Belmont Park | Race 4 | Post Time 3:09 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
There are some intriguing second-time starters in this spot. The one likely to take the most money is Brie’s Lucky Charm (#7), who finished second to the talented Mighty Scarlett in her debut. While she never threatened the winner, who came back to finish a good third in the Grade 3 Wonder Again next time out, Brie’s Lucky Charm was well clear of the rest of the group. That was a strong race, and Christophe Clement has very good numbers with second-time starters on turf getting Lasix for the first time. She’s the horse to beat.
I would also include the other second time starters. Osare (#2), Arrogate’s half-sister, probably needed her debut. Jonathan Thomas also has very good second-timeout statistics, but she has more improving to do. The same games for Susan B Anthony (#3), who never offered up a rally in her debut, though the slow pace may have hindered her chances.
I’ll use these horses, but I prefer SOAR FROM SHADOWS (#6). She’s had more chances, but I think she’s just now hitting her stride. I would be highly suspicious of the official fractions and time of her last race, as Trakus has the leader going three to four seconds slower at every call. Visually, that appeared to be a slow-paced race that turned into a sprint to the wire, and none was finishing faster than Soar From Shadows. According to Trakus, she ran her final sixteenth in a flashy 5.37 seconds. The winner, Complicit, returned to register an impressive score in her next start. Furthermore, trainer Jimmy Toner typically does well with horses stretching out to these marathon distances.
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 2,3,4,7
Trifecta: 6 with 2,7 with 2,3,4,7