I suppose Ryder Road (#7) is the horse to beat off his fast and professional maiden win at Belmont. However, there are some reasons to be skeptical of his chances to make it 2-for-2 today. First of all, Rick Violette is one of the best in the business with first-time starters (99 trainer rating), but he routinely underperforms with second-time starters (50 rating). Furthermore, we have the race rating box color-coded in red, indicating that the track was favoring speed that day, which may have enhanced his chances.
While I typically shy away from horses shipping in from Finger Lakes, Chris Englehart is one trainer that’s able to do it successfully, especially at Aqueduct. Given what should be a square price, his FRATELLO DEL NORD (#1) is an intriguing alternative. He has prior NYRA form that suggests he can perform on this circuit, and he’s undoubtedly improved in recent months. His last effort, in which he dueled for the lead through fast fractions and held on to win in a race that otherwise collapsed, was especially strong. When Chris Englehart gets these horses into good form, they tend to continue to perform well, as is evidenced by his strong 93 trainer rating with horses coming off wins. If Fratello del Nord can outrun his rivals early, I think he could take them all the way.
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 4,5,6,7