Midnitesalright (#5) can certainly win here, but she’s going to be the favorite after already having had a few chances. Horses that are as precocious as her usually don’t continue progressing into the fall of their juvenile seasons, so I think it’s unwise to lean on her in this spot.
Call It a Truce (#6) ran well within the context of her Sep. 15 debut, as she made a wide move around the far turn and into the lane on a day when you wanted to be on the rail. She clearly has some ability, but I have doubts about the overall quality of the race she exits.
I’m using both of these fillies, but there are some interesting first time starters in this field. Saratoga Style goes out for Todd Pletcher and sports a stellar pedigree in the second generation of her female family. However, Pletcher has been on a bad run with his firsters and I have not liked what I’ve seen of her morning drills.
The one that interests me most is DEARLY DECLARED (#2) for Barclay Tagg. She, too, is bred to be a runner as a half-sister to the popular New York-bred stakes performer Saratoga Snacks, who earned nearly $700,000 during his career. This filly has shown some ability in her morning drills. She has outworked all of the stablemates with whom she’s been paired, usually while under a strong hold by her exercise rider. Barclay Tagg can certainly have one ready to fire first time out, and the barn has been in the midst of a strong run since mid-summer.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 3,5,6,7