Aqueduct | Race 6 | Post Time 2:45 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 
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Blackjack Davey (#2) is clearly the horse to beat as he encounters a relatively weak field for this level. He didn’t have a major excuse to lose as the 6-5 favorite last time when checking in a dull fifth. However, that was a stronger N1X allowance field, as third-place finisher Six Percent returned to win again with a strong speed figure. Blackjack Davey might not have to improve much on the 100 TimeformUS Speed Figure he earned that day to beat most of the runners in this field. However, I do think he’ll have to recapture some semblance of his top form to defeat one rival.

FARRAGUT (#10) finished one spot ahead of Blackjack Davey when they met in that Sep. 25 affair, and I felt that the Pat Quick trainee had the tougher trip. This colt was conservatively ridden early and then forced to make a wide move to nowhere on a day when horses were better off being on the inside. While he was again defeated at this level on Oct. 17, I felt hat he took a subtle step forward that day. The early pace was extremely fast for the distance, and Farragut got caught chasing the run-off Red Zinger, who ended up finishing last. Considering how fast he went early, Farragut had every right to lose ground to the talented pair Six Percent and Cold Hard Cash. I still think this horse is best going longer, and I like the outside post position for him in this spot, especially considering that there isn’t that much early speed drawn inside of him.

THE PLAY

Win: 10
Exacta Key Box: 10 with 2,3,4,9
Trifecta: 10 with 2,4 with 2,3,4,6,9