On The Contrary: Santa Anita’s Most Playable Longshots on Saturday

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

>>Saturday April 9th| Go To TFUS PPs for today’s races at Santa Anita

Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.

Race 1:

My Golden One:

15-1 on ML:

This race has come off the grass. This colt just ran better than looked in a grass race. The switch to dirt is problematic, but if his odds are gigantic, we would not exclude him from the super.

Race 2:

Storming Candy:

20-1 on ML:

He is way, way, way overmatched in here, and we try to avoid this barn. Accordingly, the extent of our endorsement will be to say that this gelding may run less poorly here. His trip last time was the kind you do not want when you’re overmatched.

Race 3:

Spanish Hombre:

4-1 on ML:

Tough trip in debut. Smart barn. Increased distance should help. Training well.

Race 4:

Glacken Too:

5-1 on ML:

Powerful speed figure in last start. Returned to train superbly.

Race 5:

Decked Out:

8-1 on ML:

Horrible trip in minor stake last time. Finished up with way too much gas left in the tank. Can win this if getting a setup today.

Race 7:

Bellamentary:

10-1 on ML:

Was extremely impressive in her return. Came back to train superbly. Handles two turns. Needs to stay away from Songbird, both in general and as it pertains to the tactics of this race.

Race 8:

Diplodocus:

30-1 on ML:

Smart trainer shoots at the moon here. We think there is more horse here than we have seen to date. Would not exclude from supers at an elephantine price.

Race 9:

Cool Green:

30-1 on ML:

Impressive against vastly cheaper. Would not exclude from bottom of super at huge price.

 

 

This entry was posted in Race Previews. Bookmark the permalink.

Thoughts?

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s