Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

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More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

 

 

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How TimeformUS is Different

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TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
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2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
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3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
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4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
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5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
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6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
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7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
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8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
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9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
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10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
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Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

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Monday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: The Caretaker appears to be back on track

Aqueduct | Race 5 | Post Time 2:54 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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Midnight Mission (#3) is likely to go off as a clear favorite as he steps up against winners following an easy debut win at odds of 3-5. He earned a competitive speed figure and has a right to continue progressing, but he’s not the kind of runner I want to bet at a very short price. He was beating a fairly weak field in that Jan. 28 maiden race. Now he must prove that he can run that same race over a dry track, and he will probably have to withstand early pressure from the speedy Grassady to his outside.

I’m trying to beat him with THE CARETAKER (#4), who moves back up in class following a deceptively strong performance against claiming company last time. This horse had shown promise at the start of his career but just couldn’t seem to recapture his best form since returning from a layoff last summer. However, his last race suggests that he may be heading in the right direction again. That race was Jan. 26, a day that strongly favored horses racing on the rail. The Caretaker was one of the few horses that day to produce a top effort despite racing off the rail throughout. He made a menacing move to threaten the winner at the eighth pole but couldn’t sustain the move late. Now Kiaran McLaughlin appropriately moves him back up in class. If he can produce a similar effort against tougher company this time, I think he has an excellent chance to win.

In addition to the favorite, I’ll also use my top selection with Altesino (#1), who has faced tougher fields in recent starts and is ridden by Dylan Davis, fresh off his 6-win day on Sunday. Macho Miah (#2) is another that must be included after running a competitive speed figure against weaker company last time out.

THE PLAY

 Win: 4
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,2,3

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TimeformUS Kentucky Derby Prep Analysis: Zing Zang can pick up the pieces in the Southwest

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Oaklawn Park | Race 9 | Post Time 5:10 p.m. (CT) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
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The Grade 3, $500,000 Southwest Stakes came up as a much deeper race than last month’s Smarty Jones, and has attracted an intriguing mix of 3-year-olds. Mourinho is likely to go off as the favorite off his fast win in that local prep, but this will be a much more stringent test of his stamina. The race also features the return of last year’s Grade 1 Hopeful winner Sporting Chance, who tries his hand around two turns for the first time.

The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, which seems inevitable given all of the speed signed on for this race. Mourinho (#4) possesses the most early speed of any  in this bunch, but both Sporting Chance (#2) and Ezmosh (#11) are likely to push him through much swifter early fractions than what he encountered in the Smarty Jones. Even the speedy Retirement Fund (#7), who has never been headed in his two career starts, should be looking for early forward positioning.

Let’s go through the entire field:

#1, MY BOY JACK (12-1): The projected fast pace would aid this closer’s chances of working his way into the mix. There was not much early speed in last month’s Sham, which forced Kent Desormeaux to place My Boy Jack closer to the pace than he probably prefers. The TimeformUS Speed Figure of 110 that he was assigned for his effort is decent, but he really didn’t finish off his race that day, winding up a distant third behind the distance-challenged All Out Blitz. He’s going to need a significantly better effort here if he’s to hit the board.

#2, SPORTING CHANCE (9-2): This colt has a lot of questions to answer here, but there’s no denying his talent. He did well to survive a fast pace when winning his maiden at Saratoga last summer and followed that up with a game effort in a wild running of the Grade 1 Hopeful. Appearing to have the victory secured in the final sixteenth of a mile, he abruptly drifted out several paths, nearly costing himself the race.

This colt has been working strongly for his return, and it appears that D. Wayne Lukas has him fit for this first trial on the road to the Kentucky Derby. However, we still have no idea if he can stretch his speed out to route distances. Also, he may be forced to rate behind another rival for the first time given the speed drawn to his outside. His pedigree indicates that he’ll be just fine going this far, since he’s by stamina influence Tiznow and is out of a dam that was third in the 10-furlong Coaching Club American Oaks in one of her finest performances. I’m a fan of this horse and believe that he possesses the talent to overcome all of the obstacles he faces here. On the other hand, he’s likely to drift lower than his morning-line odds of 9-2, and I do think you need to be careful betting horses like this at short prices.

#3, PRINCIPE GUILHERME: Scratched.

#4, MOURINHO (2-1): This horse deserves to be favored coming off his dominant Smarty Jones win. However, things are sure to be different this time around. All of the early speed had scratched out of the Smarty Jones, and Mourinho controlled the early pace through very slow early fractions (note the blue color-coded pace figures at every call in TimeformUS PPs). He won with ease and earned a field-best 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure, but he had everything go his way while accomplishing it. Furthermore, he now picks up 7 pounds off that win, whereas Smarty Jones runner-up Combatant stays at the same weight. Bob Baffert is always dangerous at Oaklawn Park, but I think this horse is one to bet against at what figures to be a very short price.

#5, ROAD TO DAMASCUS (15-1): This is a huge step up in class off a maiden win at Tampa Bay Downs. The horse he defeated by a neck that day returned to finish a distant fifth in the Sam F. Davis in his next start. He appears to be overmatched this time.

#6, SEVEN TRUMPETS (10-1): I think it was the slow pace, rather than the muddy track, that allowed him to run so well in the Jerome last time. Firenze Fire is a talented 3-year-old, so Seven Trumpets deserves some credit for pushing him to a half-length decision. On the other hand, the winner ran so much better than this Dale Romans trainee, since he had to rally into the exceptionally slow early pace. Seven Trumpets has shown the ability to pass horses in his prior races, but none of those efforts was fast enough to suggest he can be a serious threat against the heavy hitters he faces here. I’ll pass.

#7, RETIREMENT FUND (15-1): This horse has never been headed. He’s broken from the inside post position in each of his two starts, giving him a direct path to the lead as they head abruptly into the turn going that distance at the Fair Grounds. While he’s been visually impressive, he has not met particularly accomplished fields. The horse that he defeated last time, Dark Templar, had previously lost to this runner’s stablemate Principe Guilherme by more than 12 lengths. Indeed, others have run faster than this colt and it’s hard to see him improving here given the projected race dynamics.

#8, ZING ZANG (15-1): Considering that he was making his stakes debut, this colt actually ran a decent race in the Lecomte. He was taken far off the early pace and didn’t even commence his late move until they reached the quarter pole. He did well to pass seven runners in the stretch and appeared to still have some run in him as they crossed the wire.

This is the kind of deep closer that needs everything to go his way if he’s to be successful. Yet that just might be the situation he finds himself in here. There is a ton of speed signed on, and Zing Zang should be able to take full advantage of the long stretch at Oaklawn as he attempts to run them all down late. I like the way he’s progressed through each of his starts, seemingly learning with every experience. A mile and a sixteenth may yet be a bit short for him, as he’s bred to really relish longer route distances, but hopefully a fast pace can make up for that. Any price above 10-1 would be a bargain on this improving colt.

#9, KENTUCKY CLUB (30-1): He took advantage of a fast pace against a weak maiden claiming field last time. He’s in over his head.

#10, COMBATANT (6-1): Mourinho beat him by more than 3 lengths when they faced off in the Smarty Jones last time, but they each received weight-adjusted TimeformUS Speed Figures of 113. Whereas Mourinho picks up 7 pounds following his Smarty Jones score, Combatant stays at the same weight. While that alone may not be enough to make up the deficit, he does figure to work out a more favorable trip than Mourinho this time. It’s not as if he was at a major disadvantage in the Smarty Jones, since he stayed relatively close to the pace and saved ground all the way. Yet Mourinho got such a boost from his cozy trip, and I think that one comes back down to earth in this spot.

The outside post position could be a bit tricky, since he’s not a deep closer like some others in here and will be looking to get over toward the inside from this draw. If he’s able to work out a decent trip, I think he has a right to turn the tables on the Baffert trainee and win this race. I slightly prefer one of his Steve Asmussen stablemates at a better price, but this Scat Daddy colt is very much a part of my play.

#11, EZMOSH (12-1): The Tizway colt was seriously flattered when Bravazo, who narrowly defeated him in an allowance race, returned to win Saturday’s Risen Star in his subsequent start. While Bravazo got the better of him back on Jan. 13, Ezmosh may have actually run the better race. The early pace of that race was pretty honest and Ezmosh broke the race open early by picking up the tempo and opening up daylight on the field heading into the far turn. Bravazo ran him down in the late stages, but Ezmosh was incredibly game, battling all the way down to the wire.

While he’s clearly in excellent form, the post position and his running style are negatives. He’s drawn outside of all the other speed, and he’s run his two best races when he’s been able to set the early pace. That is highly unlikely to happen here.

THE PLAY

I respect the overall talent of horses such as Mourinho (#4) and Sporting Chance (#2), but I don’t think either one offers significant value on this occasion. At a much bigger price, I want to bet late-running Zing Zang (#8), who should get the fast that he needs. I’ll also key on Combatant in exotics, since he projects to also work out a favorable trip.

Win/Place: 8

Exacta Key Box: 8 with 2,4,10,11

Trifecta: 8,10 with 8,10 with 1,2,4,6,7,11

Trifecta: 8,10 with 2,4,11 with 8,10​

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Sunday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Sir Alfred can improve in second start off the layoff

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Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time 3:54 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
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The two runners likely to attract the most play are Competitiveness (#5) and Theory (#1). The former seems like the more reliable option as he makes his first start off the claim for Rudy Rodriguez. However, Rudy is really going to have to improve this horse. While he’s run some competitive speed figures, he’s don so against fairly weak competition. There was just nothing of any quality behind him last time when beaten by Finnegan in a 4-horse field. The Pace Projector is predicting that he may find himself on a clear early lead here, and that helps, but he’s going to need a career-best effort to win.
Theory is more of an enigma. He showed early promise, but has steadily been sliding down the class ladder since then, as his career has been plagued by disappointments and layoffs. Now he drops in for a tag for the first time, and Todd Pletcher has poor numbers with this move. I think he’s one to play against here.

My top pick is SIR ALFRED (#4), who makes his second start off a 13-month layoff. His return effort was actually pretty encouraging. The winner of that race, Rossie Val, got an absolutely perfect trip, saving ground before angling while closing into an honest pace. Sir Alfred was the horse pressing that pace, and did so while racing three wide. The runner-up there, Toohottoevespeak, who also got a wide trip, returned to win with a solid effort in his next start. I like that Chris Englehart moves him up in class off the claim.

THE PLAY

Win: 4
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,5,7,8​

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, February 18th

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Race 6: Miss Sizzle (#7)

Went way too fast in the early going of her last start, her first with blinkers.

The Pace Projector is predicting that she could be in a position to control this race on the front end.

DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past five years, Linda Rice is 9 for 25 (36 percent, $3.63 ROI) with maidens coming off layoffs of greater than 180 days in dirt sprints.

5-2 on ML

 

Race 7: Sir Alfred (#4)

Ran well in his first start back from a lengthy layoff despite getting a wide trip around the far turn.

It’s a positive sign that Chris Englehart moves him up in class off the claim.

Should sit a good trip stalking the expected leader Competitiveness.

4-1 on ML​

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Saturday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Eighth Commandment gets a better setup today

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Aqueduct | Race 6 | Post Time 3:23 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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I don’t want to bet Awsum Roar (#8) as one of the favorites in this race. She’s run well in all three starts, but those were turf races back in 2016. Wesley Ward has solid numbers with sprinters coming off layoffs, but most of those were turf and synthetic runners. I’m skeptical of her making the surface switch in a race that features other speed.

The most interesting runners in this race are those exiting the seventh race on Jan. 21. Strawberry Tequila (#5) ran the best race that day, but she got a very good trip, racing three wide on a day when you wanted to avoid the rail.

That was not the case for EIGHTH COMMANDMENT (#1), whose rider hugged the rail all the way as she attempted to rally from well back in the pack. Despite racing on the worst part of the track, she was making up a ton of ground at the end and galloped out well in front just past the wire. I think this mare has really improved for David Donk, and the 6 1/2-furlong distance should be a better fit for her. I’ll use her with Satin Sheets, who was about 1 or 2 paths off the rail for much of that Jan. 21 race but nevertheless put in a better performance than she had in her prior starts.

If putting together exotics tickets, Ribbonite (#6) should not be completely dismissed at a big price, since she, too, was right on the rail while setting the pace in that Jan. 21 race.

THE PLAY

Win: 1

Exacta key box: 1 with 2, 3, 5, 6

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday, February 17th

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Race 2: Swiping Dan (#3)
Raced very greenly in his first start with blinkers last time; should be better prepared this time.
Faced better maiden special weight fields in his two prior route attempts.
DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past five years, Kelly Breen is 11 for 32 (34 percent, $4.40 ROI) with maidens going from sprints to routes on the dirt.
5-2 on ML

Race 4: Thirsty Donnerstag (#3)
Did well to make a wide closing move last time on a day when the rail was the place to be.
A one-turn mile is probably his best distance.
The Pace Projector is predicting he will get a fast pace to close into.
8-1 on ML

Race 6: Eighth Commandment (#1)
Was hindered by racing on a dead rail on Jan. 21.
Should appreciate the slight stretch-out to 6 1/2 furlongs.
Should receive an honest pace to close into with speeds like Ribbonite and Awsum Roar in the field.
6-1 on ML

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Friday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: An improved Andesine will be tough to hold off

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Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time 3:58 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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Palladian Bridge (#1) seems like a deserving favorite here. She defeated a couple of today’s rivals two back and then ran a strong second behind the accomplished filly Quezon when stepped up to stakes company. A repeat of either of those performances makes her a likely winner of this race. However, she is facing some worthy rivals. Silly Sister (#8) should attract some support as she returns from a lengthy layoff for Linda Rice. I’ll use her defensively, but I’m more interested in horses coming out of the eighth race on Jan. 25.

That event was won by Startwithsilver, who ran down the entire field with a fantastic finish. She was able to make such an effective late move because the early pace was relatively fast. The horse setting those early fractions was Zealous Scholar (#3). I think she’s dangerous once again, especially after the scratch of her main pace rival Sandy Belle. However, she usually comes to a stop at the end of her races and may not be able to hang on.

The horse I want to bet out of that race is ANDESINE (#2). This mare has improved significantly in recent starts. She indicated that she had turned a corner with an impressive claiming win two back, and her last effort was just as good. Considering that she’s typically a closer, she was actually very close to that quick early pace set by Zealous Scholar. She had to briefly wait for room coming around the far turn and kicked strongly once clear in the stretch. If she shows that same tactical speed again here, she should sit a perfect trip.

THE PLAY

Win: 2

Exacta Key Box: 2 with 1,3,8

Trifecta: 2 with 1,3,8 with 1,3,7,8​

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