Aqueduct | Race 8 | Post Time 3:50 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
The likely favorite is Indulgent (#8), a half-sister to Frosted who is coming off two consecutive victories. Perhaps she’s just an improving horse and will continue to ascend through her conditions, but I have my doubts. She benefited last time when the main track at Aqueduct was kind to runners in outside paths. I won’t be shocked if she wins, but I don’t expect her to offer value.
Instead, I’m going with MY FOURCHIX (#2).
This mare makes her second start off the layoff. Her return race was stronger than the eight-length margin of defeat suggests. She was keen and made an early run to challenge for the lead at the top of the stretch before flattening out. Prior to the layoff, this mare had been competitive with some solid low-level stakes performers. I like that she’s drawn inside because she’s a horse that can get eager and benefits from being covered up behind runners. If she takes a step forward off her return, she can certainly win this.
I’ll key on Myfourchix and use her with the aforementioned favorite, as well as Play Unified (#5), who figures to be the controlling speed, Burn Control (#7), who should appreciate the turnback in distance, and Novique (#9), who has a right to step forward off a trainer switch to Michelle Nevin.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 5,7,8,9