Jamyson ‘n Ginger (#2) is likely to go off as the favorite here, but I’m starting to doubt her overall quality. Aside from that one monstrous speed figure over a wet track when she broke her maiden, she just hasn’t run particularly fast races, and doesn’t seem to have improved much as a 3-year-old. She can win, but I’m against her at a short price. The horse to beat is probably Parade (#8), who lost to the favorite last time, but has since continued to improve. She would be aided by an honest pace in this spot.
I’ll use both of these runners, but at a larger price, I want to take a shot with FLORA DORA (#4).
This 4-year-old filly ran deceptively well in the Bed O Roses last time, closing into a slow pace and actually making decent headway against a tougher field. She’s at her best going longer distances, so the one-turn mile might be a little short for her. That said, she’s run competitive speed figures, and her only 2017 effort at least indicates that she has the potential to develop into a better horse than she was last year. The low-profile connections will ensure a decent price.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 2,7,8
Trifecta: 4 with 2,8 with 1,2,7,8