Friday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Major Force may have a future as a turf sprinter

Belmont Park | Race 2 | Post Time 3:37 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

Not already a TimeformUS member? Sign up

I suppose Fuel the Bern (#1) is the horse to beat as he ships up from Florida off a series of solid performances. He’s tried a variety of distances, but his best effort was arguably his turf debut, which came going today’s 7-furlong distance last fall. While it’s somewhat of a negative that he was dropped in for a $16,000 tag in March, he’s since turned around his form and actually finished just behind a good horse last time. I’m hardly against him, but I do think his primary rival will be awfully tough for this field to hold off in the lane.

I was skeptical of MAJOR FORCE (#6) turning back in distance to six furlongs last time, but that turned out to be exactly what this horse needed. In a race that featured a slow pace (indicated by blue color-coding in the PPs), he rallied past them all in the stretch and won going away. According to Trakus, he ran his final quarter-mile in 21.78 seconds, which would be remarkable for stakes horses going that distance. The negatives are that he’s stepping up in class and his main rival in that race, Charnley River, did not get a great trip. On the other hand, I think it would be unwise to underestimate the finishing power that this runner displayed last time. Linda Rice now moves him back into a protected spot, and she actually has very good numbers off wins in this situation. Over the past five years, she is 14 for 64 (22 percent, $2.10 ROI) with last-out winners in turf sprints at NYRA.

In addition to the favorite, I will also use Follow the Signs (#3) in exotics. I’m not quite convinced that this horse wants to sprint, but he may have needed his return effort last time. His final two turf efforts of 2017 certainly give him a chance here. At bigger prices, you can also make a case for Strong Side (#5), who gets a favorable pace setup, and Rappel (#7), who finally gets back to a more appropriate sprint distance.

THE PLAY

Win: 6

Exacta Key Box: 6 with 1,3,5,7

Trifecta: 1,6 with 1,6 with 3,5,7​

This entry was posted in Race Previews. Bookmark the permalink.

Thoughts?

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s