TimeformUS Speed Figure Report: The 148th Belmont Stakes

TimeformUS Speed Figures For 2016 Triple Crown Races
Kentucky Derby:  Nyquist 123
Preakness:  Exaggerator 122 (3rd finisher Nyquist also 122)
Belmont:  Creator 120 (2nd finisher Destin ran race-best 121)
TimeformUS Pace Figures for the Belmont (all fractions coded in red: meaning hot pace)
1/2:  145
1m:  132
Fin:  120
TimeformUS Speed Figures for the Top 4 finishers in the Belmont
Creator:  120
Destin:  121
Lani:  119
Governor Malibu:  117
How does the 2016 Belmont Speed Figure stack up historically?
It is well above the race average of 116, but didn’t threaten the top set by American Pharoah last year—128.
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2 Responses to TimeformUS Speed Figure Report: The 148th Belmont Stakes

  1. We don’t just use the Belmont Stakes but all 12f races run at Belmont Park on dirt as a baseline. Also, our par times are based on the winner’s fractions, not the leaders. Being a Triple Crown race the fractions tend to be faster than your typical 12f race. Obviously we don’t have a big sample size either, just the Brooklyn and the Belmont for the most part.

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  2. Art Smith says:

    How do you code the Belmont as “hot pace”?

    I keep a database on splits for all TC races. The fractions were very close to the median splits for the last 11 running a if the Belmont.

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