He’s not going to be that great of a price as one of only two primary contenders in this spot, but I’m quite fond of BORN FOR A STORM (#5). This horse showed potential in his debut earlier this summer and has progressed nicely with each start since then. I admit that I’m becoming a fan of this New York-bred, and I’m fairly confident that we haven’t seen the best of him yet.
Born for a Storm has only sprinted thus far in his short career, but his pedigree suggests that he should love the added ground that he gets to work with today, since he is a half-brother to routers Dreaming of Cara and Born in Brooklyn. The 110 speed figure that he earned last time out is the highest in the field, and runner-up James Lane came back to validate the number in a near-loss second place finish earlier in the meet.
I strongly prefer him to his main rival, Diversify (#7), who is the slight favorite on the morning line. Rick Violette is one of the best in the business with first-time starters, but he gets just a 45 trainer rating with horses making their second career starts. This horse was visually impressive first time out, and he deserves credit for surviving a solid pace to win. However, that race has proven to be extremely weak in retrospect, and he is taking a major step up in class today.
If Diversify fails to show up in his second start, there are some interesting horses at larger price that could round out the trifecta. Those include the reliable Here Comes Tommy (#1), who always seems to grab a piece of the purse in these races, Ro Bear (#2), who was hampered by an awkward start last time in a slow-paced race, Manipulated (#3), who has a right to take a step forward in his second start back from the layoff, and Nobody Move (#4), who stretches back out to his best distance.
Exacta: 5 with 2,3,4
Trifecta: 5 with 1,2,3,4,7 with 1,2,3,4,7