Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time 4:44 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
Donwell (#8) figures to go favored off his decent second-place finish at Gulfstream last time out. He did well to grind it out, but he never really looked like a threat to win that race. I’m also not sure that he was facing the strongest field, and he may actually be stepping up in class as he moves north for this race. Into the Breach (#7) couldn’t overcome a slow pace at Laurel last time, but he had previously run well going one turn over the main track and is very much in the mix again.
Both of those runners will be on my tickets, but I’m most interested in CALIFORNIA SWING (#6), who returns from a layoff for Christophe Clement.
This horse ran fairly well in his lone dirt start as a 2-year-old. While that was an off-the-turf race, it’s not as if his taking to dirt should come as the greatest surprise given his pedigree. Furthermore, Clement has outstanding numbers in this situation. According to DRF Formulator, over the past five years he is 9 for 19 (47 percent) with a $3.29 ROI when adding Lasix for the first time with non-debuting maidens on dirt.
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 2,4,7,8