Belmont Park | Race 7 | Post Time 4:46 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
Pas de Deuce (#4) is the horse to beat off her respectable maiden effort. That April 28 field was actually pretty strong for this level, and the race featured a swift early pace that this filly was attending. She’s bred to stretch out as a daughter of Curlin, but her dam was primarily a sprinter. A mile should be within her scope, and her early speed should make her dangerous if we’re dealing with a wet track like Wednesday’s. I’m certainly using the favorite, but there are some others to consider.
I want to bet SOPHIE N (#5), who makes her second start for connections who know how to win with big prices. Over the past five years, Corby Caiazzo is 5 for 17 ($4.96 ROI) with maidens going from sprints to routes on dirt. While she wasn’t facing the strongest field at Parx last time, this is a drop from open maidens into New York-bred company. There isn’t obvious stamina pedigree on either side of her pedigree, but progeny of Yes It’s True actually can go longer. A mile should be appropriate. It’s also a good sign to see a live rider like Junior Alvarado take the mount.
I’ll user Sophie N with Pas de Deuce, as well as other logical contenders like Anne’s Song (#1) and A Song for Sue (#2). At a bigger price, I also want to throw in Mrs. Orb (#6), who deserves a second chance on the surface switch after racing greenly in her debut.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 1,2,4,6