Shelley Ann (#4) is the horse to beat as she moves back up into stakes company. She ran a gallant race in the East View last December, losing only to eventual Busher winner Espresso Shot after leading most of the way. She validated that improved form with a solid allowance score last time and appears to be one of the fastest horses in this field. The only concern for her is the pace since she has run her best races when able to vie for the lead.
The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, with Intoxicologist (#6) and Flush (#8) likely to challenge her for the lead. I still think Shelley Ann is dangerous, but a quick early tempo could make her vulnerable to her main rival, Elegant Zip.
This David Donk filly is my top pick. I had originally been skeptical about ELEGANT ZIP (#5) stretching out to the one-mile distance given her sprint-oriented pedigree, but she has proven that this trip is no problem for her in recent starts. She was originally supposed to contest the Busanda in February, but a minor setback forced her to miss that start. Donk set his sights a bit lower for her return against allowance company last time, and she got the job done while showing some signs of rust in the late stages. I expect her to be fitter for this second start off the layoff, and she only requires a slight step forward to overtake the filly to her inside.
The other horse I would use at a slightly better price is Wadadli Princess (#9). I’m not sure she can get the mile, but her recent form is excellent, and she appears to be improving.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 3,4,6,9
Trifecta: 5 with 4,9 with 1,3,4,6,8,9