We don’t quite get the morning line in this race, which has Skipalute (#1) pegged as the 2/1 favorite. We doubt that she’ll be anything close to those odds, and can’t make a particularly compelling case for her. This is not the strongest N1X allowance race, but the field she faced last time may have been even weaker.
Horses like Justoneofakind (#2) and Anna Rae (#6) also figure to attract support, having run competitive speed figures. However, both are deep closers and the Pace Projector is predicting a situation that favors horses on or near the lead.
We’re most interested in second-time starter TAURINE (#4).
We realize that her debut did not come back as a particularly fast race, but we feel that she ran better than it appears that day. Breaking from the tricky rail post position, she found herself in tight quarters for much of the race, nearly running up on horses’ heels as the pace slowed down around the turn. When she found a seam in the stretch, she came through professionally. Christophe Clement gets a 100 trainer rating with horses adding Lasix for the first time and a 94 trainer rating with runners coming off maiden wins.
The other horse that we could throw in at a bigger price is Mahabodhi Tree (#3). She was off a step slowly when facing tougher last time and was part of a pace that was falling apart two back. She’s run competitive speed figures and should be well-positioned towards the front today.
Exacta Box: 3,4
Trifecta: 4 with 1,2,3,6 with 1,2,3,6