2,5,7

Trifecta: 1 with 2,5,7 with 2,5,7​

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, April 22nd

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Race 2: Cartwheel (#1)

Was badly hindered by a series of bumps at the start last time, which caused Trevor McCarthy to briefly lose an iron.

Should play out as the speed from her inside post position.

DRF Formulator Fact: Flatter is a respectable 16% dirt route sire.

6-1 on ML

Race 9: Summer Bourbon (#3)

Ran well off the claim for Rudy Rodriguez, chasing home a very good horse in Morning Buzz.

The Pace Projector is predicting he will get a fast pace to close into.

Does not need to improve much more to beat favored Long Haul Bay, as that one may need a race off the layoff.

6-1 on ML​

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Saturday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Crossways finally gets his chance to try turf

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Aqueduct | Race 10 | Post Time 6:21 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
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Appealing Briefs (#12) is the horse to beat, but he’s clearly had his chances at this level. He continues to run well, but he’s been in a few spots where he really should have won. Now he’s drawn the outside post position in the 12-horse affair, and I’m inclined to take a shot against him.

The obvious alternative is Battle of Saratoga (#3), but I’m not totally convinced that this horse can transfer his dirt form to turf. Union Rags is not a strong turf sire, winning with just 5% of his starters on that surface. While there is some grass breeding on his dam’s​ side, his pedigree is not overwhelmingly geared towards turf.

If I’m taking a first time turfer, I want to bet CROSSWAYS (#1). This horse hinted at having real ability in his debut when he overcame slow break and three-wide trip to finish second. That performance was even better than it seems since there appeared to be a rail bias that day. I can forgive his subsequent performance going a mile since that was a strong field and the race turned out to be a demanding affair over a speed-favoring surface. This colt is undoubtedly bred for turf, being by 14% turf sire Quality Road out of a dam whose 3 wins all came on turf. He possesses the early speed to take advantage of his rail post position.

The other interesting horse to consider at a bigger price is La Manche (#11), who was completely eliminated rounding the far turn in his debut at Gulfstream. He appeared to be fading at the time, but would have finished much closer without that trouble. Bill Mott has decent numbers with second time starters in turf routes.

THE PLAY

Win: 1
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 3,7,11,12

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday, April 21st

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Race 5: Jet Black (#6)

Was completely eliminated at the start of the More To Tell last time.

Has been in over his head lately, but was competitive when last run in a cheap claiming race like this.

There is not much early speed in this field, so he should get a good trip sitting up close to the pace.

6-1 on ML

 

Race 7: Breezy Gal (#3)

Showed that she has some ability in her maiden win two back, but has not looked totally comfortable on the dirt.

Should like turf, since she’s by 14% turf sire the Factor and is out of a dam who is a half-sister to a turf stakes winner.

Worked a strong furlong over the synthetic surface at Ocala when sold as a 2-year-old.

5-1 on ML

 

Race 9: Wegetsdamunnys (#1)

There is not much early speed in this field, so she could find herself on the lead if hustled from the inside.

Ran better than it appears last time when chasing the pace 3-wide on a day where horses on the rail had an advantage.

The 101 TimeformUS Speed Figure that she earned in October at Finger Lakes makes her competitive here.

8-1 on ML

 

Race 10: Crossways (#1)

Is bred for turf, by 14% turf sire Quality Road out of a dam whose 3 wins all came on grass.

Showed that he possesses ability in his debut, when overcoming a poor start and 3-wide trip against a rail bias.

Drew an advantageous inside post position for a runner with speed.

6-1 on ML​

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Friday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Mysterio will appreciate getting back on turf in his return

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Aqueduct | Race 6 | Post Time 4:11 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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Sentry (#3) is the only horse in this field who has strung together decent turf efforts. However, I do have some concerns. This gelding has squandered good chances to win recently. He also has required significant time between starts, which is never a great sign. I think you have to use him, but I don’t love him.

The other runner likely to take money is Texican (#9), who switches to turf while dropping in class. Chad Brown actually has good numbers with this move. Over the past five years, he is 4 for 12 (33 percent, $3.03 ROI) with horses dropping to maiden-claiming company for the first time while making their turf debuts. The horse is a half-brother to two turf winners despite being a Bernardini​, so perhaps he can handle this surface. I’ll use both, but I’m interested in a longshot with a chance to upset the field.

MYSTERIO (#10) made one start on turf nearly a year ago, and it was actually a decent effort. He got a fine trip racing along the rail for the first 7 furlongs, but had to alter course at the eighth pole when he ducked in with nowhere to go at the gap in the course. From there, he angled outside and just missed fourth while herded out late. In my opinion, he ran well enough that day to suggest that he deserves another shot racing over turf. This gelding is out of a dam who was a turf stakes winner and is a half-brother to two turf winners, so this is his preferred surface. If he’s ready to go off the layoff, he can make some noise here.

THE PLAY

Win/Place: 10

Exacta Key Box: 10 with 3,9,11

Trifecta: 3,9,11 with 3,9,11 with 10

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