Belmont | Race 7 | Post Time 4:41 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
Others have more proven sprint form, but I’m most interested in the runners coming out of the ninth race on Sept. 1, since I think that was a tougher spot than this one. The obvious horse out of that spot is Munchkin Money (#5), who was taken out of her typical style to chase the pace while racing two to three wide throughout. It’s not as if the pace totally fell apart, but the winner did get a better trip than her.
I think she’ll be fine turning back, but the runner who really intrigues me out of her last race is SWEET AUGUST LADY (#1).
When Sweet August Lady last went a one-turn mile at Belmont, she showed acceleration that we just didn’t see from her in a pair of starts around two turns up at Saratoga. Last time, she was slightly hampered after the start and ended up getting taking way too far off the pace. Horses just weren’t closing from that far back at that point in the meet. Furthermore, Chad Brown has awesome numbers with his turf turnbacks at Belmont. Over the past five years, he is 16 for 45 (36 percent, $2.94 ROI) with that move.
At a bigger price, I also want to use Carry Your Heels (#8) somewhere in my wagers. She got a wide trip when stretched out to two turns last time and could be a player here if she runs back to her effort at this distance two back.
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 4,5,8,11