The horse to beat is Tiz R Bella (#9), who has run reasonably well in both of her races to date, and seemingly meets a softer field here. She raced relatively close to a hot pace that collapsed in her debut, staying on well to be fifth, and then she followed that up with a solid third-place run behind talented next-out winner Moneda. I don’t have any major knocks on her, but I do see another runner in this race that figures to offer better value.
SPA TREATMENT (#6) has only sprinted on turf thus far in her career, and she now attempts to stretch out around two turns. She actually ran one of the best races of her career going two turns on dirt at Aqueduct last winter, so the added ground doesn’t figure to be detrimental. She finished fourth in her most recent start, but that was a much better effort than it seems. She was rank and in tight quarters around the turn, and then was stymied in traffic from upper stretch until the eighth pole. This time, Irad Ortiz would be wise to just send her early for forward position, making the others try to catch him.
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 2,4,9