I think there’s going to be an honest pace in this race with the swift Blame It On Mary (#1) breaking from the rail and Towering Orbit (#4) basically committed to showing speed after wiring a field of maidens last time. Furthermore, Esotica and Chasing Cara also want to be forwardly placed from the outside.
I suppose Pretty Clever (#6) could sit the right trip and in some ways she is the horse to beat. However, she had everything go her way two back when she achieved her best result at this level. She just rode the rail until the stretch on a day when the inside was clearly the place to be on opening week at Belmont. She regressed going longer last time and now turns back with the addition of blinkers.
I prefer SHE’S DANCING (#3) from that Sep. 18 affair. This filly was very impressive winning her debut at Delaware two back. She wasn’t beating much that day but I liked the way she responded to her rider’s encouragement. Unfortunately, she drew an outside post when she met Pretty Clever in that Sep. 18 race at Belmont and she was never on the rail over that biased surface. All things considered she ran on reasonably well for fifth and I think she can move forward off that NYRA debut. She figures to get a good pace setup here and only needs to improve marginally to beat this field.
Exacta Key Box: 3 with 1,4,6,8
Trifecta: 3 with 4,6 with 1,4,6,8