Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
15-1 on ML:
Trainer is awful with firsters (gets a rating of 0 out of 100) and awful with two-year-olds in general. However, this filly has shown a bit of early speed in the morning, which can go a long way in a race like this. Would not exclude from exotics if the price is huge, as it had better be.
Warren’s Tricia R.:
4-1 on ML:
Handles grass and figures to be forwardly placed in a paceless race.
The Spiral Jetter:
12-1 on ML:
Figures to handle dirt and fits with all of these except Enola Gray, who figures to be something like 1-5 in here.
5-1 on ML:
Stalked a hot pace at Los Al. Speed figures are pointing in the right direction. Training well. Connections will not take money.
5-1 on ML:
Arguably better around two turns. Made a nice early move two weeks ago. Goes third off the layoff and has been training well for D’Amato.
First-time-starter goes for quiet connections and has been training as if he has a spot of talent. Would not exclude from exotics at a big number.
10-1 on ML:
Has the right style for a race expected to have a fast pace. Improving filly can make late run into exotics at a big price.
Was uncomfortable in her debut. Still ran OK. Has trained much better for her second start and can get on the board if going forward at all.