Saratoga Monday Highlight Horse: Can the wet track carry Manhattan Mischief to victory upstate?

 

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>>Saratoga | Race 6 | Monday August 1st | Post Time 3:48 EDT | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

On dirt, the obvious horse to beat is Life in Shambles (#2), who ran a hole in the wind last time, clocking in at 1:07 4/5 for six furlongs while earning a 111 speed figure. The rail may have been the place to be that day, and he got lucky when the runner-up drifted off the inside at the top of the stretch, but he still ran a great race in victory. We have to use him, but he’s going to a be a strong favorite here, and I believe that others will offer better value.

My top pick is MANHATTAN MISCHIEF (#5), who the Pace Projector is predicting will be right up on the early lead.

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This horse has run some huge dirt speed figures on occasion, at times surpassing even the figure that Life In Shambles earned for his recent blowout victory. He handled a muddy, sealed track at Aqueduct back in April. I admit that he’s been off form, but those last two poor efforts should only drive up his price enough to make him playable in this favorable spot.

Changewilldoyagood (#3) and Hollywood Critic (#4) may not be suited to today’s abbreviated distance on dirt, but they have at least run main track races that would make them competitive. I’ll use them defensively.

Win:  5

Exacta Key Box:  5 with 2,3,4

 

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

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