Saratoga Horses in Focus for Wednesday, August 14

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 5: Katama Moonlight (#2)

  • Was green in her debut when closing belatedly for third.
  • Is bred to relish any added ground she can get as a full-sister to dirt route stakes winner Noble Moon.
  • Has reportedly been working very well for this return to the races.

4-1 on ML

———

Race 9: Yes I See (#9)

  • Seems to be rounding back into top form for Robertino Diodoro, who is having a strong meet.
  • Curious that he’s only run on dirt recently, since he was always best as a turf horse in past seasons.
  • Has shown improved tactical speed recently, which should be an asset in a largely paceless affair.

6-1 on ML

———

Race 10: Subsidiary (#12)

  • Displayed the ability to handle turf in that fourth-place finish in June.
  • Deserves a chance to sprint on turf since she’s bred to sprint and has been most effective in shorter races on dirt and synthetic.
  • Joel Rosario should be able to work out a good stalking trip from this outside post.

6-1 on ML

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Sunday, August 11

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 1: One Eyed Jack (#2)

  • Is bred to stretch out, being out of a dam who is a full-sister to turf router Doctor Mounty and a half to dirt router Dabster.
  • Was compromised by a slow pace in his debut when gamely chasing home the two early leaders.
  • That debut speed figure was validated when runner-up Free Enterprise came back to run a strong second at Saratoga.

5-2 on ML

———

Race 5: Mama Mary (#8)

  • Has been intended for turf in all 6 career starts, but has only gotten 2 chances to run over it.
  • A few horses have returned to run faster out of her last race, indicating that the speed figures could probably be higher.
  • Appears to be working very well since her last victory.

5-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Cookie Dough (#2)

  • Her last 4 TimeformUS Speed Figures are faster than all of her rivals have run yet this year.
  • Did well to hang on for second in the Victory Ride after setting a very fast pace, indicated by red color-coded pace figures.
  • Has the stamina to handle 7 furlongs, since she’s excelled going longer in prior starts.

9-5 on ML

———

Race 9: Sister Peacock (#3)

  • Is 4-for-4 sprinting, having only lost going a mile or farther.
  • May be better on turf than her form suggests, since 3 of her 4 turf efforts have come in route races.
  • Showed the ability to rate alongside another horse in each of her last two starts, so she may be able to adapt her running style in this speed-laden field.

8-1 on ML

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Saturday, August 10

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 3: My Sacred Place (#4)

  • Jason Servis gets an excellent 99 TimeformUS Trainer Rating with horses trying turf for the first time.
  • Was striding out in his first couple of starts like a horse that wants more ground and grass.
  • Should handle the surface as a son of good turf influence Temple City.

6-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Green Light Go (#3)

  • Was one of the most visually impressive 2-year-olds at Belmont, towering over his foes in victory.
  • Is bred to be a fast, precocious runner, since his dam was a Grade 1-placed sprinter.
  • Worked like a horse who is doing very well in his most recent drill on August 6.

2-1 on ML

———

Race 9: Uni (#3)

  • Her TimeformUS Late Pace Rating of 124 is the highest in this field, and the race should feature some pace for her to close into.
  • Has been unstoppable at this one-mile distance, winning 5 straight races over this trip.
  • Is not meeting the toughest group of males for a Grade 1 race.

5-2 on ML

———

Race 10: La Chancla (#4)

  • DRF Formulator Fact: Rodolphe Brisset is 7 for 11 (73%, $7.14 ROI) with last-out maiden winners on dirt.
  • Finished strongly in her maiden win last time, beating a solid field.
  • Has already run fast enough to beat these and arguably has the most upside.

5-2 on ML

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Friday, August 9

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 5: Spinoff (#2)

  • The Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring horses on or near the lead, and he has tactical speed.
  • Was wide against a rail bias when only losing the Belmont Stakes by 3 lengths.
  • Worked very well in blinkers last week, so he may be ready for a step forward.

2-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Victorine (#10)

  • Showed real promise in France, finishing a close fourth in a tough Group 3 Prix de Psyche.
  • Encountered boggy going in both U.S. starts last season and she may prefer firmer ground.
  • Attracts the hot-riding Irad Ortiz for her 4-year-old debut.

5-2 on ML

———

Race 9: Killybegs Captain (#2)

  • Was badly compromised by a stumbling start and a slow pace last time.
  • Has been steadily improving throughout his 5-year-old season and is in career form now.
  • The Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring horses on or near the lead and he should be forwardly placed from the inside.

5-2 on ML

Posted in Race Previews | 1 Comment

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Thursday, August 8

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 3: Bad Boy (#3)

  • Did well to win decisively last time after racing 3-wide around both turns.
  • Was keeping strong company against maiden special weight runners before dropping in class last time.
  • Possesses the tactical speed to sit relatively close to what should be a slow pace.

5-2 on ML

———

Race 6: Erin More (#8)

  • Is a half-sister to capable turf sprinter McErin, who recorded a 116 TimeformUS Speed Figure over this course and distance last year.
  • Todd Pletcher gets a 98 TimeformUS Trainer Rating with first time starters in sprints.
  • Appears to be working very forwardly for her debut.

5-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Lucky Move (#6)

  • Proved that she can get the distance when she won over this course and distance two weeks ago.
  • Overcame a moderate pace last time, so a likely slow pace here is not of great concern.
  • Appears to be rounding into career form for a low-profile barn.

4-1 on ML

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Wednesday, August 7

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 3: Beach Front (#2)

  • Ran well over this course and distance last summer.
  • Was badly compromised by an outside trip over a rail-biased course in his only other turf start.
  • DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past 5 years, Jeremiah Englehart is 7 for 26 (27%, $2.91 ROI) off layoffs of 180 days or more in turf sprints between 5 and 7 furlongs.

8-1 on ML

———

Race 6: The Black Album (#5)

  • Was best going sprint distances in France, yet has only raced in routes in the US.
  • Should appreciate the turnback after failing to finish off his last few races.
  • Has proven that he possesses the class to compete against a field of this quality.

5-1 on ML

———

Race 8: Crea’s Bklyn Law (#7)

  • Should get an honest pace to close into with multiple speeds signed on.
  • Didn’t get a very comfortable trip last time when having to alter course down inside in a race that featured an outside flow.
  • Linda Rice gets a 96 TimeformUS Trainer Rating first off the claim.

5-1 on ML

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Sunday, August 4

Interested in the full Saratoga Strategies package, which includes exclusive access to David Aragona’s Betting Strategies and Highlight Horse every day of the meet? Learn more ›

Race 3: Gold for the King (#6)

  • Always runs his best races second off a layoff, so is likely to step forward here.
  • Possesses the tactical speed to sit a good trip just off the likely pacesetter Eye Luv Lulu.
  • His best races are superior to those of his main rivals, if he can get back to them.

2-1 on ML

———

Race 5: Sky Full of Stars (#5)

  • Joel Rosario is a great judge of pace and may ride this mare more aggressively.
  • Was a front-runner in Germany when she was running her best races and should return to those tactics here.
  • Probably needed her first start back off the layoff last time and can step forward.

10-1 on ML

———

Race 7: Adonis Creed (#8)

  • Ran a competitive speed figure when taking down an optional claiming race at Aqueduct last fall.
  • Was hindered by a poor trip last time, as he was steadied multiple times over the final half-mile.
  • Brad Cox gets a 99 TimeformUS Trainer Rating with horses coming off layoffs of this type.

4-1 on ML

———

Race 9: Rockemperor (#4)

  • Put in an excellent late run to be third in the Belmont Derby from a very wide post position.
  • Should be more forwardly placed this time given his mid-field draw.
  • Appears to be working better since that U. S. debut, getting the better of stablemate Digital Age in a few recent drills.

7-2 on ML

 

Posted in Race Previews | Leave a comment