Aqueduct | Race 8 | Post Time 4:50 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
I love to root for Green Gratto (#2). How can you not love a horse who races as often and fights as hard as he does? However, I think he finds himself in a trickier position here than last time, when he won the Toboggan. That day, he was the clear speed from the inside post position and was able to lead from start to finish while riding the rail the entire way. This time, he figures to face pace pressure from the speedy Chief Lion and potentially even The Great War if that one actually shows up.
I would expect the pace to at least be honest, which should set things up for my top pick’s effective late run.
SASSICAIA (#7) was in awesome form over the inner track last season, impressively winning an allowance race before stepping up in class to take the Toboggan. He disappeared soon after that but returned in a tough allowance race last month and turned in a performance that suggests he still is capable of winning races like this. Chief Lion controlled affairs on the front end in that race, and Sassicaia did extremely well to get so close to him at the finish despite not getting any pace to close into. I expect him to turn the tables on that foe today.
I’ll bet Sassicaia to win at anything at or above his morning-line price of 3-1. I’ll also key him in exactas and trifectas with the hard-knocking Green Gratto, as well as the in-form Spartiatis (#1) and Chief Lion (#4).
Exacta Key Box: 7 with 1,2,4,5
Trifecta: 2,7 with 2,7 with 1,3,4,5