There is not much pace in this Noble Damsel, which figures to benefit Zindaya (#6). She’s been ridden from just off the pace in recent starts, but one would imagine that her connections would have to revert to the front-running tactics that have worked for her in the past. She’s the horse to beat, but her stablemate, Mrs McDougal (#5), is a formidable rival. This may be her best distance, and she should appreciate the slight drop in class after being defeated in a couple of Grade 1 tries. A repeat of her effort in the Grade 1 Just a Game would make her awfully tough to beat.
I’ll certainly use those two, but my top pick is MY SWEET GIRL (#8).
I realize that she’s the third or fourth most likely winner of this race, but I believe her price will make her playable. This filly has really improved this year, especially since Barclay Tagg has focused on races at or around today’s one-mile distance. When she’s right, she can produce a devastating late kick. She wasn’t able to fully unleash that closing speed last time when buried down on the rail, but she should get a clear run, having drawn outside today. We received some rain in the area last night, which should enhance her chances since she seems to move up on turf courses that have a bit of give to them.
The other runner exiting the De La Rose, Stormy Victoria (#7), is far from impossible, but she worked out a great rail-skimming trip and was just second-best to the winner. I like her getting back to one turn, but My Sweet Girl figures to be a better price and I’m not convinced that she isn’t the more talented filly anyway.
Exacta Key Box: 8 with 5,6,7
Trifecta: 8 with 5,6 with 1,5,6,7
Trifecta: 5,6 with 8 with 1,5,6,7