Mighty Souper (#4) has earned the fastest speed figures, but she’s had her chances in races at this level and has just failed to get it done. Perhaps her tactical speed gives her a slight pace edge today, but I prefer some of her up-and-coming challengers.
Most will flock to one of the Chad Brown-trained entrants, both of whom are coming off maidens wins as well as layoffs. The one that I prefer is Quinta Verde (#7), who beat a decent field at Keeneland and did so in impressive fashion with a sweeping move from the back of the pack. The only problem is that the race came over a year ago, so something’s clearly gone wrong since then.
I ultimately decided to guess with QUIDURA (#5) at what should be a more inviting price.
Graham Motion gets an excellent 97 trainer rating with his overseas shippers. I realize that this filly didn’t do much running overseas, but there’s a reason these connections, a breeding operation, are shipping this filly to the United States to race. She has the pedigree to be a nice one, and I wouldn’t be surprised if she turns out to have some ability. I’m also encouraged by the fact that Graham Motion is starting her off on Lasix, a 93-rated move for him, especially considering that her last effort, in Germany, was so disappointing.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 1,4,7