Friday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Tiz He the One should benefit from less distance on the turf

Belmont Park | Race 7 | Post Time 6:18 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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This is one of the more intriguing races on the card. I’m just not thrilled with Yummy Bear (#8), who gets back to the right spot after being overmatched in the Kingston last time. He typically runs well, but he’s had his chances at this level and usually finds someone to beat him.

Battle Station (#9) is sure to take money as he returns to turf for the dangerous Wesley Ward barn. The Pace Projector is predicting that he will be on the lead in a situation favoring the front-runner. I do find it somewhat curious that they have focused solely on dirt racing since he made his winning grass debut last fall, but perhaps those are where the opportunities were as a New York-bred. I’m using him defensively, but he will need to improve.

Ambassador Jim (#1) is a difficult call since he just hasn’t taken a step forward since his 2-year-old season. He gets needed class relief, but I’m not sure it will be enough. I’m most interested in one who figures to go off at a much bigger price.

TIZ HE THE ONE (#12) made two turf starts last summer at Laurel. I’m not concerned about his performance on Aug. 5 since that race was run over boggy conditions that he clearly didn’t handle. His prior effort on July 15 was actually quite good. Bombs Away, the winner of that race, is a talented horse who was in very good form at the time. Tiz He the One did well to chase him before getting a bit tired late. It seems likely that he prefers a shorter distance than that, so I like this spot as he returns as a new gelding.

THE PLAY

Win: 12

Exacta Key Box: 12 with 1,8,9​

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