There’s quite a bit of speculation to be done here, as only Turco Bravo (#1) and Neck ‘n Neck (#3) have attempted marathon distances in the past, with mixed results. The latter is probably the horse to beat. He was no match for the in-form Eagle last time, but he has continued to consistently earn speed figures in the 110-116 range while handling a range of distances.
We’re somewhat against favored Elnaawi (#6), who has run some of the fastest races going shorter, but has never attempted this distance on dirt. We also have to question his current form given a series of layoffs and a return trip from Dubai.
If we’re going to take a horse trying something for the first time, we’d rather go with a price. WINTER GAMES (#2) is the type of runner that gets pretty brave when he’s allowed to make the lead, and he is projected to be clearly in front early. He has the pedigree to go this far, as a son of A. P. Indy, and he’s in the best form of his career at the moment.
We’ll take a shot with him, and will also use Securitiz (#5), who has been rounding into form lately for Jimmy Jerkens, who hasn’t been afraid to try these marathon dirt races with his runners.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 3,5