While I respect Fourstar Crook (#2), who comes into this riding a five-race winning streak, I don’t want to take a very short price on a filly that figures to drop much lower than her 2/1 morning line. Furthermore, while she was best in the Yaddo, that race had a real outside flow to it, as all three runners that filled out the trifecta made wide late moves. I’m taking a shot against her here because I love the chances of one of her competitors.
OLD HARBOR (#6), last year’s winner of the Hettinger, appears to find herself in a great situation today in a race that features very little pace.
Perhaps Invading Humor will show some early intitiative, as our Pace Projector suggests, but Old Harbor figures to work out a preferred stalking trip. She gets a positive rider switch to Jose Ortiz and is coming off one of the best performances of her career, having earned a 118 speed figure while breaking the track record at Delaware Park. As she’s gotten older, she has seemed more fond of additional distance, so she figures to relish this mile and an eighth. Her morning line price of 8/1 would be a steal.
I’ll key Old Harbor on top of most wagers, and will primarily use Fourstar Crook and The Tea Cups (#7) underneath. Given a much bigger price, I could throw in Selenite (#10) on the bottom rungs of trifecta bets, since she ran well two back and was never really clear in the stretch last time.
Trifecta: 6 with 2,7 with 2,3,5,7,8,10
Trifecta: 6 with 3,5,8,10 with 2,7