TWO HOT BETTY (#8) is a likely winner of this race, and I don’t expect to get anywhere near the 10/1 morning line. Frankly, she wouldn’t be a bad bet at around 7/2 in this spot if she can run back to her debut. That day, she was off a bit slowly and squeezed back at the start. From there, she was allowed to drop well off a pace that was on the slow side (color-coded in blue). However, once she straightened away in the stretch, she really got rolling and was coming fastest of all despite racing a little greenly as she had to move through traffic. All things considered, she did well to get as close as she did to the leader by the time they crossed the wire. She should appreciate the slight drop in class and will be tough to beat if she can get out of the gate today.
The two main dangers to my top selection appear to be Courtmewithcarats (#9), who didn’t do that much running in her turf debut but may have improved since then, and Hoponthebusgus (#10), who comes out of one of the toughest maiden turf heats that was run up at Saratoga and should appreciate the turnback in distance. At bigger prices, I could also use a few long shots in the trifecta: She’s Stunning (#2), a half-sister to a turf-sprint winner; Majestic Mist (#5), whose dam was best on turf; Patience Love (#6), who has one of the strongest grass pedigrees in the field; and Matinee Babe (#7), who has a right to improve on her debut.
Exacta Key Box: 8 with 2,5,6,7,9,10
Trifecta: 8 with 9,10 with 2,5,6,7,9,10
Trifecta: 8 with 2,5,6,7 with 9,10