TimeformUS Speed Figures for the Journey to the 2017 Triple Crown: Complete through the Belmont Stakes

Questions? Follow @TimeformUSFigs on Twitter and let us know.

2017 Belmont Chart, with each horse’s internal TimeformUS Pace Figures and Final TimeformUS Speed Figure. Note the lengths beaten is the view you’ll see in the PPs when these horses next race.

Complete 2016 Triple Crown Journey Chart:

Preakness Update:

2017 Preakness Chart, with each horse’s internal TimeformUS Pace Figures and Final TimeformUS Speed Figure. Note the lengths beaten is the view you’ll see in the PPs when these horses next race.

 



Kentucky Derbies 2004-2017, sorted 4 ways: By year, ranked by Top TimeformUS Speed Figure, By fastest pacesetter (first 1/2 mile), by fastest eventual winner (first 1/2 mile):

2017 Kentucky Derby Chart, with each horse’s internal TimeformUS Pace Figures and Final TimeformUS Speed Figure. Note the lengths beaten is the view you’ll see in the PPs when these horses next race.

Comment’s on this year’s Derby data:

  • Always Dreaming’s 123 TimeformUS Speed Figure is slightly ahead of the 5-yr average of 121.2. It’s the same figure we gave I’ll Have Another for his win 2012.
  • Like Nyquist last year, Always Dreaming’s 1/2 mile pace figure was extremely fast by our standards. Always Dreaming ran a 149 to the 1/2 mile, akin to Nyquist’s 150 at the same call last year.
  • This year’s Derby Pace was fast, as predicted by our Pace Projector, but not as fast as last year’s. Last year’s 1/2 mile leader Danzing Candy ran a 162 TimeformUS Pace Figure while opening a 4-length lead. In the 2017 Derby, State of Honor ran a 152 Pace Figure while leading Always Dreaming by a length.

Some background on TimeformUS Speed Figures relevant to the above chart:

Here’s the same chart but for the 3-yr-old filly division, ending in the Kentucky Oaks:

Click on the chart to make it a lot bigger. 

Historic Triple Crown Series Figures: Through 2016

Click on the chart to make it a lot bigger. 

crownjourney2010_2016

  • This is a look at the winning TimeformUS Speed Figures
    for the last 7 years of Triple Crown prep races as well as the winning figures ftwitter followor the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, and Belmont Stakes for each 0f those years.
  • The top TimeformUS Speed Figure for any Triple Crown season’s race of the last 7 years was I’ll Have Another’s 130 in the Preakness. The Factor ran the same figure in 2011 Southwest.
  • The Southwest at Oaklawn was run in 2 divisions in 2012; we’ve used the higher TimeformUS Speed Figure for the above chart.
  • The 2016 Sunland Derby was cancelled.
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