Banner Bill (#1) and A. P. Cino (#6) are the two runners likely to attract the most support. The former was disappointing in his first start for David Jacobson, albeit against much tougher optional claiming company. It’s not too encouraging that Jacobson is immediately dropping him in for the $20,000 tag off that one bad effort, but he nevertheless has run plenty of races that can beat this field. A. P. Cino’s slight drop in claiming tag makes more sense as he moves from the mid-Atlantic circuit to Saratoga. He’s run well enough to be a factor here, but his trainer, Michael Trombetta, gets only a 52 trainer rating at this track.
I’m not necessarily against either one, but I prefer SINISTRA (#3), who is also dropping out of tougher races and figures to go off at a more attractive price.
While his last race over this track was disappointing, it must be noted that he got a terrible trip that day, racing four-wide around both turns after breaking from the outside post position. He was also facing a pretty salty group of New York-breds that day and should appreciate the slightly softer company that he encounters here. He had previously been running well for Rudy Rodriguez, who had gotten him back to some of his better efforts. Furthermore, there isn’t much early speed signed on this time, and the Pace Projector is predicting that he’ll be placed on or near the lead in a situation favoring the frontrunners.
Exacta Key Box: 3 with 1,6