Sure, Roman Approval (#8) has run the fastest speed figures and has kept the best company. However, he wins so rarely that it’s awfully hard to have confidence in him finding his way to the winner’s circle today, especially at what figures to be a very short price.
Luckily, I see an intriguing alternative in MUNJAZ (#1).
This horse has shown flashes of real ability at times in this country, but he’s also been compromised by trips. That was never truer than last time, when Joe Bravo was unable to tuck in heading towards the clubhouse turn at Saratoga and ended up getting spun wide all the way around that bend. He then rushed up to contest the pace down the backstretch and, unsurprisingly, tired in the lane. This horse actually won at today’s 10 furlong distance in Europe, so one would think that the stretch-out in distance may actually suit him. It’s a good sign that he’s now putting races back to back for Kiaran McLaughlin, and I think he can pull off the upset here.
The other horse that you have to use is Request (#4), but he has the same tendency as Roman Approval and so often comes up just a little short in his races. At bigger prices, Gold Shield (#3) is somewhat interesting as he gets back to Belmont Park and lands in a slightly easier spot, and Bank Float (#6) has been in great form out of town.
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 4,8
Trifecta: 1,8 with 1,8 with 3,4,6
Trifecta: 1,8 with 3,4,6 with 1,8