This is a very interesting race, with horses coming from a multitude of directions. While I do acknowledge that Isotherm (#3) ran the best race in the Commonwealth Derby last time, he did hang a bit in the late stages, something that he’s shown a tendency to do on a few occasions.
Strike Midnight (#4) has been facing the best competition and was blocked late in the stretch in the Hill Prince. Our Way (#11) has been in career form and is projected to get some pace to close into.
While I’ll use all of those horses, I’m most interested in CATAPULT (#5) at a more enticing price.
This horse put in a spectacular effort in his debut at this distance as a two-year-old and has been struggling to get back to that performance ever since, acting as his own worst enemy in two turf tries against winners. However, he was more professional with blinkers last time while running over a surface that he may not have really cared for. It’s encouraging to see Javier Castellano stick around, and I like that Chad Brown is running him in a stakes off that win.
Others that I could use at bigger prices are Hockey School (#10), who ran the best race of his career when breaking his maiden over a yielding turf course, Hammers Vision (#9), who also handled a rain-softened course this spring, and Scholar Athlete (#7), who should appreciate cutting back to a mile after contesting longer races this summer.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 3,4,11 (Primary)
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 1,7,9,10 (Backup)