Welcome to the TimeformUS Blog

Sign Up New To Our Site

Add a credit card to your account

 

Hello and welcome to the TimeformUS blog!

The purpose of this blog is to explain features of TimeformUS Past Performances, a new horse racing product which is optimized for tablets and the web. Currently, you can purchase TimeformUS Past Performances at TimeformUS.com or in the the TVG Handicapping Store.

This blog is also a great place to ask questions and provide feedback about our new product. Use the links below to get started, and if you have questions, email us at  Support@TimeformUS.com

Visit TimeformUS.com

More TimeformUS How-To Videos

How to use TimeformUS Past Performances
TimeformUS Help Legend (PDF)
The Preview Page
The Fast PPs
• Result Charts
• The Race Finder Tool

Sign Up New To Our Site

Add a credit card to your account

How TimeformUS is Different
TimeformUS Speed Figures
TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figures
TimeformUS Pace Projector
• TimeformUS Running Lines
TimeformUS Pace Figures
• TimeformUS Bias Indicators
Full Result Charts
Trainer Ratings
• Pedigree Ratings
• Race Ratings
Enhanced Foreign Running Lines
• Running Style and Early/Late Ratings

Sign Up New To Our Site

Add a credit card to your account

Posted in Welcome to TimeformUS | 2 Comments

How TimeformUS is Different

Sign Up New To Our Site

Add a credit card to your account

TimeformUS
 is a new kind of horse racing Past Performances, optimized for tablets and PCs. At TimeformUS, we’re focused on helping you understand races faster. We’re perpetually refining the site and PPs: New features will be introduced regularly.  To start: here’s a top 10 list on how we’re making it easier to play the game; click the links next to each item for a deeper description or a video on how it works.

First thing’s first: if you’re looking for a PDF legend labeling all of our features, click here

1) How we make our Speed Figures
Our state-of-the-art, single-number measure of all-around performance.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

2) Our Pace Projector
The breakthrough timesaver that tells you where they’re gonna be early in a race, and more.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

3) Race Ratings
The TimeformUS Race Ratings help you quickly understand the quality of any race.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

4) TimeformUS Pace Figures
Based on the fractional times run by each horse at each point of call in a race, TimeformUS Pace Figures give you a clear sense of the pace scenarios that a horse has faced in prior races.
Learn More >>

5) TimeformUS Color-Coded Bias Indicators
When we see a surface that favored frontrunners or closers in a horse’s previous race, we flag that running line with red or blue coloring.
Learn More >>

Sign Up New To Our Site

Add a credit card to your account

6) Timeform Foreign Running Lines for shippers
TimeformUS PPs offer unparalleled info on horses who previously ran overseas.
Learn More >>

7) TimeformUS Result Charts
One-click access from the 1-2-3 section of every running line,  TimeformUS Result Charts are color-coded  and fully customizable.
Learn More >>

8)  Simplified but smart TimeformUS Trainer Ratings
Our Trainer Ratings show you instantly how a trainer performs overall and in specific situations.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

9) TimeformUS Race Finder
Use our Race Finder to quickly and easily find the types of races you like to play.
Watch The Video>>
Learn More >>

10) TimeformUS Pedigree Ratings based on today’s surface/distance
On a 100-point scale and based on the surface/distance of today’s race, factoring in the TimeformUS speed figures assigned to the horses in the family of today’s runner.
Learn More >>

Visit TimeformUS.com, or see below for even MORE ways in which TimeformUS is different:

Sign Up New To Our Site

Add a credit card to your account

Posted in Product features, Welcome to TimeformUS | Tagged , , , , , | 11 Comments

Aqueduct Sunday Highlight Horse: A change in tactics would benefit James Lane

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus
Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time: 3:20 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

The two favorites are Papa Shot and Danebury. The former ran very well last time in his first start after being transferred back into Linda Rice’s care. One of the days that we observed a pronounced rail bias was Dec. 31, and Papa Shot was nearly able to win that race despite racing two-wide throughout. He figures to work out a good stalking trip again; he is a major threat.

I also have to use Danebury, the other short-priced runner. This horse beat an overmatched field of maidens last time, but he did it the right way, drawing off by 12 lengths while earning a competitive speed figure. He seemed to have no trouble handling the two turns and he’s been great for Gary Contessa. However, he does have to deal with the far outside post position, and I’m not so sure that he can get the better of the rival that beat him two back.

The runner that I want out of that Dec. 31 race at this level is JAMES LANE (#1).

jameslane_pp

There are two ways to look at James Lane’s last race: 1) He couldn’t make up ground in the stretch because he just didn’t handle the two turns. Or 2) His late run was muted when his rider was forced to angle him off the gold rail in the stretch. I tend to gravitate toward that second school of thought and believe that James Lane was also compromised by dynamics last time. Furthermore, this horse had previously run his two best races when he was ridden more aggressively. I certainly don’t mind the rider switch to Kendrick Carmouche, since he figures to use this horse’s speed from his inside post position.

THE PLAY

Win: 1

Exacta Key Box: 1 with 7,10

Trifecta: 1 with 7,10 with 5,6,7,9,10

Trifecta: 1 with 5,6,9 with 7,10

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday January 22nd

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

Race 3:

Resolve (#4)

Has been overmatched in his recent dirt races.

Ran better than it appears last time when racing on a dead rail in the stretch at Laurel.

Handled two turns over the inner track last season.

30-1 on ML

Race 6:

Sol the Freud (#10)

Got the wrong ride last time, rating wide against a pronounced rail bias.

Responded well to a more aggressive ride two back, when he won at this level.

The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a situation that favors horses on or near the lead; he will be chasing the pace early.

6-1 on ML

Race 7:

James Lane (#1)

Lost momentum when angled off the gold rail in the stretch.

Has run his best races when more aggressively ridden.

Beat one of this race’s favorites, Danebury, two back.

5-1 on ML

 

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Aqueduct Saturday Highlight Horse: Coming off trouble in last two starts, Benevolence is due for a more charitable trip

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time 3:20 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 

Three of the main contenders are all exiting the same race on Dec. 30. Fratello del Nord was the only one to hit the board, finishing a game second after contesting the pace for his entire trip. However, I think the two horses that finished behind him are just as dangerous in this spot.

The pace of that race really held together, and closers had a hard time getting involved. Sky Chaparral’s last rider, Angel Arroyo, sensed this and tried to use his mount down the backstretch to get into the race earlier. He was successful at keeping him within striking distance throughout, but the early aggression may have detracted from his late run. This horse has run competitive speed figures in each of his last two starts and is a major threat to win today.

While I will use both of the two aforementioned runners, the horse that I want most out of that Dec. 30 race is BENEVOLENCE (#8).

benevolence_pp

This Kiaran McLaughlin trainee is in much better form than it appears as he has had trouble in each of his last two starts. Two back, he was shuffled back around the turn after his rider unwisely decided to rate him behind the speeds. Then last time, he was bumped hard at the start and forced to steady sharply. He spotted the field about five lengths through the opening furlongs and actually did well to make up some ground in the stretch. Today, he should show far more speed with a clean break, and I think he can turn the tables on his rivals.

While I will be keying on Benevolence, I also have to throw in Foreset, who turns back in distance after racing down inside along a dead rail on Dec. 7. That performance is actually much stronger than it appears and he has handled sprint distances in the past. Kendrick Carmouche figures to be aggressive from this outside post position, so he must avoid getting caught up in a pace battle with Fratello del Nord.

THE PLAY

 Win/Place: 8

Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,4,9

Trifecta: 8 with 1,4,9 with 1,4,6,9,10

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday January 21st

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

Race 2

Sing for Beauty (#2)

Was involved in a very fast pace last time (indicated by red color-coding in TimeformUS PPs).

Was mildly against a rail bias last time, making her performance better than it appears.

When she’s in form, is capable of earning the highest TimeformUS Speed Figures in the field.

4-1 on ML

 

Race 7

Benevolence (#8)

Two races back, he got shuffled back along the inside around the far turn.

Last time, he was squeezed back at the start and forced to rally into a slow pace.

Runs his best races when he’s involved in the pace and should be up close early with a clean break this time.

6-1 on ML

 

Race 8

Jan’s Reserve (#9)

Made a premature far-turn move two races ago.

Was against a rail bias and a moderate pace in his last start.

Should get a more honest pace to close into this time.

10-1 on ML

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Aqueduct Friday Highlight Horse: Mr. Canada can wire the field with this drop in class

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

Aqueduct | Race 5 | Post Time 2:20 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 

It’s important to remember when handicapping this race that all of these horse are running for the $12,500 tag for a reason. Some have run faster speed figures, or have been facing tougher competition, but you would think that their connections would be running for higher price tags if they expected to get back to their better races.

With that in mind, I would be careful around short-priced horses such as Lunar Rover and Johannesburg Smile. Both have run races that would beat this field, but it’s somewhat disconcerting that they’re even entered in this race. Erik the Red did win at this level last time out, but you would imagine that Linda Rice, who is known for placing horses realistically, would have moved him up in class if she thought he was going to perform that well again.

screen-shot-2017-01-20-at-11-14-51-am

I want someone else, and I think the right horse is MR. CANADA (#6).

He, too, is dropping in class, but at least this is a logical drop. He simply is not going to win for the $25,000 tag, since those horses are better than he. His recent speed figures actually make him competitive against this group, and the TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting he will be loose on the lead in a situation favoring the front-runner.

 

screen-shot-2017-01-20-at-11-15-10-am

THE PLAY

 Win: 6

Exacta key box: 6 with 1, 4, 7, 8

Trifecta: 6 with 1, 4, 7, 8 with 1, 4, 7, 8

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Friday January 20th

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

Race 5:

Mr. Canada (#6)

Gets a logical drop in class after being overmatched against tougher $25,000 claimers.

The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting he will be on the lead in a situation favoring the frontrunner.

The low-profile connections figure to drive up the price.

6-1 on ML.

 

Race 9:

Cold Gone Hot (#9)

Linda Rice gets a 100 TimeformUS Trainer Rating with second-time starters.

Rice also gets a 98 Trainer Rating with runners dropping out of maiden special weight company into maiden claiming races.

He faced a much tougher field in his debut.

6-1 on ML.

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Stakes Preview: On the Triple Crown Trail, Totality is due for some racing luck in Fair Grounds’ Lecomte

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

>Go to the FREE PPs for The Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds | Post Time 5:00 CST Saturday

Much like Monday’s Smarty Jones at Oaklawn, the Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds is not typically considered to be a crucial checkpoint on the road to the Kentucky Derby. It’s rare to see the elite 2-year-olds of the prior year start their season in one of these early-season prep races. However, we have occasionally seen winners of these races go on to achieve some notable successes in the Triple Crown series. In recent years, the most high-profile Lecomte winners have been Hard Spun, who won this race 10 years ago before finishing second in the Kentucky Derby, and 2013 winner Oxbow, who went on to win that year’s Preakness Stakes.

This Grade 3, $200,000 event is contested over one mile and 70 yards – lengthened from a mile a few years ago – and utilizes the entirety of Fair Grounds’s long stretch, making it a useful test of stamina for much of the field. The race has drawn a sizable group of 12 runners, many of which are untested against stakes company.

Given the presence of a few speedy colts stretching out around two turns for the first time, it should come as no surprise that the TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace. Two such stretch-outs, Untrapped (#5) and Running Mate (#9), are predicted to be leading the pack through the opening furlongs.

screen-shot-2017-01-20-at-12-41-34-pm

Let’s go through the entire field:

#1, PHAT MAN (12-1): It seems likely that this son of Munnings is a turf horse that just happened to handle a sloppy, sealed track against a field of overmatched rivals last time. His dam was an accomplished turf sprinter, and he ran on grass in both of his starts. His last speed figure was decent, but he faces a completely different scenario today. I’ll pass.

#2, ARKLOW (10-1): While he is the lone maiden in the field, you can hardly blame the connections for taking a shot given the wide-open nature of this race. After all, Takeoff, the colt that beat him by a diminishing length last time, is 6-1 on the morning line and many would consider him a top contender here – so doesn’t Arklow belong as well? He was one-paced when making a mild late rally in his sprint debut and then encountered some minor trouble in his next start. He finally seemed to put it all together last time, sitting a nearly perfect trip in behind Takeoff while rating kindly along the rail. He was tipped out at the top of the stretch and finished with interest, gradually getting to that rival, who had gotten the jump on him. His 97 TimeformUS Speed Figure certainly puts him in the mix, and Brad Cox has been sending out nothing but live runners at this meet. I still think this gangly son of Arch has some maturing to do, but I won’t be surprised if he’s able to find his way into the trifecta here.

#3, TOTALITY (12-1): The sky was the limit for this son of Tapit after his encouraging debut at Churchill in October. He rated kindly for a first time starter and finished with power, wearing down the leaders just before the wire. His connections quickly stretched him out in distance off that win, and while he lost both of those two-turn races he had to overcome fairly significant hurdles in each of them.

 

totality_pp

Nothing went right for Totality in the November 10 allowance race, which was actually a much better effort than his fifth-place finish would suggest. He hopped at the start and stumbled a few strides out of the gate, leaving him well back in the pack early. Coming around the far turn, his rider unwisely steered him toward the rail just as the pace was starting to collapse, and he ended up getting caught in behind a wall of tiring runners, losing all of his momentum. He was then bumped around when angling out in the stretch but still finished decently enough to nearly gain fourth place. Steve Asmussen kept the faith and moved him up into stakes company in the Springboard Mile for his next start. He was hindered in that race by an extremely slow pace (indicated by the blue color-coding in TimeformUS PPs). Despite the fact that he still had a ton of ground to make up coming around the far turn, he put in a strong stretch rally while racing along the rail and was moving fastest of all across the finish line. That event’s fourth-place finisher, Rowdy the Warrior, who was similarly pace-compromised, returned to improve both his Beyer and TimeformUS Speed Figures by 9 points when finishing third in last weekend’s Smarty Jones. This time, Totality figures to get an honest pace to close into, which makes him an enticing value play at anything around his 12-1 morning line.

#4, SHAREHOLDER VALUE (6-1): The Kentucky Jockey Club proved to be a key race in last Monday’s Smarty Jones at Oaklawn, as that race’s fourth-place finisher Uncontested returned to register a decisive victory. Shareholder Value finished only about four lengths behind Uncontested that day despite having trouble at the start. The headstrong colt was a little difficult to rate through the early stages of that race, so Tom Amoss elected to remove the blinkers for his optional-claiming win last time. He was still somewhat rank heading into the first turn, but he settled better thereafter. Coming into the stretch, Shaun Bridgmohan again found him a little difficult to maneuver and Shareholder Value appeared to overreact to his rider’s cue to angle out around horses, abruptly swerving into the center of the racetrack before straightening out for the drive. This Uncle Mo colt has talent, but I wonder how his antics will go over in this larger field. I certainly have to use him strongly in exotics, but I prefer to key on others.

#5, UNTRAPPED (9-2): The tepid morning-line favorite also happens to be one of the least-experienced members of this field. However, what he lacks in seasoning he makes up for in promise and potential. Untrapped was well meant in his debut, but had the misfortune of encountering rising star Uncontested, the runaway winner of last weekend’s Smarty Jones. Rather than stretch him out immediately, Steve Asmussen gave this colt another shot at a sprint in his second start, and he responded with an authoritative victory.

untrapped_pp

The Pace Projector is predicting that he will be contesting a fast pace, so he could face a real test of stamina as he attempts to negotiate an additional two furlongs. While the dam’s side of his pedigree does not give many clues as to his ability to go two turns, his supporters should be encouraged that he is sired by Trappe Shot. Even though Trappe Shot finished second in the nine-furlong Haskell as a 3-year-old, he was best known as a sprinter. However, as a sire he’s been a prolific stamina influence. He gets a TimeformUS Breeding Rating of 100 with dirt routers, and DRF Formulator stats indicate that his progeny win at a remarkable 24% clip in dirt routes. Untrapped is a major contender in this Lecomte; the only concern is a potentially short price.

#6, MARCO MISCHIEF (20-1): This colt displayed an eye-catching turn of foot in the final two furlongs last time, rallying from last at the quarter pole to get up to win in a desperate finish. The only issue with that victory is that it came on turf, and there is little evidence that Marco Mischief will be able to unleash that same kick on the dirt. He’s an intriguing horse, but this probably is not the right spot for him.

#7, TIP TAP TAPIZAR (12-1): Despite the fact that he ran well at a mile on a couple of occasions, I’m still not convinced that this horse is a true router. Both of those performances – in the Sapling and Jean Lafitte – came against much weaker fields than the one he faces today. He was contesting a stronger pace in the Delta Jackpot last time, but I felt that he was finally exposed as a horse that doesn’t really want to go that far. He would need to produce the race of his life to win this and I just don’t foresee things setting up for him. I prefer Steve Asmussen’s other two entrants.

#8, GUEST SUITE (5-1): If there’s one runner in this field with whom I can’t find a single fault, it’s this gelding. Ever since being stretched out in his second start, he’s looked like the kind of horse that is tailor-made for this early-season Derby prep. His connections wisely decided against rushing him to make the major graded stakes for 2-year-olds at the end of last season. Instead, they were able to take advantage of Churchill Downs’s expansive menu of 2-year-old races to get him some much-needed experience.

guestsuite_pp

He followed up his solid maiden win with a decent third-place finish to McCraken in the Street Sense, a performance that was flattered by the winner’s next-out victory in the Kentucky Jockey Club. Guest Suite then capped off his juvenile campaign with a facile win over allowance foes. He’s gotten progressively faster in each start, and his versatile running style should allow him to adapt to any kind of pace scenario. So the question is: what’s not to like? Well, in a race as confusing as this one, horseplayers tend to gravitate toward the obvious choices, and he certainly is one of those. He’d be a great bet at 5-1 or greater, but I’m not sure we’ll get that.

#9, RUNNING MATE (10-1): In terms of raw speed figures, this is the fastest horse in the race. His Beyers in the low 80s and TimeformUS Speed figures in the low 100s are simply higher than what his competitors have recorded. However, picking winners is more complicated than merely comparing speed figures, and this son of Creative Cause has some obstacles to overcome. He has never raced beyond six furlongs, and he’s coming off arguably the worst race of his life – a loss as the 2-5 favorite. He was awkward changing leads last time and shifted ground in the stretch, which resulted in his disqualification. His dam was best as a sprinter, and we don’t yet know enough about Creative Cause as a sire of dirt routers. The Pace Projector predicts that he will be on the lead early, but I have little confidence that he will be able to survive a quick pace and fend off the closers. I do acknowledge his overall talent and know that Larry Jones can be dangerous in these races, but I still have to let this one beat me.

#10, TAKEOFF (6-1): Arklow’s vanquisher will not be taking this field from gate to wire, as he was able to do last time – not with the speedy Running Mate drawn just to his inside. He is instead more likely to pull a stalking trip, so Florent Geroux has to make sure he doesn’t lose too much ground around the turns from this outside post position. This expensive son of Arch certainly has a right to continue progressing, but he’s unlikely to receive as favorable a setup as he did in that victory. It’s difficult to make the leap from maiden special weight company to a graded stakes, and I’d hope to get a square price on horses in that situation. Given the likely difference in value between the two, I feel that Arklow is probably the better bet today, but I could use both on backup exotic tickets.

#11, PAT ON THE BACK (12-1): This New York-bred relished wet tracks in a couple of stakes at Belmont, winning the one-mile Sleepy Hollow over a sloppy, sealed surface. Unfortunately, he couldn’t keep that momentum going in the Delta Jackpot last time, as he came unraveled in the stretch after launching a premature move down the backstretch. His TimeformUS Speed Figures suggest that he’s just about fast enough to compete with these runners, but he’s also one of the more seasoned participants and thus conceivably has less room for improvement. Like Takeoff, he has to avoid losing too much ground around the turns.

#12, SAINT’S FAN (5-1): Has been scratched.

 THE PLAY

GUEST SUITE (#8) may be the most likely winner, but TOTALITY (#3) is the one that figures to offer the best value at anything around his 12-1 morning line. I will key on these two, while also using logical contenders Shareholder Value and Untrapped, as well as, to a lesser extent, Arklow and Takeoff.

Win/place: 3

Exacta key box: 3 with 4, 5, 8

Trifecta: 3, 8 with 3, 8 with 2, 4, 5, 10

Trifecta: 3, 8 with 2, 4, 5, 10 with 3, 8

 

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment