Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
20-1 on ML:
Debuted in a grass route and got away poorly. Returns south (where she had been training) and has a good workout under her belt. Second-out improvement might be able to get this one into exotics at a giant price. This trainer is adept on the grass.
4-1 on ML:
Survived a hellacious speed duel against much cheaper. Earned a big figure. Gets an optimistic jump in class first off the claim and has shown the ability to put good efforts back to back. She has also already won at this allowance condition, which is why she is obliged to run for the tag.
12-1 on ML:
We think this gelding is best in grass routes, and today he gets his first one in six months. Interesting rider switch. Will need some pace to run at.
12-1 on ML:
Has improved his speed figure in every start. Most recently, at Los Al, he was fried on a fast pace while spending too much time running on a possibly dull rail. Returned to train well, remains lightly raced, gets in light, and should be a big price.