Belmont | Race 8 | Post Time 5:13 p.m. (ET) | Go to the FREE TimeformUS PPs
There are a lot of questions to be answered in this race. The most reliable runner in the race is probably Table for Six (#3), who ran well at this level on a number of occasions last season. However, she’s had her chances and lost her fair share of races at short prices. Ralph Nicks has mediocre numbers bringing runners back from extended layoffs, so I’m inclined to look elsewhere.
The most interesting runners are the three-year-old fillies in this group, but many have yet to prove that they’re up to the task of beating winners. Eighth Commandment (#6) looked better than your average $40,000 maiden claimer when breaking out of the maiden ranks last time, but this is a significant step up in class. Cha Cha Heels (#2) and Tiz a Kitten (#8) both ran reasonably well at Aqueduct last time in a similar spot, but are now being asked to face older horses for the first time.
I’m looking for a horse that may get overlooked in the wagering, which is why I’m picking ABOUT THAT BASE (#4). Both of this filly’s turf races are a bit better than they look, and I think there’s a reasonable chance that she’s a much better turf horse than dirt horse. She was in tight behind horses for much of the run around the far turn in the Chelsey Flower, where she was just facing better horses. Then, at Aqueduct last fall, she overcame a wide trip around both turns and actually did well to be second that day. She should work out a good trip stalking the pace.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 2,3,6,8,12