There is a lot going on in this race. The horse to beat is probably She Doesn’t Mind (#2), who makes her second start in this country for trainer Chad Brown. She ran very well that day and probably would have won if not for some minor traffic issues around the far turn and in the stretch. However, we’re not convinced that she was facing the strongest field, and she may have to do better to come out on top here.
We also have to use Squeeze (#5), who was impressive when taking her debut at Keeneland. She appeared to be spinning her wheels as the field entered the stretch, but she kicked it into another gear through the final eighth of a mile, easily overhauling the leader. We get the feeling that we haven’t yet seen the best of this filly, but she does land in a tough spot for just her second start.
We would even have to include long shot Desert Tune (#1), who lost all chance in her turf debut after getting sharply steadied at two key points.
However, our top selection is SAGE HALL (#12).
She did not draw the best post position, but we’re hoping that Jose Lezcano will compensate by taking her to the back of the pack. This filly unleashed a devastating turn of foot to take her debut last summer, but her late kick was dulled when they employed more aggressive tactics at Keeneland in her return. She was apparently too keen coming off the layoff and was rank through the early stages of that race. If they can get her to settle early and make one run today, she could surprise at a decent price.
Exacta Key Box: 12 with 1,2,5