Mo Promise (#7) figures to go off at a very short price as she drops out of open stakes company. However, it’s not as if she did that much running last time, and, while her debut effort certainly makes her the most likely winner, I don’t see her as an absolute cinch based off that one effort. Beyond the favorite, there is not much positive form to go on, so I’m not afraid to take a shot with a price horse, and I feel pretty confident about her chance to at least make it into the exacta.
I know that RECONSIDER IT (#10) has yet to be that competitive or run a particularly fast race, but I think this filly has more ability than is readily apparent. It’s worth watching her last trip closely, since she never was given much of a chance. After breaking slowly, she was rated well off a slow pace (color-coded in blue) and then had to wait too long to peel out into the clear coming off the far turn. She was left with a ton of ground to make up and actually did well to get up for fifth. I love the rider switch to Junior Alvarado, who represents a huge improvement over her previous pilot. If she can break more cleanly today, I think she can have a major say in the outcome.
Exacta Box: 7,10