Howl (#4) finally got back on track last time and could pose a threat as he turns back into a one-turn race. Persuasive Devil (#6) has faced tougher company in recent starts and may have been hindered by a surface that seemed to be favoring inside paths. Sunny Puzzle (#2) is predicted to be on the lead in a situation favoring the frontunner, so he cannot be totally dismissed, but this steep drop in class does concern us.
All of the aforementioned runners merit consideration, but in our opinion this finale is all about CASIGUAPO (#8).
Casiguapo put in an exceptional effort last time out, nearly overcoming a strong rail bias to get within two lengths of the winner. You just didn’t see any horses making late runs after receiving wide trips on that March 5 card, so Casiguapo’s effort was a real outlier. We don’t mind this trainer switch to Pat Reynolds, and this horse should be very tough to beat if he returns with a similar sort of effort.
Exacta: 8 with 2,4,6
Trifecta: 8 with 2,4,6 with 2,4,6