Aqueduct | Race 4 | Post Time 1:47 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
Generally, I don’t want the horses coming out of the race that Merger Arbitrage (#3) is exiting. She finished second against a pretty mediocre field for this level, and I feel that others are going to offer better value. Two viable alternatives are Rain on the Dune (#9) and Pounds to Pennies (#8). The former makes her first start in this country for Graham Motion, who has pretty solid numbers with foreign shippers coming off layoffs, and the latter closed well against a decent maiden field last time.
I’ll use both of them, but the horse that interests me most at a more attractive price is MOMENTIEMPO (#1).
This filly made her turf debut last fall at Aqueduct while still a two-year-old, and caught a weird turf course that was very demanding and slow. She raced relatively close to the pace early and got caught in behind some tiring runners in the stretch. She didn’t run particularly well that day, but I think she deserves another chance. She is a half-sister to Grade 1 turf winner Time and Motion, so she is certainly bred to handle this surface.
Exacta key box: 1 with 3, 7, 8, 9