Aqueduct | Race 4 | Post Time 2:50 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
In a race where the only horse with proven dirt-sprint form is Forrest Lily, I want to look elsewhere because she’s just not very good. The two fillies dropping out of maiden special weight company each deserve a look, but I have trouble latching onto either one. There’s little evidence that Bigkat and Camille will handle the dirt after running fairly well on turf, and Jeanne’s Spirit just did very little running in her debut, albeit against much better horses.
I’ve instead landed on JEANJEANNIE (#6). I know it appears that she has run her best races around two turns, but her last sprint race is not actually as bad as it seems. She was steadied at the start and then was hard-ridden leaving the backstretch to make a five-wide premature move. Obviously, such tactics got her nowhere, and her rider basically was easing her by the quarter pole. She’s better than that, and it’s interesting that David Jacobson keeps her going short in this spot. Jacobson has been winning a bunch of races lately, and I think we’re going to see an improved performance out of this filly Sunday.
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 2,4,7