Belmont at the Big A | Race 6 | Post Time 3:16 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs | Not already a TimeformUS member? Sign up 

With plenty of speed signed on, the pace of this Carle Place looks ripe to fall apart. I’m fairly skeptical of a horse like That’s Right (#2), who will be looking to wire the field. This runner is a 5-furlong specialist who has shown stamina limitations in a few of his turf starts. He does come in having won 4 of his last 5 starts on this surface, but he’s stepping up to meet a tougher field than the one he beat in that Grade 3 at Parx last time. 

The other horse who figures to take plenty of money is Outlaw Kid (#3). He looks formidable off his last speed figure, earned when beating an allowance field by nearly 5 lengths. However, a few horses out of that race ran poorly last week. He has talent but is likely to be the shortest price of his career despite stepping up against a tough field. 

The potential for a quick pace, should benefit a pair of runners who faced off at Kentucky Downs last time. Too Many Twizzlers (#4) won that Sep. 14 allowance race when closing up the rail. He just ran out of ground when closing behind That’s Right two back, but has otherwise been coming along nicely for Arnaud Delacour. He should be suited by the 6-furlong distance with some pace ahead of him, though his consistent gate issues are a minor concern. 

I prefer SOSUA SUMMER (#10) out of that last race. He could only manage to finish third as the favorite, but had to alter course in the stretch while encountering some traffic. I really liked the visual of his maiden score two back when he turned back, and he faced some tough rivals on turf prior to that. While he has more experience than some others in here, it feels like his connections have just discovered that he’s a turf sprinter, and I think he still has some upside now that they’re running him in the right races.

THE PLAY

WIN: #10 Sosua Summer, at 7-2 or greater

USE: 4