If PRIVATE CLIENT (#1) runs back to either of her first two starts, I believe she’s going to be tough to hold off here. In her debut, she got going a little too late, but was really rolling through the final three furlongs, making a wide move off the turn before flying through the stretch. She was no match for the talented Try Your Luck, but still ran very well within the context of the race. She then did well to weave her way through traffic at Pimlico two back while facing a tougher field than the one she meets today. I’m not sure what happened at Delaware last time, but that can be a tricky turf course for some horses to handle. I don’t think Tom Proctor would be running her at Saratoga if he expected another effort like that, so I’m willing to throw it out. She’s bred to handle this distance, as a half-sister to millionaire marathon turfer Keertana, and I believe she can pull off the minor upset.
Chad Brown is always dangerous in these spots and his entrant, Warranty (#4), has to be included in your wagers. However, the price is going to be fairly short, and I don’t think she has much of an edge over this field. Another runner to consider is My Kinda Devil (#7), who ran well in her debut for Christophe Clement despite racing a bit greenly.
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 4,7
Trifecta: 1 with 4,7 with 2,4,5,6,7