Despite only attracting six runners, this race may offer the best wagering opportunities on a day that lacks appeal for serious handicappers. I say that because there is a pair of fillies who together should attract the bulk of support, and I am against both of them. Honey Graeme (#2) may end up going off as the favorite off her recent win against starter allowance company. On the surface of things, it would appear that she is dropping in class to face $40,000 claimers. However, anyone viewing her last race with an ounce of scrutiny will notice that she only beat three rivals, two of whom barely finished the race. The race turned into a layup for her, as she worked out an absolutely perfect trip sitting in behind the speeds. I don’t expect her to repeat that performance against a far more competitive field.
I’m also not particularly scared of the other horse that should take money, Letmetakethiscall (#3). Some may argue that she needed her return race against slightly tougher company and can step forward, but I’m skeptical. She took money like she was supposed to show up last time and failed to lift a hoof. Going back to last year, I wasn’t thrilled with either of her victories, and I believe she looks better on paper than she actually is.
I prefer the three outside runners. The horse to beat may be Danny Gargan’s other entrant, Our Girl Abby (#5). She had little chance against the likes of Big Birthday last time, but her prior form makes her formidable in here, and she’s drawn well outside of the other speed.
I’m using her, but my top pick is RACHEL’S BLUE MOON (#4). It’s possible that she just doesn’t want to participate anymore, but you can make some excuses for her last two efforts. She was involved in taxing paces on both occasions. The fact that she barely finished her last race may deter some bettors, but her rider never asked her for run and basically eased her at the quarter pole, exaggerating the margin of defeat. Sometimes a turnback in distance can wake up horses like this. She’s never really been given a fair chance to be a dirt sprinter, and that may ultimately be what she wants to do.
I also wouldn’t totally discount Parx shipper Nth Degree (#6). I don’t love any of her races, but at least she’s relatively reliable in a race lacking trustworthy options.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,3,5,6
Trifecta Box: 4,5,6