Belmont Park | Race 7 | Post Time 4:46 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
If Covfefe (#6) is able to stretch out to a mile effectively, she may just be too talented for this field. This filly’s debut at Churchill Downs three weeks ago was spectacular. She broke alertly, rated kindly on the lead, and rebroke at the top of the stretch before getting geared down in the late stages. It’s conceivable that she could have run even faster had she been ridden out to the wire that day. Over the past five years, Brad Cox is an amazing 12 for 25 (48 percent, $3.45 ROI) with debut winners making their second starts on the dirt. The stretch-out is a question mark considering the speed she showed first time out, but she’s certainly bred to handle it given her stellar female family that includes runners like Arch and Acoma.
I’m using this favorite, but the filly that intrigues me most is JAYWALK (#2).
It’s a pretty significant ask for any 2-year-old to stretch out from 5 1/2 furlongs to a mile, but Jaywalk is certainly bred to do so. Over the past five years, John Servis is 28 for 89 (31 percent, $3.98 ROI) with non-maidens going from sprints to routes on the dirt. New sire Cross Traffic was an effective dirt router during his career and this filly is a half-sister to multiple stakes winning router Danzatrice. Jaywalk was dominant when breaking her maiden two back, and I loved the way she finished up to beat winners last time. She was wide on the turn, but came with a relentless rally to reel in the very fast Congrats Gal. That runner-up returned to win next time out by 14 lengths with an improved speed figure.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 4,6,7
Trifecta: 2,6 with 2,6 with 1,4,7,8