I’m a fan of GOTACHANCETODANCE (#7), and I believe she’s going to be awfully tough to beat as she stretches out in distance in her second start since the layoff. Don’t put too much stock in her return race, since she’s just not at her best going a mile and a sixteenth. That said, it’s not as if she even ran that badly behind the stakes-bound winner, Mexican Gold. Joel Rosario was never able to get her off the inside in the stretch, which may have discouraged her from coming with a more effective late run.
If this mare can get back to the races she was running at the end of last year, she should prove to be too good for this field. She put forth the best effort of her career when she finished a fast-closing third in a slow-paced Long Island Handicap, earning a 117 speed figure. However, she was just as effective in her two prior starts, when winning over this exact distance at Belmont last fall and finishing a head behind Trophee at Saratoga.
I’ll key my top selection in exotics and multi-race wagers, and will focus on using a few of her competitors behind her. Evidently’s (#2) good form is somewhat exposed after finishing an excellent second at Saratoga last time, when she closed from the back of the pace into a quick final quarter mile. That said, she’s clearly improved with Lasix and is a major player once again today. I also have to use Achnaha (#3), who isn’t really a winning type but is in the best form of her career after two solid tries against stakes company at Saratoga. Even Kitzys Rocket (#6) is mildly intriguing as she stretches back out in distance. She was placed in some tough spots going shorter over the summer, but I think she’s at her best between 10 and 11 furlongs.
Exacta Key Box: 7 with 2,3,6
Trifecta: 7 with 2,3,6 with 2,3,5,6,8,9
Trifecta: 7 with 5,8,9 with 2,3,6