Classy Edition (#6) is likely to go favored as she tries to keep her undefeated record intact through three career starts. She didn’t run a particularly fast time in her debut but she was visually impressive that day. She came right back to win with an improved effort in the Joseph A. Gimma last time, drawing off to win by 8 lengths going 7 furlongs. She looked like a prime candidate to win the Maid of the Mist last month at Belmont, but she missed that race. There’s a 3-week gap in her training, which means she probably had a minor issue. She’s obviously a major player on the cutback to 6 furlongs here, but this is a much tougher field than the one she beat last time and I’m concerned that she may be overbet.
Cupid’s Heart (#5) could also take some money following her impressive debut victory last month at Belmont. She completely missed the start that day and did well to make up ground while going wide before pulling away in the stretch. This is obviously a talented filly, but I wonder if she’ll ultimately be better going longer than this. She needs to break better and run a more professional race this time, because she was beating a pretty weak field in her debut.
My top pick is MAKIN MY MOVE (#7). This filly won her debut very impressively at Saratoga, showing easy speed away from the gate before drawing off with authority in the second half of the race. They tried turf next time, since she does have some pedigree for that surface. However, she got involved in a quick pace and couldn’t quite get there. Though she did hang on gamely for fourth, arguably taking a step forward. I don’t mind the transition back to dirt, and she should play out as the main speed from the outside.
Exacta Key Box: 7 with 1,5,6
Trifecta: 7 with 5,6 with 1,5,6