Doll (#5), the likely favorite, disappointed at 3-5 odds last time, getting cooked in an early duel before fading late. She has to stretch out an extra half-furlong here and that could work against her, as she was unable to see out this distance in her second start in May. This fast-breaking filly should be in front once again here and she may show a bit more staying power now in her second start off the layoff. Though, how short of a price do you really want to take on a filly who has already burned quite a bit of money?
One of her main rivals, Anydayisherday (#2), has outrun her odds in both appearances since returning from the layoff this fall. She got the better of Doll last time, outdueling her in deep stretch before they both got overhauled by the late-running winner. She needs to run a little faster if she’s to break through at the level this time, but she figures to be a better price than her main rival once again.
I want a different horse out of that race. My top pick is second-time starter AM IMPAZIBLE (#6). Little went right for this filly in her debut four weeks ago. She broke with the field, but was steadily shuffled back down the backstretch as she appeared to react badly to the kickback. She eventually found herself back in last rounding the turn while racing very greenly. All things considered, she actually did well to come back to get fourth after her eventful trip, running on best of all in the stretch. Kelly Breen typically sends live runners to NYRA and this one figures to be more professional with blinkers added second time out.
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 2,5,7
Trifecta: 6 with 2,5 with 2,3,4,5,7