Aqueduct | Race 5 | Post Time 1:45 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs | Not already a TimeformUS member? Sign up 

The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring the early leader, depicting Big Brown Shoes in front. Perhaps that runner will make the lead, but I have to imagine that Lookin for Trouble (#6) will also be ridden aggressively from the outside. He regained his form last time out at Belmont and flashed that ample early zip before getting reeled in at the end. I think he has a big chance to take them a long way once again, and trust him more than Big Brown Shoes, who benefited from a track bias last time.

I hope those two hook up, because I’m most interested in some late runners. Our Man Mike (#7) has a right to do better on the turnback in distance. I don’t think he wanted 9 furlongs at Saratoga, and he made a middle move last time before flattening out. He sprinted effectively early in his career and is arguably coming out of tougher races than some others. 

Seven Lilies (#5) is the horse that some may want out of that Oct. 28 race at this level, where he closed mildly for third. The Rob Atras barn has really picked up some steam since the start of this Aqueduct meet, so perhaps we’ll see an improved effort from this runner. 

Yet the one that I want from that heat is DOUBLEPOUR (#2). There appeared to be a rail bias on Oct. 28, and Doublepour was always outside and far off a slow early pace. He did well to make up ground while racing wide and was absolutely flying through the stretch in a race that didn’t play to closers. He’s really improved in his last couple of starts for this barn and retains the services of Javier Castellano.

THE PLAY

Win: 2

Exacta Key Box: 2 with 4,5,6,7