Our Pace Projector is predicting that this race will feature a fast pace, which is logical given the number of speed types signed on in this full field of 12. Naturally, I’m most interested in the closers, and the one that I want the most is WINE NOT (#5).
I’ve always felt that this horse was better going shorter, so I like that they’re turning back in distance today. His last race appears to be disconcerting at first glance, but it’s worth noting that the inside path may not have been the place to be at Aqueduct on that card, and he was basically hugging the rail for his entire trip. He’s run well over this inner track surface, and that last race was such an aberration that I’m willing to be forgiving. At what figures to be a square price, he’s the one that I want to key on.
I’ll primarily use him with Benevolence (#1) and Saratoga Giro (#4), who may be the best of those who figure to flash early speed. I would also throw in stalking types like J. J. Jake (#2), Samadi Sky (#8), and Fratello del Nord (#9). If the race were to really fall apart late, I suppose even H Man (#6) could sneak into the exacta or trifecta.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 1,4,6,8
Trifecta: 5 with 1,4,6,8 with 1,2,4,6,8,9