Regal Glory (#1) and Dragic (#6) are likely to vie for favoritism, and I have no major knocks against either. Regal Glory was extremely impressive in winning her debut at Belmont last month. She got a strong pace to close into, but she nevertheless put in an eye-catching late rally to dominate that group. Dragic has run well in both of her turf starts despite being placed in pretty ambitious spots against males. She just couldn’t handle the mile two back at Kentucky Downs, but she actually ran a fantastic race last time in the Futurity. That race featured an honest early pace and she did well to take the lead in midstretch before getting run down by top colt Uncle Benny, who went on to barely lose the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. I have respect for both of these favorites, but neither figures to offer much value.
Introduced (#10) ran one of the fastest speed figures in this field when she was run down by the talented Concrete Rose in her debut. She should be leading these early, but she has to prove she can get the 6 furlongs.
I’ll use all of these aforementioned fillies, but the one that I want to bet is BROOKE MARIE (#2). I know she looks a bit slower than her main rivals, but I think she’s finally landing in an ideal spot. She’s clearly best on the turf, but I don’t think she could handle route distances in her first two starts. She made eye-catching premature moves in both of those races and just tired in the late stages. I thought she responded very well to the turnback on dirt last time, and I’m very intrigued that Clement is now cutting her all the way back to 6 furlongs on grass. I think there’s untapped potential here, and she’s going to be a square price.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 1,6,10
Trifecta: 2 with 1,6 with 1,5,6,10